最小一乘回归神经网络集成方法股市建模研究

提出了一种新的神经网络集成股市建模方法,采用偏最小二乘方法构造神经网络输入矩阵,利用Bagging技术和不同的神经网络学习算法生成集成个体,再用遗传算法选择参与集成的个体,以"误差绝对值和最小"为最优准,建立最小一乘回归神经网络集成模型,通过上证指数开盘价、收盘价进行实例分析,计算结果表明该方法具有较好的学习能力和泛化能力,在股市预测中预测精度高、稳定性好.     

基于特征提取的选择性神经网络集成方法

针对现有神经网络集成研究方法在输入属性、集成方式和集成形式上的不足,提出一种基于特征提取的选择性神经网络集成模型-NsNNEIPCABag.该模型通过Bagging算法产生若干训练子集;利用改进的主成分分析(IPCA)提取主成分作为输入来训练个体网络;采用IPCA从所有个体网络中选择出部分线性无关的个体网络;采用神经网络对选择出来的个体网络进行非线性集成.为检验该模型的有效性,将其用于时间序列预测,结果表明本文提出的方法的泛化能力优于流行的其它集成方法.     

基于改进聚类分析的神经网络集成方法应用研究

随着工业生产规模扩大、生产过程日趋复杂,人们对过程模拟提出了更高的要求。提出一种基于改进聚类分析的神经网络集成方法。首先,根据数据密度分布,改进传统K-均值聚类分析中初始中心点选取的不足,对样本进行分类,扩大样本间的差异性;第二,运用具有快速学习能力的广义回归神经网络算法对各类样本建立个体神经网络并进行训练;第三,对所有样本增加构造补偿神经网络,进行误差补偿,以消除由于选择错误造成的输出误差;最后,根据计算得到的聚类中心对输入样本进行数值分析,选择输出个体神经网络,并与构造的补偿网络输出进行比较,最终实现神经网络集成。通过人工数据Sinc验证模型,此方法有效提高了模型精度,对提高过程模拟准确性提供了新途径。     

BP神经网络在煮糖结晶过程建模的应用

煮糖结晶过程是一个非常复杂的物理、化学过程,其内部机理复杂,各变量间相互耦合,很难建立机理模型.利用神经网络具有逼近任意复杂非线性函数的能力,将神经网络应用到煮糖结晶过程建模中.模型以煮糖结晶过程中糖液的过饱和度为输出,以影响过饱和度的温度,压力和各阀门的开度等等作为网络的输入,采用改进的BP算法,建立了煮糖结晶过程的动态响应模型.给出了模型的结构、网络学习流程图和仿真结果.仿真结果表明,此BP网络模型能较好地解决煮糖结晶过程的建模问题.     

铅锌烧结过程的集成建模方法及智能优化算法

以铅锌烧结过程的集成建模和优化控制为背景 ,首先集成主元分析、神经网络、模糊专家系统等多种方法 ,建立了铅锌烧结过程的综合工况模型 ,然后根据综合工况模型预测的结果 ,采用聚类搜索混沌遗传算法获得最优的操作参数 ,给出操作优化指导 .本文提出的集成建模方法与操作优化算法 ,很好地解决了多输入多输出复杂工业过程的建模和优化控制问题 ,在铅锌烧结过程的生产中产生了显著的效益     

基于粒子群和投影寻踪的样本重构神经网络集成模型在降水预报中的应用

首先利用粒子群算法和投影寻踪技术构造神经网络的学习矩阵,基于负相关学习的样本重构方法生成神经网络集成个体,进一步用粒子群算法和投影寻踪回归方法对集成个体集成,生成神经网络集成的输出结论,建立基于粒子群算法-投影寻踪的样本重构神经网络集成模型。该方法应用于广西全区的月降水量预报,结果表明该方法在降水预报中能有效从众多天气因子中构造神经网络的学习矩阵,而且集成学习预测精度高、稳定性好,具有一定的推广能力。     

