MIV方法在苹果糖度近红外分析中的应用

针对苹果糖度近红外光谱数据的特点,分析了基于BP神经网络和偏最小二乘PLS的苹果糖度定量预测模型建立方法:,将平均影响值方法:(mean impact value)引入到近红外波长选取的过程中来,并与联合区间偏最小二乘法结合,达到波长优选的目的:。首先,利用联合区间偏最小二乘算法,筛选出与苹果的糖度相关度较大的光谱波长数据,再利用PLS-BP方法:建立预测模型。在此模型基础上,使用平均影响值方法:,对参与建模的每个波长数据进行评价,选取影响值最大的一系列波长点,重新建立模型。模型变量数为124,校正均方根误差(RMSEC)为0.1740,验证均方根误差(RMSEP)为0.4565。结果:表明,校正均方根误差,利用平均影响值与联合区间偏最小二乘方法:结合,对光谱数据进行波长的筛选,可以降低模型复杂度,同时提高模型预测精度。     

A new recurslve method for the analysis of linear time invariant dynamic systems via double-term triangular functions （DTTF） in state space environment

This paper presents a new recursive method for system analysis via double-term triangular functions (DTTF) in state space environment. The proposed method uses orthogonal triangular function sets and proves to be more accurate as compared to single term Walsh series (STWS) method with respect to mean integral square error (MISE). This has been established theoretically and comparison of error with respect to MISE is presented for clarity. A numerical example is treated to establish the proposed method. Relevant curves for the solutions of states of the dynamic system are also presented with plots of percentage error for DTTF-based analysis.     

Deterministic and probabilistic ship pitch prediction using a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing,reinforcement learning and improved QRNN

The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems.