基于IIGA-BP神经网络的钢材销售预测模型

为克服传统BP神经网络(BP Neural Network,BPNN)在销售预测中,预测精度低、收敛速度慢的缺点.提出了一种基于改进免疫遗传算法(Improved Immune Genetic Algorithm,IIGA)优化BP神经网络的销售预测模型.改进的免疫遗传算法提出了新的种群初始化方式、抗体浓度的调节机制及自适应交叉算子、变异算子的设计方法,有效的提高了IIGA的收敛能力和寻优能力.并用IIGA优化BPNN的初始权值和阈值,改善网络参数的随机性导致BPNN输出不稳定和易陷入局部极值的缺点.以某钢铁企业的历史销售数据为例进行实证研究,利用Matlab分别构建BP、IGA-BP和IIGA-BP神经网络预测模型进行仿真对比分析.实验证明,IIGA-BP神经网络预测模型较BP神经网络预测模型预测精度提高了23.82％,较IGA-BP神经网络预测模型预测精度提高了22.02％.IIGA-BP神经网络模型对钢材销售预测的泛化性能更好,预测效果更稳定误差基本保持在[0.25,0.25]之间,预测精度大幅度提高,为企业销售预测提供了一种较为有效的方法.     

基于DBN网络与BP神经网络PID控制的永磁同步电机调速策略比较研究

针对BP神经网络自身存在的学习速率固定、记忆不稳定等缺点,设计了一种基于DBN网络PID的永磁同步电机控制器,通过Matlab/Simulink对基于BP神经网络PID控制器的电机调速策略和基于DBN网络PID控制器的电机调速策略进行建模仿真分析,探讨两者对于PMSM调速策略中控制鲁棒性和稳定性的优劣。仿真结果表明,基于DBN网络PID的永磁同步电机调速控制策略训练效果更佳,具有更好的稳定性和鲁棒性。     

基于免疫算法和反向传播神经元网络的无线网络入侵检测研究

为了能够检测到无线网络系统中已知和未知类型的入侵者,提高无线网络系统的安全性,在对网络数据分析和研究的基础上,提出一种基于免疫算法和反向传播神经元网络的入侵检测方法。首先利用免疫算法对网络数据进行预处理,再运用反向传播神经元网络对处理后的数据(程序)进行识别。实验表明用该方法检测无线网络系统中的新型入侵者是可行、有效的,检测入侵者的准确率可达到97%。     

主成分和BP神经网络在粮食产量预测中的组合应用

粮食产量的变动受到多种因素的共同影响,各因素之间往往具有十分复杂的非线性关系,传统的预测方法大多无法反映这种变化规律而影响了预测的准确性.BP神经网络模型具有很好的非线性逼近能力,对中国粮食产量能实现比较准确的预测;主成分分析可以对具有模糊关联的变量数据进行降维,其与BP神经网络的组合能优化模型的网络结构,提高预测精度.实证结果表明,组合模型预测结果的精度提高了3%,网络训练的收敛速度和效率也得到不同程度的改善.     

一种基于神经网络的LD-CELP算法

在低延时矢量励线性预测 (LD -CELP)编码算法的基础上 ,提出直接矢量量化的低延迟矢量激励线性预测编码方案 (DVQ -LD -CELP) ,采用误差反向传播神经网络 (BPNN)来实现DVQ -LD -CELP方法中的码本搜索算法 ,实现在保持原编码方法 (LD -CELP)生成语音的音质和码率的同时 ,降低码本搜索的复杂度 ,提高码本搜索算法的效率     

多层组合分类器研究

为了提高监督分类的精度，本文从组合分类器的结构出发，提出一种横向多层组合模型，并对这种模型的运行方式与组合特性进行分析。该模型每层含有一个分类器，每个分类器的输入和输出一起作为其后面一层的输入。我们将简单贝叶斯法与BP神经网络组合成两层分类器。实验结果表明，这种组合方式有效地提高了单个方法的分类精度。     

