Use of artificial neural networks for prediction of discharge coefficient of triangular labyrinth side weir in curved channels

Side weirs have been extensively used in hydraulic and environmental engineering applications. The discharge coefficient of the triangular labyrinth side weirs is 1.5-4.5 times higher than that of rectangular side weirs. This study aims to estimate the discharge coefficient (C_d) of triangular labyrinth side weir in curved channel by using artificial neural networks (ANN). In this study, 7963 laboratory test results are used for determining the C_d. The performance of the ANN model is compared with multiple nonlinear and linear regression models. Root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute errors (MAE) and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used as comparing criteria for the evaluation of the models’ performances. Based on the comparisons, it was found that the neural computing technique could be employed successfully in modeling discharge coefficient from the available experimental data. There were good agreements between the measured values and the values obtained using the ANN model. It was found that the ANN model with RMSE of 0.1658 in validation stage is superior in estimation of discharge coefficient than the multiple nonlinear and linear regression models with RMSE of 0.2054 and 0.2926, respectively.     

Predicting discharge capacity of triangular labyrinth side weir located on a straight channel by using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy technique

Side weirs are widely used for flow diversion in irrigation, land drainage, urban sewage systems and also in intake structures. It is essential to correctly predict the discharge coefficient for hydraulic engineers involved in the technical and economical design of side weirs. In this study, the discharge capacity of triangular labyrinth side weirs is estimated by using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Two thousand five hundred laboratory test results are used for determining discharge coefficient of triangular labyrinth side weirs. The performance of the ANFIS model is compared with multi nonlinear regression models. Root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute errors (MAE) and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used as comparing criteria for the evaluation of the models’ performances. Based on the comparisons, it was found that the ANFIS technique could be employed successfully in modeling discharge coefficient from the available experimental data. There are good agreements between the measured values and the values obtained using the ANFIS model. It is found that the ANFIS model with RMSE of 0.0699 in validation stage is superior in estimation of discharge coefficient than the multiple nonlinear and linear regression models with RMSE of 0.1019 and 0.1507, respectively.     

Application of two different neural network techniques to lateral outflow over rectangular side weirs located on a straight channel

Side weirs are structures often used in irrigation techniques, sewer networks and flood protection. This study aims to obtain sharp-crested rectangular side weirs discharge coefficients in the straight channel by using artificial neural network model for a total of 843 experiments. The performance of the feed forward neural networks (FFNN) and radial basis neural networks (RBNN) are compared with multiple nonlinear and linear regression models. Root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute errors (MAE) and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used for the evaluation of the models’ performances. Comparison results indicated that the neural computing techniques could be employed successfully in modeling discharge coefficient. The FFNN is found to be better than the RBNN. It is found that the FFNN model with RMSE of 0.037 in test period is superior in estimation of discharge coefficient than the multiple nonlinear and linear regression models with RMSE of 0.054 and 0.106, respectively.     

Predicting discharge coefficient of triangular labyrinth weir using extreme learning machine,artificial neural network and genetic programming

Weirs are a type of hydraulic structure used to direct and transfer water flows in the canals and overflows in the dams. The important index in computing flow discharge over the weir is discharge coefficient (C _d). The aim of this study is accurate determination of the C _d in triangular labyrinth side weirs by applying three intelligence models [i.e., artificial neural network (ANN), genetic programming (GP) and extreme learning machine (ELM)]. The calculated discharge coefficients were then compared with some experimental results. In order to examine the accuracy of C _d predictions by ANN, GP and ELM methods, five statistical indices including coefficient of determination (R ²), root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), SI and δ have been used. Results showed that R ² values in the ELM, ANN and GP methods were 0.993, 0.886 and 0.884, respectively, at training stage and 0.971, 0.965 and 0.963, respectively, at test stage. The ELM method, having MAPE, RMSE, SI and δ values of 0.81, 0.0059, 0.0082 and 0.81, respectively, at the training stage and 0.89, 0.0063, 0.0089 and 0.88, respectively, at the test stage, was superior to ANN and GP methods. The ANN model ranked next to the ELM model.