基于神经网络集成的软件故障预测及实验分析

软件系统故障预测是软件测试过程中软件可靠性研究的重点之一。利用软件系统测试过程中前期的故障相关信息进行建模,预测后期的软件故障信息,以便于后期测试和验证资源的合理分配。根据软件测试过程中已知的软件故障时间序列,利用非齐次泊松分布过程、神经网络、神经网络集成等方法对其进行建模。通过对三个实例分别建模,其预测平均相对误差G-O模型依次为3.02%、5.88%和6.58%,而神经网络集成模型为0.19%、1.88%和1.455%,实验结果表明神经网络集成模型具有更精确的预测能力。     

铅锌烧结配料过程的智能集成建模与综合优化方法

以铅锌烧结配料过程为背景, 针对传统配料方法中存在的成本高和准确率低的问题, 提出一种智能集成建模与综合优化方法. 首先, 在建立过程神经网络模型和改进灰色系统预测模型的基础上, 利用信息论中熵值的概念, 提出一种既可保证预测精度又能满足配料计算对数据完备性要求的烧结块成分集成预测模型; 其次, 以成本最小为目标建立烧结配料优化模型, 采用基于专家推理策略和改进免疫遗传算法的定性定量综合集成方法, 实现烧结配料的优化. 仿真结果验证了该方法的有效性.     

一种应用PSO优化RBF神经网络的方法

RBF神经网络算法是一种常用的数据训练方法,在该训练过程中,如何选取更合理的个体作为RBF神经网络的神经元,直接关系到该数据训练方法的性能.利用传统的RBF神经网络模型进行数据训练,由于不同的神经元之间的差异性较小,造成建立的RBF神经网络集成模型的精确度过低.为此,提出应用PSO优化RBF神经网络的方法.动态构造PSO优化RBF神经网络结构,针对不同的动态构造方法进行分类,得到网格删除法、网络构造法和综合法等不同的动态构造方法,在动态构造的基础上,建立引用PSO优化RBF神经网络模型,计算RBF神经网络中的粒子变量,获取对应的适应性值,得到RBF神经网络的输出结果,实现应用PSO优化的RBF神经网络建模.实验结果表明,利用改进算法进行RBF神经网络构建,能够降低RBF神经网络的数据训练误差,满足实际需求.     

一种k均值和神经网络集成的语音识别方法

提出了一种基于k均值聚类和BP神经网络集成的语音识别方法,该方法以神经网络集成模型为基础,利用k均值聚类算法选择部分有差异性的个体神经网络再进行集成学习,既克服了单个BP网络模型容易局部收敛和不稳定性的缺点,又解决了传统集成方法训练时间长和个体网络差异性不明显的问题。通过对非特定人孤立词的语音识别的实验,证实了该方法的有效性。     

煤矿井下安全监控分站的设计及其仿真实现

为了设计一种具有低成本、低功耗、易操作、功能强且可靠性高的煤矿井下安全分站,针对煤矿安全生产实际,文章提出了采用MCS-51系列单片机为核心、具有CAN总线通信接口的煤矿井下安全监控分站的设计方案;首先给出煤矿井下安全监控分站的整体构架设计,然后着重阐述模拟量输入信号处理系统的设计过程,最后说明单片机最小系统及其键盘、显示、报警、通信等各个组成部分的设计;为验证设计方案的可行性与有效性,使用Proteus软件对设计内容进行仿真验证,设计的煤矿井下安全监控分站具有瓦斯、温度等模拟量参数超标报警功能和电机开停、风门开闭等开关量指示功能;仿真结果表明:设计的煤矿井下安全监控分站具有一定的实际应用价值.     

Call for Papers The 6^th International Conference on Grid and Cooperative Computing

Recent years have seen rapid advances in various grid-related technologies, middleware, and applications. The GCC conference has become one of the largest scientific events worldwide in grid and cooperative computing. The 6th international conference on grid and cooperative computing (GCC2007) Sponsored by China Computer Federation (CCF),Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (ICT) and Xinjiang University ,and in Cooperation with IEEE Computer Soceity ,is to be held from August 16 to 18, 2007 in Urumchi, Xinjiang, China.     

