Future penetration and impacts of electric vehicles on transport energy consumption and CO_2 emissions in different Chinese tiered cities

This study focuses on the penetration of electric vehicles(EVs) within the private passenger vehicle market in selected Chinese cities categorized into different tiers. It presents an analysis of factors driving the market diffusion of EVs and the reasons for varying results across the investigated cities and provides estimates of related EV impacts on local energy consumption and CO_2 emissions. A nested multinomial model incorporating technological attributes of vehicles, energy prices, charging conditions,and incentive policies was developed for conducting a scenario analyses covering six cities. The results indicated that in a stagnation scenario in which policy support was absent, the market share of electric vehicles would be less than 7% in all six cities under investigation by 2030. In medium growth and rapid growth scenarios, the market share of EVs across the six cities was projected to be within the ranges of 29%–68% and 49%–80%, respectively. The impacts of EVs on gasoline demand depended not just on their cumulative sales but also on the share of electrified vehicle distance, and the CO_2 emission reduction effect was influenced by local EV stocks and the mix of local electricity sources. Battery costs, charging conditions, and energy prices were primary driving factors. Charging conditions and energy prices were key reasons for differences in the penetration curves among cities. These driving factors were further affected by differences in local income levels, housing and parking conditions, and availability of land resources. Subsidies were found to be effective in the short term, whereas in the medium term,tax breaks could serve as the main monetary incentive. In the long term, national policy should focus on technology-related RD, whereas local policies should focus on the operational phase and be tailored to specific local situations.     

Robust tracking control design for a flexible air-breathing hypersonic vehicle简

A nonlinear robust controller was presented to improve the tracking control performance of a flexible air-breathing hypersonic vehicle （AHV） which is subjected to system parametric uncertainties and unknown additive time-varying disturbances. The longitudinal dynamic model for the flexible AHV was used for the control development. High-gain observers were designed to compensate for the system uncertainties and additive disturbances. Small gain theorem and Lyapunov based stability analysis were utilized to prove the stability of the closed loop system. Locally uniformly ultimately bounded tracking of the vehicle＇s velocity, altitude and attack angle were achieved under aeroelastic effects, system parametric uncertainties and unknown additive disturbances. Matlab/Simulink simulation results were provided to validate the robustness of the proposed control design. The simulation results demonstrate that the tracking errors stay in a small region around zero.     

Road traffic states estimation algorithm based on matching of regional traffic attracters

To effectively solve the traffic data problems such as data invalidation in the process of the acquisition of road traffic states, a road traffic states estimation algorithm based on matching of the regional traffic attracters was proposed in this work. First of all, the road traffic running states were divided into several different modes. The concept of the regional traffic attracters of the target link was put forward for effective matching. Then, the reference sequences of characteristics of traffic running states with the contents of the target link＇s traffic running states and regional traffic attracters under different modes were established. In addition, the current and historical regional traffic attracters of the target link were matched through certain matching rules, and the historical traffic running states of the target link corresponding to the optimal matching were selected as the initial recovery data, which were processed with Kalman filter to obtain the final recovery data. Finally, some typical expressways in Beijing were adopted for the verification of this road traffic states estimation algorithm. The results prove that this traffic states estimation approach based on matching of the regional traffic attracters is feasible and can achieve a high accuracy.     

Rigid-Flexible Coupling Dynamic Analysis of Sub-Launched Vehicle During the Vertical Tube-Exit Stage

During the launching stage,hydrodynamic pressure and adapters’ reaction loads can influence the vehicle’s rigid motion as well as cause its structural vibration,which is a typical rigid-flexible coupling dynamic problem. This paper presents a 2-D rigid-flexible coupling model to calculate the vehicle’s dynamic responses in that period.The vehicle was equivalent to a flexure beam with axial deformation. Hybrid coordinate and modal superposition methods were used to describe its large rigid displacement and small deformation. By the second Lagrange equation,the vehicle centroid’s displacements,rotational angle and modal coordinates were chosen as generalized coordinates and then the vehicle ’s rigid-flexible coupling dynamic equations were obtained. By numerical simulation,the results of vehicle’s motion parameters and transverse internal loads were acquired.The calculation results showed that differences of the vehicle’s motion parameters between the rigid-flexible coupling model and the rigid body assumption are noticeable and the peak magnitude of the vehicle’s transverse internal loads in the rigid-flexible coupling model is higher remarkably than that in the rigid body assumption.     