     

Estimation of pressuremeter modulus and limit pressure of clayey soils by various artificial neural network models

The main purpose of the present study is to develop some artificial neural network (ANN) models for the prediction of limit pressure (P _L) and pressuremeter modulus (E _M) for clayey soils. Moisture content, plasticity index, and SPT values are used as inputs in the ANN models. To get plausible results, the number of hidden layer neurons in all models is varied between 1 and 5. In addition, both linear and nonlinear activation functions are considered for the neurons in output layers while a nonlinear activation function is employed for the neurons in the hidden layers of all models. Logistic activation function is used as a nonlinear activation function. During the modeling studies, total eight different ANN models are constructed. The ANN models having two outputs produced the worst results, independent from activation function. However, for P _L, the best results are obtained from the feed-forward neural network with five neurons in the hidden layer, and logistic activation function is employed in the output neuron. For E _M, the best model producing the most acceptable results is Elman recurrent network model, which has 4 neurons in the neurons in the hidden layer, and linear activation function is used for the output neuron. Finally, the results show that the ANN models produce the more accurate results than the regression-based models. In the literature, when empirical equations based on regression analysis were used, the best root mean square error (RMSE) values obtained to date for P _L and E _M have been 0.43 and 5.65, respectively. In this study, RMSE values for P _L and E _M were found to be 0.20 and 2.99, respectively, by using ANN models. It was observed that using ANN approach drastically increases the prediction accuracy in terms of RMSE criterion.     

Forecasting highway casualties under the effect of railway development policy in Turkey using artificial neural networks

This study presents forecast of highway casualties in Turkey using nonlinear multiple regression (NLMR) and artificial neural network (ANN) approaches. Also, the effect of railway development on highway safety using ANN models was evaluated. Two separate NLMR and ANN models for forecasting the number of accidents (A) and injuries (I) were developed using 27 years of historical data (1980–2006). The first 23 years data were used for training, while the remaining data were utilized for testing. The model parameters include gross national product per capita (GNP-C), numbers of vehicles per thousand people (V-TP), and percentage of highways, railways, and airways usages (TSUP-H, TSUP-R, and TSUP-A, respectively). In the ANN models development, the sigmoid and linear activation functions were employed with feed-forward back propagation algorithm. The performances of the developed NLMR and ANN models were evaluated by means of error measurements including mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R ²). ANN models were used for future estimates because NLMR models produced unreasonably decreasing projections. The number of road accidents and as well as injuries was forecasted until 2020 via different possible scenarios based on (1) taking TSUPs at their current trends with no change in the national transport policy at present, and (2) shifting passenger traffic from highway to railway at given percentages but leaving airway traffic with its current trend. The model results indicate that shifting passenger traffic from the highway system to railway system resulted in a significant decrease on highway casualties in Turkey.     

Precipitation forecasting by using wavelet-support vector machine conjunction model

A new wavelet-support vector machine conjunction model for daily precipitation forecast is proposed in this study. The conjunction method combining two methods, discrete wavelet transform and support vector machine, is compared with the single support vector machine for one-day-ahead precipitation forecasting. Daily precipitation data from Izmir and Afyon stations in Turkey are used in the study. The root mean square errors (RMSE), mean absolute errors (MAE), and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used for the comparing criteria. The comparison results indicate that the conjunction method could increase the forecast accuracy and perform better than the single support vector machine. For the Izmir and Afyon stations, it is found that the conjunction models with RMSE=46.5 mm, MAE=13.6 mm, R=0.782 and RMSE=21.4 mm, MAE=9.0 mm, R=0.815 in test period is superior in forecasting daily precipitations than the best accurate support vector regression models with RMSE=71.6 mm, MAE=19.6 mm, R=0.276 and RMSE=38.7 mm, MAE=14.2 mm, R=0.103, respectively. The ANN method was also employed for the same data set and found that there is a slight difference between ANN and SVR methods.     

Several non-linear models in estimating air-overpressure resulting from mine blasting

This research presents several non-linear models including empirical, artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy system and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to estimate air-overpressure (AOp) resulting from mine blasting. For this purpose, Miduk copper mine, Iran was investigated and results of 77 blasting works were recorded to be utilized for AOp prediction. In the modeling procedure of this study, results of distance from the blast-face and maximum charge per delay were considered as predictors. After constructing the non-linear models, several performance prediction indices, i.e. root mean squared error (RMSE), variance account for (VAF), and coefficient of determination (R ²) and total ranking method are examined to choose the best predictive models and evaluation of the obtained results. It is obtained that the ANFIS model is superior to other utilized techniques in terms of R ², RMSE, VAF and ranking herein. As an example, RMSE values of 5.628, 3.937, 3.619 and 2.329 were obtained for testing datasets of empirical, ANN, fuzzy and ANFIS models, respectively, which indicate higher performance capacity of the ANFIS technique to estimate AOp compared to other implemented methods.     

