Investigation of failure mechanisms in GFRP sandwich structures with face sheet wrinkle defects used for wind turbine blades

Wrinkle defects can be formed during the production of wind turbine blades consisting of composite monolithic and sandwich laminates. Earlier studies have shown that the in-plane compressive strength of a sandwich panel with wrinkle defects may decrease dramatically. This study focuses on the failure modes of sandwich specimens consisting of thick GFRP face sheets with a wrinkle defect and a balsa wood core subjected to in-plane compression loading. Three distinct modes of failure were found, and the strain distributions leading up to these failures were established by use of digital image correlation (DIC). Finite element analyses were subsequently conducted to model the response of the test specimens prior to failure, and generally a very good agreement was found with the DIC measurements, although slight differences between the predicted and measured strain fields were observed in the local strain values around the wrinkle defect. The Northwestern University (NU) failure criterion was applied to predict failure initiation, and a good correlation with the experimental observations was achieved.     

Probabilistic model for fatigue crack growth and fracture of welded joints in civil engineering structures

This paper presents a probabilistic assessment model for linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM). The model allows the determination of the failure probability of a structure subjected to fatigue loading. The distributions of the random variables for civil engineering structures are provided, and the relative importance of these random variables is determined. An example of a bridge detail is provided in order to show the application of the model. Partial factors are derived for the case of fatigue of welded joints in civil engineering structures. The failure probability appears to be relatively insensitive to the failure criterion (attainment of a through-thickness crack or fracture) when considering the total fatigue life.     

A hybrid method to assess interface debonding by finite fracture mechanics

Adhesive connections are potentially weak locations in many kinds of engineering structures. Since adhesive joints can be regarded locally as bimaterial notches, the assessment of the hazard of crack nucleation, initiation and propagation in the vicinity of bimaterial notches and the reliability of the junctions is an important problem. An essential requirement in this context is a sufficient criterion for crack nucleation. The present contribution proposes a modified approach based on Leguillon’s hypothesis in order to provide a feasible criterion. A crack at a notch is assumed to be initiated and to grow if and only if both the released energy and the local stresses exceed critical values. Thus, simulating virtual crack growth along an interface of two dissimilar bonded materials, the integrity of the bond is revisable. The approach enables the determination of characteristic lengths for freshly nucleated cracks forming the base for any further integrity assessment. As an example, the concept is applied to the analysis of an adhesive bond of metallic and ceramic materials under severe thermal loading conditions as they occur, among other examples, in high temperature fuel cell technology. It is shown that the failure hazard of the adhesive joint can be reduced significantly by an appropriate local design.     

岸桥起重机随机风振疲劳可靠性分析

基于时域方法研究岸桥起重机的风振疲劳可靠性问题。采用谐波叠加法给出了符合Davenport风速谱的多维脉动风速时间历程,基于Bernoulli方程得到相应的风压时间历程,并将相应的风压荷载作用于有限元模型,采用雨流计数法处理结构关键点的应力响应。基于疲劳失效的Basquin方程、Miner线性累积损伤准则和Goodman平均应力修正方程导出疲劳累积损伤的概率模型。考虑平均风速的概率分布,提出了基于概率累积损伤机制的风振疲劳可靠度和可靠性寿命计算方法,为岸桥起重机的风振疲劳可靠性分析作了一些有益的探索和研究。     

Biomechanical rupture risk assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysms based on a novel probabilistic rupture risk index

A rupture risk assessment is critical to the clinical treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients. The biomechanical AAA rupture risk assessment quantitatively integrates many known AAA rupture risk factors but the variability of risk predictions due to model input uncertainties remains a challenging limitation. This study derives a probabilistic rupture risk index (PRRI). Specifically, the uncertainties in AAA wall thickness and wall strength were considered, and wall stress was predicted with a state-of-the-art deterministic biomechanical model. The discriminative power of PRRI was tested in a diameter-matched cohort of ruptured (n = 7) and intact (n = 7) AAAs and compared to alternative risk assessment methods. Computed PRRI at 1.5 mean arterial pressure was significantly (p = 0.041) higher in ruptured AAAs (20.21(s.d. 14.15%)) than in intact AAAs (3.71(s.d. 5.77)%). PRRI showed a high sensitivity and specificity (discriminative power of 0.837) to discriminate between ruptured and intact AAA cases. The underlying statistical representation of stochastic data of wall thickness, wall strength and peak wall stress had only negligible effects on PRRI computations. Uncertainties in AAA wall stress predictions, the wide range of reported wall strength and the stochastic nature of failure motivate a probabilistic rupture risk assessment. Advanced AAA biomechanical modelling paired with a probabilistic rupture index definition as known from engineering risk assessment seems to be superior to a purely deterministic approach.     

