Hierarchical multi-channel hidden semi Markov graphical models for activity recognition

Recognizing human actions from a stream of unsegmented sensory observations is important for a number of applications such as surveillance and human-computer interaction. A wide range of graphical models have been proposed for these tasks, and are typically extensions of the generative hidden Markov models (HMMs) or their discriminative counterpart, conditional random fields (CRFs). These extensions typically address one of three key limitations in the basic HMM/CRF formalism – unrealistic models for the duration of a sub-event, not encoding interactions among multiple agents directly and not modeling the inherent hierarchical organization of activities. In our work, we present a family of graphical models that generalize such extensions and simultaneously model event duration, multi agent interactions and hierarchical structure. We also present general algorithms for efficient learning and inference in such models based on local variational approximations. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework by developing graphical models for applications in automatic sign language (ASL) recognition, and for gesture and action recognition in videos. Our methods show results comparable to state-of-the-art in the datasets we consider, while requiring far fewer training examples compared to low-level feature based methods.     

概率图模型推理方法的研究进展

近年来概率图模型已成为不确定性推理的研究热点,在人工智能、机器学习与计算机视觉等领域有广阔的应用前景.根据网络结构与查询问题类型的不同,系统地综述了概率图模型的推理算法.首先讨论了贝叶斯网络与马尔可夫网络中解决概率查询问题的精确推理算法与近似推理算法,其中主要介绍精确推理中的VE算法、递归约束算法和团树算法,以及近似推理中的变分近似推理和抽样近似推理算法,并给出了解决MAP查询问题的常用推理算法;然后分别针对混合网络的连续与混合情况阐述其推理算法,并分析了暂态网络的精确推理、近似推理以及混合情况下的推理;最后指出了概率图模型推理方法未来的研究方向.     

Factorial Hidden Markov Models

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have proven to be one of the most widely used tools for learning probabilistic models of time series data. In an HMM, information about the past is conveyed through a single discrete variable—the hidden state. We discuss a generalization of HMMs in which this state is factored into multiple state variables and is therefore represented in a distributed manner. We describe an exact algorithm for inferring the posterior probabilities of the hidden state variables given the observations, and relate it to the forward–backward algorithm for HMMs and to algorithms for more general graphical models. Due to the combinatorial nature of the hidden state representation, this exact algorithm is intractable. As in other intractable systems, approximate inference can be carried out using Gibbs sampling or variational methods. Within the variational framework, we present a structured approximation in which the the state variables are decoupled, yielding a tractable algorithm for learning the parameters of the model. Empirical comparisons suggest that these approximations are efficient and provide accurate alternatives to the exact methods. Finally, we use the structured approximation to model Bach's chorales and show that factorial HMMs can capture statistical structure in this data set which an unconstrained HMM cannot.     

Variational Bayesian methods for spatial data analysis

With scientific data available at geocoded locations, investigators are increasingly turning to spatial process models for carrying out statistical inference. However, fitting spatial models often involves expensive matrix decompositions, whose computational complexity increases in cubic order with the number of spatial locations. This situation is aggravated in Bayesian settings where such computations are required once at every iteration of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In this paper, we describe the use of Variational Bayesian (VB) methods as an alternative to MCMC to approximate the posterior distributions of complex spatial models. Variational methods, which have been used extensively in Bayesian machine learning for several years, provide a lower bound on the marginal likelihood, which can be computed efficiently. We provide results for the variational updates in several models especially emphasizing their use in multivariate spatial analysis. We demonstrate estimation and model comparisons from VB methods by using simulated data as well as environmental data sets and compare them with inference from MCMC.     

Improving probabilistic inference in graphical models with determinism and cycles