Neuro-genetic,neuro-imperialism and genetic programing models in predicting ultimate bearing capacity of pile

Prediction of pile-bearing capacity developing artificial intelligence models has been done over the last decade. Such predictive tools can assist geotechnical engineers to easily determine the ultimate pile bearing capacity instead of conducting any difficult field tests. The main aim of this study is to predict the bearing capacity of pile developing several smart models, i.e., neuro-genetic, neuro-imperialism, genetic programing (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN). For this purpose, a number of concrete pile characteristics and its dynamic load test specifications were investigated to select pile cross-sectional area, pile length, pile set, hammer weight and drop height as five input variables which have the most impacts on pile bearing capacity as the single output variable. It should be noted that all the aforementioned parameters were measured by conducting a series of pile driving analyzer tests on precast concrete piles located in Pekanbaru, Indonesia. The recorded data were used to establish a database of 50 test cases. With regard to data modelling, many smart models of neuro-genetic, neuro-imperialism, GP and ANN were developed and then evaluated based on the three most common statistical indices, i.e., root mean squared error (RMSE), coefficient determination (R²) and variance account for (VAF). Based on the simulation results and the computed indices’ values, it is observed that the proposed GP model with training and test RMSE values of 0.041 and 0.040, respectively, performs noticeably better than the proposed neuro-genetic model with RMSE values of 0.042 and 0.040, neuro-imperialism model with RMSE values of 0.045 and 0.059, and ANN model with RMSE values of 0.116 and 0.108 for training and test sets, respectively. Therefore, this GP-based model can provide a new applicable equation to effectively predict the ultimate pile bearing capacity.

     

Performance of radial basis and LM-feed forward artificial neural networks for predicting daily watershed runoff

This study investigated the effects of upstream stations’ flow records on the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) models for predicting daily watershed runoff. As a comparison, a multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis was also examined using various statistical indices. Five streamflow measuring stations on the Cahaba River, Alabama, were selected as case studies. Two different ANN models, multi layer feed forward neural network using Levenberg–Marquardt learning algorithm (LMFF) and radial basis function (RBF), were introduced in this paper. These models were then used to forecast one day ahead streamflows. The correlation analysis was applied for determining the architecture of each ANN model in terms of input variables. Several statistical criteria (RMSE, MAE and coefficient of correlation) were used to check the model accuracy in comparison with the observed data by means of K-fold cross validation method. Additionally, residual analysis was applied for the model results. The comparison results revealed that using upstream records could significantly increase the accuracy of ANN and MLR models in predicting daily stream flows (by around 30%). The comparison of the prediction accuracy of both ANN models (LMFF and RBF) and linear regression method indicated that the ANN approaches were more accurate than the MLR in predicting streamflow dynamics. The LMFF model was able to improve the average of root mean square error (RMSE_ave) and average of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE_ave) values of the multiple linear regression forecasts by about 18% and 21%, respectively. In spite of the fact that the RBF model acted better for predicting the highest range of flow rate (flood events, RMSE_ave/RBF = 26.8 m³/s vs. RMSE_ave/LMFF = 40.2 m³/s), in general, the results suggested that the LMFF method was somehow superior to the RBF method in predicting watershed runoff (RMSE/LMFF = 18.8 m³/s vs. RMSE/RBF = 19.2 m³/s). Eventually, statistical differences between measured and predicted medians were evaluated using Mann-Whitney test, and differences in variances were evaluated using the Levene's test.     