Co-simulation platform for single-shaft parallel HEVs based on Cruise+Matlab/Simulink

We reversely analyzed the energy management strategy （EMS） for a single-shaft parallel hybrid electric vehicle （HEV）, and build a forward co-simulation platform based on Cruise and Matlab. The vehicle dynamics model is built with Cruise, and control model is set up with Matlab/Simulink environment. The data between the two models are transferred by the Matlab API interface in Cruise. After mechanical and signal connections are completed, we establish the computing tasks and take the simulations of vehicle＇ s power performance, economy, and emission performance. The simulation results match the actual measurement results, which show that the co-simulation platform is correct and feasible. The platform can be used not only for a basic simulation platform to optimize further EMS, but also for the development of actual control system.     

Designing the cooling system of a hybrid electric vehicle with multi-heat source

In order to reduce the power consumption and meet the cooling demand of every heat source component,three kinds of multi-heat source cooling system schemes were designed base on the characteristic of power split hybrid electric vehicle( HEV). Using the numerical simulation method,the power system heat transfer model was built. By comparing the performance of three different schemes through the Simulink simulation,the best cooling system scheme was found. Base on characteristics of these cooling system structures,the reasonableness of the simulation results were analyzed and verified. The results showed that the cooling system designation based on the numerical simulation could describe the cooling system performance accurately. This method could simplify the design process,improve design efficiency and provide a new way for designing a multi-heat source vehicle cooling system.     

Design of a d_（33）-mode piezocomposite electricity generating element and its application to bridge monitoring

The piezoelectric effect is used in sensing applications such as in force and displacement sensors.However,the brittleness and low performance of piezoceramic lead zirconate titanate（PZT） often impede its applicability in civil structures which are subjected to large loads.The concept of a piezocomposite electricity generating element（PCGE） has been proposed for improving the electricity generation performance and overcoming the brittleness of piezoceramic wafers.The post-curing residual stress in the PZT layer constitutes a main reason for the PCGE＇s enhanced performance,and the outer epoxy-based composites protect the brittle PZT layer.A d33-mode PCGE designed for bridge monitoring application was inserted in a bridge bearing to provide a permanent and simple weigh-in-motion system.The designed PCGEs were tested through a series of tests including fatigue and dynamic tests to verify their applicability for monitoring purposes in a bridge structure.A simple beam example was presented to show the applicability of the proposed bridge bearing equipped with the PCGE for adequately measuring the traffic loads.     

Regenerative braking control for hybrid electric vehicles under decelerating condition

The operating mode of a single shaft hybrid electric vehicle （SSHEV） in which the electric motor exerts negative torque on the shaft to imitate engine braking is analyzed. The method of determining the quantity of regenerative braking torque is proposed with the premise that the braking intensity required by the driver is satisfied. On this basis, factors that affect torque generated by the motor are listed, and how the battery＇ s temperature and state of charge （ SOC ） restrict and correct the braking torque is expounded. Finally, road test results show that the motor＇ s constant power or constant torque control is an effective way to recover the mechanical energy during decelerating.     

Analyzing influence of bicycles on traffic flow using microscopic simulation approach

Mixed traffic consisting of cars and bicycles is a typical pattern of urban traffic in China.To study the impact of bicycles on traffic performance,a microscopic simulating model based on the principle of cautious driving and collision free was proposed.The interaction between cars and bicycles were described by lateral friction and overlapping driving.The dynamical features of speed and time-headway were investigated by numerical simulations.The results show that bicycles have a significant impact on travel speed and time-headway.The effect of bicycles can cause different results in the free flow phase and congestion phase respectively.The results also indicate the necessity to mitigate the interaction between motorized vehicles and non-motorized vehicles.     

Control and Simulation of Continuously Variable Transmission for Electric Transmission System

According to the study of electric transmission, the concept of the fore and the aft power chain is presented. The control method of continuously variable transmission is established in the aft chain of electric transmission based on brushless DC motor. A fuzzy controller is designed with continuous fuzzy variables and the simulation module of the aft power chain is proved by test. The fuzzy controller controls the process of continuously variable transmission steadily and the acceleration of vehicle is quick according to simulation results. The elementary performance exhibited in the simulation is a foundation for the further study of the electric transmission track vehicle.     

Experimental and Numerical Study on the Gas Explosion in Urban Regulator Station

Regulator station is an important part in the urban gas transmission and distribution system. Once gas explosion occurs, the real explosion process and consequences of methane gas explosion in the regulator station were not revealed systematically. In this study, a full-scale experiment was carried out to simulate the regulator station explosion process, and some numerical simulations with a commercial CFD software called FLACS were conducted to analyze the effect of ignition and vent conditions on the blast overpressure and flame propagation. The experimental results demonstrated that the peak overpressure increased as the distance from the vent increased within a certain distance. And the maximum overpressure appeared 3 m away from the door, which was about 36.6 kPa. It was found that the pressure-time rising curves obtained from the simulation are basically the same as the ones from the experiment, however, the time of reaching the peak pressure was much shorter. The numerical simulation results show that the peak overpressures show an increase trend as the ignition height decreased and the vent relief pressure increased. It indicates that the damage and peak overpressure of gas explosion could be well predicted by FLACS in different styles of regulator station. In addition, the results help us to understand the internal mechanism and development process of gas explosion better. It also offers technical support for the safety protection of the urban regulator station.     