基于概率密度演化理论的重庆市降雨概率结构研究

降雨作为市政工程和土木工程领域重要的灾害荷载之一,其概率结构对相应随机系统的分析有着至关重要的作用。然而,常用的概率模型往往不能很好地描述降雨的概率结构。为此,针对线性虚拟随机过程的广义密度演化方程及其形式解析解,导出了可直接用于随机静力系统分析的概率密度变换解,并发展了δ序列逼近算法。若将随机数据视为自映射系统,则上述方法可方便用于随机数据的概率结构分析。采用上述方法,该文分析了重庆市降雨的概率结构,获得了最大日降雨量概率密度函数的近似解,并由等间距的频数直方图和等频数直方图以及经验累积分布函数验证了近似解的准确性、可信性。遗憾的是,真实的概率密度函数复杂而不便于实用。因此,该文建议了一种描述复杂概率结构的线性组合模型,并通过试算法给出了最大日降雨量的实用概率模型,为后续的随机系统分析奠定基础。     

Safety risk assessment and management—the ESA approach

The European Space Agency ESA aims at minimizing the safety risks of their space flight projects. Hazard and risk reduction is supported by hazard analysis and probabilistic risk assessment. In hazard analysis hazardous conditions and accident scenarios are identified. Risk assessment is the probabilistic evaluation of accident scenarios and is the basis for risk management. The risk assessment method involves the determination and propagation of event probability. Expert judgement is used in a structured way. In risk management the risk assessment results are used to prioritize and optimize risk reduction efforts and to support risk acceptance evaluations.     

低速冲击下复合材料层合板损伤分析

根据低速冲击下复合材料层合板的分层损伤机理,发展了一种分层失效准则,该准则同时考虑了层间拉应力、层间剪应力和基体开裂等因素对分层损伤的影响,并在损伤分析中,区分了冲击正面由挤压应力引起的纤维挤压损伤和冲击背面由弯曲拉应力引起的纤维断裂损伤,模拟了纤维断裂、纤维挤压、基体开裂、基体挤压、分层等五种损伤的起始和扩展过程,完善了作者以前发展了低速冲击逐渐累积损伤模型.通过与实验结果进行比较,验证了模型的合理性.     

Assessment of the role of micro defect nucleation in probabilistic modeling of cleavage fracture

The present study is concerned with an experimental and numerical investigation of the local conditions for initiation of cleavage failure in ferritic steels. In the experimental analysis, a variety of SE(B), C(T) and CC(T) specimens has been tested. The cleavage triggering sites and the fracture mechanisms were determined in a subsequent fractographic investigation. In a finite element analysis, the local mechanical field quantities at the cleavage initiation spots at the instant of fracture were investigated. Based on the results, an enhanced local concept for cleavage assessment is proposed, accounting for both, the nucleation of critical micro defects and their possible instability due to local overloading. Together with a comparison to the prediction of previous probabilistic models for cleavage failure assessment, the results reveal the importance of considering the nucleation of possibly critical micro defects due to plastic straining as a second necessary criterion for cleavage fracture.     

Continuum damage mechanics approach to composite laminated shallow cylindrical/conical panels under static loading

Static response characteristics and failure load of laminated composite shallow cylindrical and conical panels subjected to internal/external lateral pressure are investigated using continuum damage mechanics approach considering geometric nonlinearity and damage evolution. The damage model is based on a generalized macroscopic continuum theory within the framework of irreversible thermodynamics and enables to predict the progressive damage and failure load. Damage variables are introduced for the phenomenological treatment of the state of defects and its implications on the degradation of the stiffness properties. The analysis is carried out using finite element method based on the first order shear deformation theory. The nonlinear governing equations are solved using Newton–Raphson iterative technique coupled with the adaptive displacement control method to efficiently trace the equilibrium path. The detailed parametric study is carried out to investigate the influences of geometric nonlinearity, evolving damage, span-to-thickness ratio, lamination scheme and semi-cone angle on the static response and failure load of laminated cylindrical/conical panels. It is revealed that the membrane forces due to geometric nonlinearity significantly influence the damage distribution and failure load.     

