关键词: 系统评估与可行性分析 , 装甲车辆 , 可靠性 , 故障 , 随机过程 , 泊松过程

Abstract: To design a reasonable repair schedule of the armoured vehicles, fault stochastic process hap?pening in an overhaul repair interval was discussed. Relying on three assumptions, fault stochastic pro?cess and fault intensity function were modelled by general Poisson process and exponential polynomial respectively. A method of estimating unknown parameters and orders of the model was further pre?sented. Both the model and the method provide the theory basis and feasible approach of parameter es?timation for the arrangement of the repair timetable of the armoured vehicles.

Key words: analysis on system assessment and feasibility , armoured vehicle , reliability , fault , stochastic process , Poisson process