基于BP神经网络的长江流域人口预测研究

人口系统是一个非常复杂的非线性系统．对人口数量的准确预测能为生态经济可持续发展计划的制定提供重要依据。建立了一维时间序列的长江流域人口数量的BP神经网络模型．根据1988～2001年长江流域人口统计数据．借助Matlab6.5软件进行预测．并与指数平滑预测、自回归模型、Logistic模型的预测结果进行比较．结果表明应用BP神经网络对人口数量的预测精度更高、效果更好。     

Back propagation genetic and recurrent neural network applications in modelling and analysis of squeeze casting process

Today, in competitive manufacturing environment reducing casting defects with improved mechanical properties is of industrial relevance. This led the present work to deal with developing the input-output relationship in squeeze casting process utilizing the neural network based forward and reverse mapping. Forward mapping is aimed to predict the casting quality (such as density, hardness and secondary dendrite arm spacing) for the known combination of casting variables (that is, squeeze pressure, pressure duration, die and pouring temperature). Conversely, attempt is also made to determine the appropriate set of casting variables for the required casting quality (that is, reverse mapping). Forward and reverse mapping tasks are carried out utilizing back propagation, recurrent and genetic algorithm tuned neural networks. Parameter study has been conducted to adjust and optimize the neural network parameters utilizing the batch mode of training. Since, batch mode of training requires huge data, the training data is generated artificially using response equations. Furthermore, neural network prediction performances are compared among themselves (reverse mapping) and with those of statistical regression models (forward mapping) with the help of test cases. The results shown all developed neural network models in both forward and reverse mappings are capable of making effective predictions. The results obtained will help the foundry personnel to automate and précised control of squeeze casting process.     

Modeling and optimization method featuring multiple operating modes for improving carbon efficiency of iron ore sintering process

Iron ore sintering is one of the most energy-consuming processes in steelmaking. Since its main source of energy is the combustion of carbon, it is important to improve the carbon efficiency to save energy and to reduce undesired emissions. A modeling and optimization method based on the characteristics of the sintering process has been developed to do that. It features multiple operating modes and employs the comprehensive carbon ratio (CCR) as a measure of carbon efficiency. The method has two parts. The first part is the modeling of multiple operating modes of the sintering process. K-means clustering is used to identify the operating modes; and for each mode, a predictive model is built that contains two submodels, one for predicting the state parameters and one for predicting the CCR. The submodels are built using back-propagation neural networks (BPNNs). An analysis of material and energy flow, and correlation analyses of process data and the CCR, are used to determine the most appropriate inputs for the submodels. The second part of the method is optimization based on a determination of the optimal operating mode. The problem of how to reduce the CCR is formulated as a two-step optimization problem, and particle swarm optimization is used to solve it. Finally, verification of the modeling and optimization method based on actual process data shows that it improves the carbon efficiency of iron ore sintering.     

Performance and Modeling of an Up-flow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket(UASB) Reactor for Treating High Salinity Wastewater from Heavy Oil Production

In this study,an up-flow anaerobic sludge blanket(UASB) reactor was applied to treat the high salinity wastewater from heavy oil production process.At a HRT of ≥24 h,the COD removal reached as high as 65.08% at an influent COD ranging from 350mg/L to 640mg/L.An average of 74.33% oil reduction was also achieved in the UASB reactor at an initial oil concentration between 112mg/L and 205mg/L.These results indicated that this heavy oil production related wastewater could be degraded efficiently in the UASB reactor.Granular sludge was formed in this reactor.In addition,two models,built on the back propagation neural network(BPNN) theory and linear regression techniques were developed for the simulation of the UASB system performance in the oily wastewater biodegradation.The average error of COD and oil removal was-0.65% and 0.84%,respectively.The results indicated that the models built on the BPNN theory were wellfitted to the detected data,and were able to simulate and predict the removal of COD and oil by the UASB reactor.