Prediction of reliability analysis of composite tubular structure under hygro-thermo-mechanical loading

The present paper focuses on reliability prediction of composite structure under hygro-thermo-mechanical loading, conditioned by Tsai-Wu failure criterion, where the Monte–Carlo method is used to estimate the failure probability(Pf). This model was developed in two steps: first, the development of a deterministic model, based on an analytical and numerical approach, and then, a probabilistic computation. Using the hoop stress for each ply, a sensitivity analysis was performed for random design variables, such as materials properties, geometry, manufacturing, and loading, on composite cylindrical structure reliability. The probabilistic results show the very high increase of failure probability when all parameters are considered.     

Determination of bounds on failure probability in the presence of hybrid uncertainties

A fundamental component of safety assessment is the appropriate representation and incorporation of uncertainty. A procedure for handling hybrid uncertainties in stochastic mechanics problems is presented. The procedure can be used for determining the bounds on failure probability for cases where failure probability is a monotonic function of the fuzzy variables. The procedure is illustrated through an example problem of safety assessment of a nuclear power plant piping component against stress corrosion cracking, considering the stochastic evolution of stress corrosion cracks with time. It is found that the bounds obtained enclose the values of failure probability obtained from probabilistic analyses.     

基于概率的高层建筑地震需求模型与风险评估EI北大核心CSCD

提出了基于贝叶斯理论的地震风险评估方法,综合考虑了地震危险性模型、输入地震动记录、结构参数和需求模型的不确定性,并以云南大理地区1970年-2017年间的地震数据为研究基础进行了详细讨论。在传统基于概率地震危险性分析方法的基础上,提出了基于贝叶斯理论的地震危险性分析方法,通过贝叶斯更新准则,确定了地震概率模型中未知参数的后验概率分布;通过贝叶斯理论建立了基于概率的地震需求模型,并在易损性中考虑了需求模型认知不确定性的影响;以42层钢框架-RC核心筒建筑为例,开展了地震作用下的风险评估。研究表明:基于贝叶斯理论的地震危险性分析方法,能够获得更为合理的危险性模型;忽略需求模型中参数不确定性的影响,将错误估计结构的地震易损性;不同加载工况将对高层建筑的地震风险产生显著影响。提出的概率风险评估方法,提供了可以考虑固有不确定性和认知不确定性的有效途径,有助于推动高性能结构地震韧性评价和设计理论的发展。     

The main mechanisms of stress corrosion cracking in natural gas trunk lines

Stress corrosion cracking in a pipe material presents a most critical hazard to natural gas trunk lines. The paper addresses the causes (mechanism) of crack formation and growth. Understanding of these issues will enable a proper implementation of methods for early identification, diagnostic, and prediction of this type of failure. A most comprehensive explanation of a joint influence of internal and external factors on the corrosion cracking can be provided by means of the probabilistic local electrochemical corrosion theory. It is based on the probabilistic nature of initiation of a local corrosion damage. A probabilistic approach is used to develop a concept of stress corrosion cracking. The factors responsible for the formation of local damage nuclei have been determined. The pipe manufacturing operations are shown to have a certain effect on the pipeline susceptibility to stress corrosion cracking. Modeling has been performed for the corrosion processes that may occur in a gas trunk line section subjected to a stress corrosion cracking hazard.     

Semi-analytic probabilistic analysis of axially compressed stiffened composite panels

The influence of scattering input parameters on the response of axially compressed stiffened composite panels is investigated. In order to estimate the stochastic distributions and the correlations between the first buckling load (or local buckling load), the global buckling load and the collapse load, a semi-analytic probabilistic analysis is performed. A procedure is given for evaluating the probability of failure of stiffened panels from the determined stochastic distributions, and probabilistically justified safety factors are derived.     

