基于VMD和BSA-KELM的高陡边坡位移预测模型研究

边坡位移的时间序列曲线存在复杂的非线性特性,传统的预测模型精度不足以满足预测要求。为此提出了基于变分模态分解的鸟群优化-核极限学习机的预测模型,并用于河北省某水泥厂的边坡位移预测。该方法首先采用VMD把边坡位移序列分解为一系列的有限带宽的子序列,再对各子序列分别采用相空间重构并用核极限学习机预测,采用鸟群算法优化相空间重构的嵌入维度和KELM中惩罚系数和核参数三个数值,以取得最优预测模型。最后将各个子序列预测值叠加,得到边坡位移的最终预测值。结果表明：和KELM、BSA-KELM、EEMD-BSA-KELM模型相比,基于VMD的BSA-KELM预测精度更高,为边坡位移的预测提供一种有效的方法。     

Experimental investigation of unconfined spherical and cylindrical flame propagation in hydrogen-air mixtures

This paper presents results of experimental investigations on spherical and cylindrical flame propagation in pre-mixed H₂/air-mixtures in unconfined and semi-confined geometries. The experiments were performed in a facility consisting of two transparent solid walls with 1 m² area and four weak side walls made from thin plastic film. The gap size between the solid walls was varied stepwise from thin layer geometry (6 mm) to cube geometry (1 m). A wide range of H₂/air-mixtures with volumetric hydrogen concentrations from 10% to 45% H₂ was ignited between the transparent solid walls. The propagating flame front and its structure was observed with a large scale high speed shadow system. Results of spherical and cylindrical flame propagation up to a radius of 0.5 m were analyzed. The presented spherical burning velocity model is used to discuss the self-acceleration phenomena in unconfined and unobstructed pre-mixed H₂/air flames.     

某住宅小区边坡渗水治理及综合利用

分析了某小区边坡渗水的原因，结合实际情况，介绍了边坡渗水的治理措施，并对渗水进行了收集综合利用，消除了边坡滑坡的安全隐患，取得了较好的社会效益和经济效益。     

龙滩水电站地下厂房进水口高边坡加固支护设计

龙滩水电站地下厂房进水口高边坡开挖坡高达435m，坡面面积达27万m^2，为典型的反倾向层状结构岩质高边坡。为了确保进水口坝段的稳定，必须保持边坡岩体有足够的稳定性，通过采取边坡轮廓设计，防渗、排水设计，加固支护设计及施工控制等一系列措施，确保边坡稳定。文章简要论述了边坡设计的原则、标准、高边坡轮廓设计、防渗排水系统、加固支护措施、施工控制等情况。     

Expanding the analytical potential of channel locational probability maps using cellular statistics

The planimetric shifts in channel location of large alluvial rivers are a critical component in the creation of diverse structures and functions in riverine habitats. Engineered management schemes must also compensate for this type of channel change to protect resources and maintain navigation channels. The stability of the Lower Mississippi River channel was assessed through an analysis of historical records of channel position produced and archived by the United States Army Corps of Engineers. Channel location was recorded for the years 1765, 1820, 1881, 1915, 1930, 1937, 1960 and 1970. Channel stability was measured by two introduced metrics on a cell‐by‐cell basis: (1) the standard deviation of Euclidean distance to a channel cell for the entire period of record, and (2) the rate of Euclidean distance change between years in the period of record. At a coarse spatial scale, channel instability increased in the downstream direction. The variability of channel stability also increased in the downstream direction. Analysis of this variability identified alternating areas of high and low stability occurring with greater frequency as distance downstream increased. These findings are validated by past studies of channel stability along the Lower Mississippi River. As a result, the proposed metrics provide a consistent, quantitative, efficient and cost‐effective means of identifying areas of channel instability at several spatial scales. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

不稳定试井解释常见问题分析

通过分析以往不稳定试井解释资料,对试井解释中经常出现的问题进行总结,杜绝此类错误再次发生.建议在解释时,综合考虑其它资料信息,减少主观臆断,以期得到准确解.     

模袋混凝土护坡在永定河滞洪水库工程中的应用

模袋混凝土护坡是一种新型的护面技术,具有整体性强、冲灌的混凝土强度可根据工程具体要求设计的优点.它克服了其它护面型式的诸多缺点,成为十分成熟的护面新技术.随着土工合成材料在水利工程上大面积推广应用,模袋混凝土护坡具有良好的应用前景.     

黄河龙青段主要环境工程地质问题分析思路

介绍了黄河上游龙青段主要环境工程地质问题的分析思路，以达到抛砖引玉，交流和提高电工程地质勘测水平的目的。     

Engineering Geological Problems of Levee Along Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River

1　ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＢｅｃａｕｓｅｏｆｔｈｅｃｏｍｐｌｉｃａｔｅｄｓｕｂｓｏｉｌｐｒｏｆｉｌｅ ,ｔｈｅｌｅｖｅｅａｌｏｎｇｍｉｄｄｌｅａｎｄｌｏｗｅｒｒｅａｃｈｅｓｏｆＹａｎｇｔｚｅ ,ａｂｏｕｔ 36 0 0ｋｍｌｏｎｇ ,ｈａｓｍａｎｙｈｉｄｄｅｎｐｅｒｉｌｓ .Ａｍｏｎｇｔｈｅｄａｎｇｅｒｏｕｓｅｖｅｎｔｓｄｕｒｉｎｇ 1998’ｓｆｌｏｏｄｓｅａｓｏｎｉｎｔｈｅｗｈｏｌｅｖａｌｌｅｙ ,12 .7%ｏｃ ｃｕｒｒｅｄａｌｏｎｇｔｈｅｔｒｕｎｋｓｔｒｅａｍｄｙｋｅｓ,ｏｆｗｈｉｃｈ 6 98ｗｅｒｅｔｈｅｍｏｓｔｄ…