View-based model-driven architecture for enhancing maintainability of data access services

In modern service-oriented architectures, database access is done by a special type of services, the so-called data access services (DAS). Though, particularly in data-intensive applications, using and developing DAS are very common today, the link between the DAS and their implementation, e.g. a layer of data access objects (DAOs) encapsulating the database queries, still is not sufficiently elaborated, yet. As a result, as the number of DAS grows, finding the desired DAS for reuse and/or associated documentation can become an impossible task. In this paper we focus on bridging this gap between the DAS and their implementation by presenting a view-based, model-driven data access architecture (VMDA) managing models of the DAS, DAOs and database queries in a queryable manner. Our models support tailored views of different stakeholders and are scalable with all types of DAS implementations. In this paper we show that our view-based and model driven architecture approach can enhance software development productivity and maintainability by improving DAS documentation. Moreover, our VMDA opens a wide range of applications such as evaluating DAS usage for DAS performance optimization. Furthermore, we provide tool support and illustrate the applicability of our VMDA in a large-scale case study. Finally, we quantitatively prove that our approach performs with acceptable response times.     

A pragmatic multi-method investigation of discrepant technological events: Coping,attributions, and ‘accidental’ learning

Discrepant technological events or situations that entail a problem, a misunderstanding or a difficulty with the Information Technology (IT) being employed, are common in the workplace, and can lead to frustration and avoidance behaviors. Little is known, however, about how individuals cope with these events. This paper examines these events by using a multi-method pragmatic approach informed by coping theory. The results of two studies – a critical incident study and an experiment – serve to build and test, respectively, a theoretical model that posits that individuals use a variety of strategies when dealing with these events: they experience negative emotions, make external attributions, and adopt engagement coping strategies directed at solving the event, eventually switching to a disengagement coping strategy when they feel they have no control over the situation. Furthermore, users’ efforts may result in ‘accidental’ learning as they try to overcome the discrepant IT events through engagement coping. The paper ends with a discussion of the results in light of existing literature, future opportunities for research, and implications for practice.     

The Distributed Time-Triggered Simulation Scheme: Core Principles and Supporting Execution Engine

Distributed real-time simulation is a young technology field but its practice is under increasing demands. In recent years the author and his collaborators have been establishing a new approach called the distributed time-triggered simulation (DTS) scheme which is conceptually simple and easy to use but widely applicable. The concept was initiated in the course of developing a new-generation object-oriented real-time programming scheme called the time-triggered message-triggered object (TMO) programming scheme. Some fundamental issues inherent in distributed real-time simulation that were learned during recent experimental studies are discussed along with some approaches for resolving the issues. An execution engine developed to support both the TMOs engaged in control computation and the TMOs engaged in DTS is also discussed along with its possible extensions that will enable significantly larger-scale DTSs.     

Software-Konfigurationsmanagement in großen Softwareprojekten

Zusammenfassung Mit zunehmender Größe der Softwaresysteme verschärfen sich die für die Software-Herstellung typischen Probleme: Beherrschen großer Objektmengen, Erhalten der Systemkonsistenz, Kontrolle der ständigen Änderungseinflüsse und Gewährleisten einer langen Lebensdauer. Die Disziplin Konfigurationsmanagement bildet den methodischen Ansatz, diese Probleme besser zu beherrschen. Software-Konfigurationsmanagement faßt die Herstellung von Softwaresystemen als eine Abfolge von kontrollierten Änderungen an gesicherten Zwischen- und Endergebnissen auf. Dargestellt werden die Objekte und Funktionen des Software-Konfigurationsmanagements sowie die hierfür in großen Software-Projekten benötigten Methoden, Instanzen und Hilfsmittel.     

Information for Authors

正http://www.zju.edu.cn/jzus http://www.springerlink.com Aim The Journals of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE(A/B/C)are edited by the international board of distinguished Chinese and foreign scientists,and are aimed to present the latest developments and achievements in scientific research in China and     

Editorial:Brain-machine interface(BMI) and cyborg intelligence

正Brain-machine interfaces(BMIs)aim at building a direct communication pathway between the brain and an external device,and represent an area of research where significant progress has been made during the past decade.Based on BMIs,mind information can be read out by neural signals to control     

Information for Authors

正http://www.zju.edu.cn/jzus http://www.springerlink.com Aim The Journals of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE(A/B/C)are edited by the international board of distinguished Chinese and foreign scientists,and are aimed to present the latest developments and achievements in scientific research in China and overseas to the world’s scientific circles,especially to stimulate     

SCIENCE CHINA Information Sciences SUBJECT INDEX TO VOLUME 57(2014)

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