A new design of evolutionary hybrid optimization of SVR model in predicting the blast-induced ground vibration

This study aims to identify the suitability of hybridizing the firefly algorithm (FA), genetic algorithm (GA), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) with two well-known data-driven models of support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural network (ANN) to predict blast-induced ground vibration. Here, these combinations are abbreviated using FA–SVR, PSO–SVR, GA–SVR, FA–ANN, PSO–ANN, and GA–ANN models. In addition, a modified FA (MFA) combined with SVR model is also proposed in this study, namely, MFA–SVR. The feasibility of the proposed models is examined using a case study, located in Johor, Malaysia. Then, to provide an objective assessment of performances of the predictive models, their results were compared based on several well known and popular statistical criteria. According to the results, the MFA–SVR with the coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.984 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.614 was more accurate model to predict PPV than the PSO–SVR with R² = 0.977 and RMSE = 0.725, the FA–SVR with R² = 0.964 and RMSE = 0.923, the GA–SVR with R² = 0.957 and RMSE = 1.016, the GA–ANN with R² = 0.936 and RMSE = 1.252, the FA–ANN with R² = 0.925 and RMSE = 1.368, and the PSO–ANN with R² = 0.924 and RMSE = 1.366. Consequently, the MFA–SVR model can be sufficiently employed in estimating the ground vibration, and has the capacity to generalize.

     

Artificial neural network–genetic algorithm for estimation of crop evapotranspiration in a semi-arid region of Iran

This study compares the daily potato crop evapotranspiration (ET_C) estimated by artificial neural network (ANN), neural network–genetic algorithm (NNGA) and multivariate nonlinear regression (MNLR) methods. Using a 6-year (2000–2005) daily meteorological data recorded at Tabriz synoptic station and the Penman–Monteith FAO 56 standard approach (PMF-56), the daily ET_C was determined during the growing season (April–September). Air temperature, wind speed at 2 m height, net solar radiation, air pressure, relative humidity and crop coefficient for every day of the growing season were selected as the input of ANN models. In this study, the genetic algorithm was applied for optimization of the parameters used in ANN approach. It was found that the optimization of the ANN parameters did not improve the performance of ANN method. The results indicated that MNLR, ANN and NNGA methods were able to predict potato ET_C at desirable level of accuracy. However, the MNLR method with highest coefficient of determination (R ² > 0.96, P value < 0.05) and minimum errors provided superior performance among the other methods.     

Assessing the efficacy of Landsat-8 OLI imagery derived models for remotely estimating chlorophyll-a concentration in the Upper Ganga River,India

ABSTRACT

Chlorophyll-a (chl-a) serves as an indicator of productivity in surface water. Estimating chl-a concentration is pivotal for monitoring and subsequent conservation of surface water quality. Artificial neural network (ANN) based models were validated and tested for their efficacy against various regression models to determine the chl-a concentration in the Upper Ganga river. Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) surface reflectance (SR) imagery for May and October along with in-situ data over a period of 2 years (2016–2017) was used to develop and validated models. Regression model performance was acceptable with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.57, 0.63, 0.66 and 0.68 for linear, exponential, logarithmic and power model, respectively. However, there was a significant improvement in the efficacy of chl-a determination using ANN model performance having a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.52 µg l^–1 and R² = 0.97 in comparison to the best-performing regression model (power) with RMSE = 9.86 µg l^–1 and R² = 0.68. ANN exhibited comparatively more precise spatial and seasonal variability with mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.26 µg l^–1 as compared to the best regression model (power) MAE = 7.98 µg l^–1 suggesting the applicability of ANN for large-scale spatial and temporal monitoring river stretches using Landsat-8 OLI SR images.     

Performance evaluation of hybrid FFA-ANFIS and GA-ANFIS models to predict particle size distribution of a muck-pile after blasting

Accurately predicting the particle size distribution of a muck-pile after blasting is always an important subject for mining industry. Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has emerged as a synergic intelligent system. The main contribution of this paper is to optimize the premise and consequent parameters of ANFIS by firefly algorithm (FFA) and genetic algorithm (GA). To the best of our knowledge, no research has been published that assesses FFA and GA with ANFIS for fragmentation prediction and no research has tested the efficiency of these models to predict the fragmentation in different time scales as of yet. To show the effectiveness of the proposed ANFIS-FFA and ANFIS-GA models, their modelling accuracy has been compared with ANFIS, support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural network (ANN). Intelligence predictions of fragmentation by ANFIS-FFA, ANFIS-GA, ANFIS, SVR and ANN are compared with observed values of fragmentation available in 88 blasting event of two quarry mines, Iran. According to the results, both ANFIS-FFA and ANFIS-GA prediction models performed satisfactorily; however, the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and the highest correlation of determination (R²) values were obtained from ANFIS-GA model. The values of R² and RMSE obtained from ANFIS-GA, ANFIS-FFA, ANFIS, SVR and ANN models were equal to (0.989, 0.974), (0.981, 1.249), (0.956, 1.591), (0.924, 2.016) and (0.948, 2.554), respectively. Consequently, the proposed ANFIS-GA model has the potential to be used for predicting aims on other fields.