Entire deformational characteristics and strain localization of jointed rock specimen in plane strain compression

Shear band （SB）, axial, lateral and volumetric strains as well as Poisson＇s ratio of anisotropic jointed rock specimen （JRS） were modeled by Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua （FLAC）. Failure criterion of rock was a composited Mohr-Coulomb criterion with tension cut-off. An inclined joint was treated as square elements of ideal plastic material beyond the peak strength. Several FISH functions were written to automatically find the addresses of elements in the joint and to calculate the entire deformational characteristics of plane strain JRS. The results show that for moderate joint inclination （JI） , strain is only concentrated into the joint governing the behavior of JRS, leading to ideal plastic responses in axial and lateral directions. For higher JI, the post-peak stress-axial and lateral strain curves become steeper as JI increases owing to the increase of new SB＇s length. Lateral expansion and precursor to the unstable failure are the most apparent, resulting in the highest Poisson＇s ratio and even negative volumetric strain. For lower JI, the entire post-peak deformational characteristics are independent of JI. The lowest lateral expansion occurs, leading to the lowest Poisson＇s ratio and positive volumetric strain all along. The present prediction on anisotropic strength in plane strain compression qualitatively agrees with the results in triaxial tests of rocks. The JI calculated by Jaeger＇s formula overestimates that related to the minimum strength. Advantages of the present numerical model over the Jaeger＇s model are pointed out.     

Estimating the clutch transmitting torque during HEV mode-switch based on the Kalman filter

A power train dynamics model of a coaxial parallel hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) was built for different clutch operating states. With the state vector constituted by the motor rotation speed and the clutch transmitting torque at two successive time steps, a discrete state space model for estimating the clutch transmitting torque was built, and the Kalman filtering algorithm was used to estimate the clutch transmitting torque. The Matlab/Simulink was employed to simulate the clutch transmitting torque for two mode-switch processes. Estimation errors were analyzed through comparing the estimated and simulated values of the clutch torque. Impact of the noise covariance and the sample time on clutch torque estimation errors were explored. The results show that the developed estimation method can be used to estimate the clutch transmitting torque for HEV with good accuracy. The results are useful for torque direct control of automatic diaphragm clutches.     

Fatigue monitoring and analysis of orthotropic steel deck considering traffic volume and ambient temperature

Fatigue has gradually become a serious issue for orthotropic steel deck used for long-span bridges. Two fatigue effects, namely number of stress cycles and equivalent stress amplitude, were introduced as investigated parameters in this paper. Investigation was focused on their relationships with traffic volume and ambient temperature by using 7-months fatigue monitoring data of an actual bridge. A fatigue analytical model considering temperature-induced changes in material property of asphalt pavement was established for verifying these relationships. The analysis results revealed that the number of stress cycles and equivalent stress amplitude showed a linear correlation with the traffic volume and ambient temperature, respectively, and that the rib-to-deck welded joint was much more sensitive to the traffic volume and ambient temperature than the rib-to-rib welded joint. The applicability of the code-recommended model for fatigue vehicle loading was also discussed, which revealed that the deterministic vehicle loading model requires improvement to account for significant randomness of the actual traffic conditions.     

Maneuverability simulation of a mini autonomous underwater vehicle

In order to simulate the under water motion of a mini autonomous underwater vehicle( AUV) and an- alyze its maneuverability,the dynamical characteristic of the mini AUV was researched. The 6-DOF motion equations were founded. Through model experiment with accessory bodies,the hydrodynamics of AUV body including resistance,main inertial and viscous hydrodynamic coefficients was obtained. The hydrodynamics of rudders was gained through theoretical calculation. Simulation computation of the vehicle was carried out through numerical integration of the motion equations. A motion simulation system was constructed. Four typical maneuvers in horizontal and vertical planes were simulated and the maneuverability of the mini AUV was forecasted. The simulation results reflect the basic motion characteristic of mini AUV and validate the feasibility and correctness of the whole system. The simulation system can be a testing platform for the design and debugging of motion controller and an effective tool for the development of AUV.     