Many important real-world applications of machine learning, statistical physics, constraint programming and information theory can be formulated using graphical models that involve determinism and cycles. Accurate and efficient inference and training of such graphical models remains a key challenge. Markov logic networks (MLNs) have recently emerged as a popular framework for expressing a number of problems which exhibit these properties. While loopy belief propagation (LBP) can be an effective solution in some cases; unfortunately, when both determinism and cycles are present, LBP frequently fails to converge or converges to inaccurate results. As such, sampling based algorithms have been found to be more effective and are more popular for general inference tasks in MLNs. In this paper, we introduce Generalized arc-consistency Expectation Maximization Message-Passing (GEM-MP), a novel message-passing approach to inference in an extended factor graph that combines constraint programming techniques with variational methods. We focus our experiments on Markov logic and Ising models but the method is applicable to graphical models in general. In contrast to LBP, GEM-MP formulates the message-passing structure as steps of variational expectation maximization. Moreover, in the algorithm we leverage the local structures in the factor graph by using generalized arc consistency when performing a variational mean-field approximation. Thus each such update increases a lower bound on the model evidence. Our experiments on Ising grids, entity resolution and link prediction problems demonstrate the accuracy and convergence of GEM-MP over existing state-of-the-art inference algorithms such as MC-SAT, LBP, and Gibbs sampling, as well as convergent message passing algorithms such as the concave–convex procedure, residual BP, and the L2-convex method.     

概率生成模型变分推理方法综述

概率生成模型是知识表示的重要方法,在该模型上计算似然函数的概率推理问题一般是难解的.变分推理是重要的确定性近似推理方法,具有较快的收敛速度、坚实的理论基础.尤其随着大数据时代的到来,概率生成模型变分推理方法受到工业界和学术界的极大关注.综述了多种概率生成模型变分推理框架及最新进展,具体包括:首先综述了概率生成模型变分推理一般框架及基于变分推理的生成模型参数学习过程;然后对于条件共轭指数族分布,给出了具有解析优化式的变分推理框架及该框架下可扩展的随机化变分推理;进一步,对于一般概率分布,给出了基于随机梯度的黑盒变分推理框架,并简述了该框架下多种变分推理算法的具体实现;最后分析了结构化变分推理,通过不同方式丰富变分分布提高推理精度并改善近似推理一致性.此外,展望了概率生成模型变分推理的发展趋势.     

视觉信息处理中的马尔可夫随机场

由于视觉信息处理中存在大量的不确定性,概率图模型在计算机视觉领域有着广泛的应用,备受广大学者的关注。许多视觉问题都可以通过建立概率图模型进行求解,随着高效求解算法的提出和发展,马尔可夫随机场在解决计算机视觉领域的大规模数据问题中具有很大的优势。首先简要地介绍了概率图模型的概念,然后对马尔可夫随机场模型的定义、特性和推导求解进行了分析和讨论,在此基础上,以马尔可夫随机场在视觉信息的应用为线索,对目前基于马尔可夫随机场的计算机视觉信息处理的主要技术进行了概述和比较研究。     

概率图模型学习技术研究进展

概率图模型能有效处理不确定性推理,从样本数据中准确高效地学习概率图模型是其在实际应用中的关键问题.概率图模型的表示由参数和结构两部分组成,其学习算法也相应分为参数学习与结构学习.本文详细介绍了基于概率图模型网络的参数学习与结构学习算法,并根据数据集是否完备而分别讨论各种情况下的参数学习算法,还针对结构学习算法特点的不同把结构学习算法归纳为基于约束的学习、基于评分搜索的学习、混合学习、动态规划结构学习、模型平均结构学习和不完备数据集的结构学习.并总结了马尔科夫网络的参数学习与结构学习算法.最后指出了概率图模型学习的开放性问题以及进一步的研究方向.     

A PENALTY-LOGIC SIMPLE-TRANSITION MODEL FOR STRUCTURED SEQUENCES

We study the problem of learning to infer hidden-state sequences of processes whose states and observations are propositionally or relationally factored. Unfortunately, standard exact inference techniques such as Viterbi and graphical model inference exhibit exponential complexity for these processes. The main motivation behind our work is to identify a restricted space of models, which facilitate efficient inference, yet are expressive enough to remain useful in many applications. In particular, we present the penalty-logic simple-transition model, which utilizes a very simple-transition structure where the transition cost between any two states is constant. While not appropriate for all complex processes, we argue that it is often rich enough in many applications of interest, and when it is applicable there can be inference and learning advantages compared to more general models. In particular, we show that sequential inference for this model, that is, finding a minimum-cost state sequence, efficiently reduces to a single-state minimization (SSM) problem. We then show how to define atemporal-cost models in terms of penalty logic, or weighted logical constraints, and how to use this representation for practically efficient SSM computation. We present a method for learning the weights of our model from labeled training data based on Perceptron updates. Finally, we give experiments in both propositional and relational video-interpretation domains showing advantages compared to more general models.