     

Prediction of unconfined compressive strength of rock surrounding a roadway using artificial neural network

The unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of rocks is an important design parameter in rock engineering and geotechnics, which is required and determined for rock mechanical studies in mining and civil projects. This parameter is usually determined through a laboratory UCS test. Since the preparation of high-quality samples is difficult, expensive and time consuming for laboratory tests, development of predictive models for determining the mechanical properties of rocks seems to be essential in rock engineering. In this study, an attempt was made to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) and multivariable regression analysis (MVRA) models in order to predict UCS of rock surrounding a roadway. For this, a database of laboratory tests was prepared, which includes rock type, Schmidt hardness, density and porosity as input parameters and UCS as output parameter. To make a database (including 93 datasets), different rock samples, ranging from weak to very strong types, are used. To compare the performance of developed models, determination coefficient (R ²), variance account for (VAF), mean absolute error (E _a) and mean relative error (E _r) indices between predicted and measured values were calculated. Based on this comparison, it was concluded that performance of the ANN model is considerably better than the MVRA model. Further, a sensitivity analysis shows that rock density and Schmidt hardness were recognized as the most effective parameters, whereas porosity was considered as the least effective input parameter on the ANN model output (UCS) in this study.     

Non-tuned machine learning approach for hydrological time series forecasting

Stream-flow forecasting is a crucial task for hydrological science. Throughout the literature, traditional and artificial intelligence models have been applied to this task. An attempt to explore and develop better expert models is an ongoing endeavor for this hydrological application. In addition, the accuracy of modeling, confidence and practicality of the model are the other significant problems that need to be considered. Accordingly, this study investigates modern non-tuned machine learning data-driven approach, namely extreme learning machine (ELM). This data-driven approach is containing single layer feedforward neural network that selects the input variables randomly and determine the output weights systematically. To demonstrate the reliability and the effectiveness, one-step-ahead stream-flow forecasting based on three time-scale pattern (daily, mean weekly and mean monthly) for Johor river, Malaysia, were implemented. Artificial neural network (ANN) model is used for comparison and evaluation. The results indicated ELM approach superior the ANN model level accuracies and time consuming in addition to precision forecasting in tropical zone. In measureable terms, the dominance of ELM model over ANN model was indicated in accordance with coefficient determination (R ²) root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The results were obtained for example the daily time scale R ² = 0.94 and 0.90, RMSE = 2.78 and 11.63, and MAE = 0.10 and 0.43, for ELM and ANN models respectively.

     

High performance concrete compressive strength forecasting using ensemble models based on discrete wavelet transform

This paper investigates the use of wavelet ensemble models for high performance concrete (HPC) compressive strength forecasting. More specifically, we incorporate bagging and gradient boosting methods in building artificial neural networks (ANN) ensembles (bagged artificial neural networks (BANN) and gradient boosted artificial neural networks (GBANN)), first. Coefficient of determination (R²), mean absolute error (MAE) and the root mean squared error (RMSE) statics are used for performance evaluation of proposed predictive models. Empirical results show that ensemble models (R²_BANN=0.9278, R²_GBANN=0.9270) are superior to a conventional ANN model (R²_ANN=0.9088). Then, we use the coupling of discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and ANN ensembles for enhancing the prediction accuracy. The study concludes that DWT is an effective tool for increasing the accuracy of the ANN ensembles (R²_WBANN=0.9397, R²_WGBANN=0.9528).     

Enhancement of parcel valuation with adaptive artificial neural network modeling

This study targets a research on the application of artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple regression analysis (MRA) approaches in Geomatics Engineering science to land valuation process. The prediction capability was investigated and evaluated using three ANN models constructed with different activation functions (sigmoid, tangent hyperbolic and adaptive activation function) and MRA was used as a reference approach. These four methodologies were applied to land valuation in order to model the unit market value with various inputs based on essential criteria. All approaches were investigated with their estimation level in training and testing data. It was observed that adaptive ANN performed noticeably higher predicting the values with the highest accuracy and giving the smallest RMSE value in validation process, although other methodologies approximated to the raw data at a promising level for further valuation-based applications.