Design of a novel 50 kW fast charger for electric vehicles

A novel 50 kW fast charger was proposed for electric vehicles. The proposed fast charger is divided into two main sections: an AC-DC converter performing a PFC function and a DC-DC converter performing a charging function. A transformer including leakage inductances was used in the AC-DC converter in order to obtain isolation and inductance. A series-connection topology was used in the DC-DC converter between the DC-bus and outlet. This topology enables high power conversion efficiency up to 95% for the DC-DC converter. In order to reduce the impact of the 50 kW charging on the AC grid, the proposed fast charger system includes a buffering battery unit between the two main power conversion units. This leads to reductions in the power installation costs of power companies and to improvements in the power quality on the AC grid. The performances of the proposed fast charger system were verified through simulations and experimental results.     

Experiment and finite element analysis of micromilling force

For predicting the milling force in process of micromilling aluminum alloy, the law for micromilling force changing under different milling parameters was studied. The elastic-plastic finite elelent model of micromilling was found using general commercial software. During modeling, the Johnson-Cook＇ s coupled thermal- mechanical model was used as workpieee material model, the Johnson-Cook＇ s shear failure principle was adopted as workpiece failure principle, and the coupled thermal-mechanical hexahedron strain hybrid modules and serf-adaptive grid technology based on the updated Lagrange formulation were used to mesh the workpiece＇ s elements, while the friction between tool and workpiece obeys the modified Coulomb＇ s law that combines with the sliding friction and the adhesive friction. By means of finite element analysis, the law for micromilling force changing under different milling parameters was obtained, and the results were analyzed and compared. Finally micromilling experiments were carried out to validate the results of simulation.     

Dynamics of mechanical system for electromechanical integrated toroidal drive under electric disturbance

Based on electromagnetics and mechanics, electromechanical coupled dynamic equations for the drive were developed. Using method of perturbation, free vibrations of the mechanical system under electric disturbance were investigated. The forced responses of the mechanical system to mechanical excitation under electric disturbance were also presented. It is known that for the system with electric disturbance, as time grows, beat occurs. When electric disturbing frequency is near to the natural frequencies of the mechanical system or their integer multiple, resonance vibrations occur. The forced responses of the mechanical system to mechanical excitation under electric disturbance are compound vibrations decided by mechanical excitation, electric disturbance and parameters of the system. The coupled resonance vibration caused by electric disturbance and mechanical excitation was discussed as well. The conditions under which above coupled resonance occurs were presented. The results show that when the difference of the excitation frequency and the perturbation frequency is equal to some order of natural frequency, coupled resonance vibrations occur.     

Understanding taxi driver＇s cruising behavior with ZIP model

The taxi drivers＇ cruising pattern was learned using GPS trajectory data collected in Shenzhen, China. By employing zero-inflated Poisson model, the impacts of land use and previous pick-up experience on cruising decision were measured. The cruising strategies of different types of drivers as well as the top one driver were examined. The results indicate that both land use and previous pick-up experience affect travel behavior with the former＇s influence （7.07 × 10-4 measured by one of the coefficients in zero-inflated Poisson model） being greater than the latter＇s （4.58×10-5） in general, but the comparison also varies across the types of drivers. Besides, taxi drivers＇ day-to-day learning feature is also proved by the results. According to comparison of the cruising behavior of the most efficient and inefficient driver, an efficient cruising strategy was proposed, that is, obeying the distribution of land use in choice of cruising area, while learning from pick-up experience in selection of detailed cruising location. By learning taxi drivers＇ cruising pattern, the development of measures of regulating travel behaviors is facilitated, important factor for traffic organization and planning is identified, and an efficient cruising strategy for taxi drivers is provided.     

Delays caused by motorized vehicles unable to clear intersections in China： Graphical analysis

In many Chinese cities,motorized vehicles （M-vehicles） move slowly at intersections due to the interference of a large number of non-motorized vehicles （NM-vehicles）.The slow movement makes a part of M-vehicles fail to leave intersections timely after the traffic signal tums red,and thereby conflicts between vehicles from two directions occur.The phenomenon was analyzed graphically by using the cumulative vehicle curve.Delays in three cases were modeled and compared：NM-vehicle priorities and M-vehicle priorities with all-red intervals unable to release all vehicles,and longer all-red intervals ensuring release all vehicles.Marginal delays caused by two illegal behaviors that occasionally happened in mixed traffic intersections were also investigated.It is concluded that increasing the speed of M-vehicles leaving intersections and postponing the entering of NM-vehicles are the keys in mathematics,although they are uneasy in disordered mixed traffic intersections due to a dilemma between efficiency and orders in reality.The results could provide implications for the traffic management in the cities maintaining a large number of M-and NM-vehicles.