A physical probabilistic model to predict failure rates in buried PVC pipelines

For older water pipeline materials such as cast iron and asbestos cement, future pipe failure rates can be extrapolated from large volumes of existing historical failure data held by water utilities. However, for newer pipeline materials such as polyvinyl chloride (PVC), only limited failure data exists and confident forecasts of future pipe failures cannot be made from historical data alone. To solve this problem, this paper presents a physical probabilistic model, which has been developed to estimate failure rates in buried PVC pipelines as they age. The model assumes that under in-service operating conditions, crack initiation can occur from inherent defects located in the pipe wall. Linear elastic fracture mechanics theory is used to predict the time to brittle fracture for pipes with internal defects subjected to combined internal pressure and soil deflection loading together with through-wall residual stress. To include uncertainty in the failure process, inherent defect size is treated as a stochastic variable, and modelled with an appropriate probability distribution. Microscopic examination of fracture surfaces from field failures in Australian PVC pipes suggests that the 2-parameter Weibull distribution can be applied. Monte Carlo simulation is then used to estimate lifetime probability distributions for pipes with internal defects, subjected to typical operating conditions. As with inherent defect size, the 2-parameter Weibull distribution is shown to be appropriate to model uncertainty in predicted pipe lifetime. The Weibull hazard function for pipe lifetime is then used to estimate the expected failure rate (per pipe length/per year) as a function of pipe age. To validate the model, predicted failure rates are compared to aggregated failure data from 17 UK water utilities obtained from the United Kingdom Water Industry Research (UKWIR) National Mains Failure Database. In the absence of actual operating pressure data in the UKWIR database, typical values from Australian water utilities were assumed to apply. While the physical probabilistic failure model shows good agreement with data recorded by UK water utilities, actual operating pressures from the UK is required to complete the model validation.     

A nonparametric model of random uncertainties for reduced matrix models in structural dynamics

Random uncertainties in finite element models in linear structural dynamics are usually modeled by using parametric models. This means that: (1) the uncertain local parameters occurring in the global mass, damping and stiffness matrices of the finite element model have to be identified; (2) appropriate probabilistic models of these uncertain parameters have to be constructed; and (3) functions mapping the domains of uncertain parameters into the global mass, damping and stiffness matrices have to be constructed. In the low-frequency range, a reduced matrix model can then be constructed using the generalized coordinates associated with the structural modes corresponding to the lowest eigenfrequencies. In this paper we propose an approach for constructing a random uncertainties model of the generalized mass, damping and stiffness matrices. This nonparametric model does not require identifying the uncertain local parameters and consequently, obviates construction of functions that map the domains of uncertain local parameters into the generalized mass, damping and stiffness matrices. This nonparametric model of random uncertainties is based on direct construction of a probabilistic model of the generalized mass, damping and stiffness matrices, which uses only the available information constituted of the mean value of the generalized mass, damping and stiffness matrices. This paper describes the explicit construction of the theory of such a nonparametric model.     

Assessment of effect of ductile tearing on cleavage failure probability in ductile to brittle transition region

The fracture behaviour of ferritic and ferritic martensitic steels in ductile to brittle transition (DBT) region has been extensively studied in recent years and a probabilistic approach of master curve method is generally used to describe the fracture toughness of BCC steels in DBT region as a function of temperature. The assessment of cleavage failure probability however is still untouched in the upper region of ductile to brittle transition, although various extensions of master curve approach and various local approaches has been explored. Additionally the geometry and loading in tension and bending also adds up to the difficulties when cleavage failure is assisted with prior ductile tearing. In this work the cleavage fracture is investigated in upper region of DBT and a modified master curve approach is presented which can satisfactorily describe the fracture toughness as a function of temperature as well as amount of ductile tearing preceded by cleavage.     

多级三角形格栅夹芯板力学分析

为了提高点阵复合材料结构的轻质高强力学特征,尤其提高其抗屈曲性能,设计了一种新型的多级三角形格栅夹芯板结构。根据等效连续介质力学方法提出了多级三角形格栅夹芯板的等效计算理论,预测了拉伸主导型多级三角形格栅夹芯板结构的等效弹性模量以及等效抗弯刚度。分析了侧压条件下多级三角形格栅夹芯板的弹性屈曲载荷和强度破坏模式。在理论模型的基础上绘制了侧压条件下多级三角形格栅夹芯板结构的失效模式图,指出了结构破坏模式与多级三角形格栅夹芯板尺寸之间的对应关系。研究表明:具有工字型截面的多级三角形格栅夹芯板结构相比于传统矩形截面格栅结构具有更高的抗弯刚度和弹性屈曲载荷,是一种性能更加优越的轻质高强点阵结构。