变权组合预测模型在大坝安全监测中的应用

简要介绍了组合预测模型的基本原理，该模型改进了单一模型考虑因素的片面性，但常规的组合预测模型的权系数是固定的。考虑到各种模型的预测精度的变化，以及大坝安全监测数据存在的突变、时效等因素，固定权系数的组合预测模型有待进一步改进。文中提出了变权系数组合预测模型，并将其用于实际的大坝安全监测工程。结果表明，变权组合预测模型的预报精度高于其他模型。是一种值得推广的方法。     

破片式战斗部优化设计技术研究

侧重研究了破片式战斗部装药外形的优化设计技术。提出了装药外形与破片飞散特性（如破片飞散角，分布带宽等）之间的数学描述；建立了圆弧和对数螺线装药外形母线与战斗部其他设计参数间的数学模型。在假定约束条件下，优化设计了破片了聚焦式战斗部的结构参数；静爆试验结果表明，破片分布与理论计算吻合较好。     

Thermal and mechanical properties of epoxy composites reinforced by a natural hydrophobic sand

If a low weight percentage of crude fine fillers can improve properties of polymer materials directly without complicated chemical treatment process involved, it will be significant for many industrial applications. Our previous study indicated that a kind of Cancun natural sand could be an effective filler material for polymer composites. In this current work, the epoxy composites reinforced by this kind of natural sand particles were prepared and thermal and mechanical properties of the composites containing up to 5 wt % of the sand particles were characterized. Results showed that the highest flexural strength appears in the epoxy composite containing 1 wt % sand particles. A damage model was used to interpret the flexural properties, which showed an acceptable agreement with the experimental results. The glass transition temperature, high temperature storage modulus, and dimensional stability of the sand/epoxy composites monotonically increased with the addition of the sand particles. The sand particle/epoxy composites also displayed a noticeable enhancement in thermal conductivity. Theoretical analysis showed that in addition to conduction, other heat transport mechanisms played roles in the improved heat transmission through the composites. As a natural porous micron-scale material, Cancun sand has the potential for applications in cost-effective composites with enhanced mechanical and thermal properties. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Appl Polym Sci, 2008     

管线油电损耗的灰色模型及预测

对于管道运输来说，影响输油成本变化的因素有很多，但是对总成本影响最大的是油电损耗费用。由于来自现场的输量和相关参数样本数据不足，只知道连续几年的流量、油电损耗，要预测将来每年的油电损耗，经典经济数学不能满足这样的研究。然而灰色系统理论要求的研究样本较少，只要知道连续几年的流量、油电损耗，就能预测将来每年的油电损耗，估算其输油成本，且模型精度较高。利用灰色系统理论，以输油管线每年的输量、相应的电耗和油耗为时间序列，建立了三元素非等间距GM(1，1)模型，该模型为预测管线年输油成本提供了可靠的依据。     

气侵检测仪的研制与应用

基于气体侵入井眼后按气液两相流型分布的原理，利用声波可以早期检测到气侵。文章对气侵进行了深入研究，研制了声波气侵检测仪，做到了生产过程中早期气侵检测，以避免井喷的发生，并及时发现油气层。     

萝卜色素的性质研究

本文报道了从红心萝卜中提取的花青素类红色天然色素的理化性质，包括光谱特性和溶液ｐＨ、金属离子及食品基质对萝卜色素呈色和稳定性的影响等。与其他来源的花青素类色素一样，随ｐＨ增大，最大光吸收波长（λｍａｘ）向长波方向移动。金属高子（Ｆｅ￣（３＋）、Ｃｕ￣（２＋）、Ａｌ￣（３＋））对该色素的稳定影响不大，蔗糖、ＮａＣｌ、淀粉等食品基质能明显地增强萝卜色素水溶液的颜色。     

小型压裂技术的应用

在加砂压裂施工前进行小规模压裂，能使加砂压裂更加有效。通过对近两年来胜利油田应用小型压裂指导压裂设计的4口井实例的总结，说明了为确保加砂压裂施工的成功，尤其对端部脱砂压裂设计，小型压裂必不可少。同时介绍了Nolte方法和步骤，及小型压裂为加砂压裂设计提供的必要参数，讨论了参数解释的影响因素。为配合小型压裂工作，全面提高压裂技术水平，应选部分井进行岩石力学参数解释工作、适当延长压降测量时间，并测出瞬时停泵压力等。     

Study on ancient Chinese imitated GE ware by INAA and WDXRF

Imitated GE ware was one of the most famous products of Jingdezhen porcelain field in Ming dynasty (AD 1368-1644). The exterior features of its body and glaze are very marvelous. Black foot, purple mouth and crazing glaze are the main features of imitated GE ware. Until now, the key conditions of resulting these features are not clearly identified. In order to find the critical elements for firing these features, instrumental neutron activation analysis (INAA) and wavelength-dispersive X-ray fluorescence (WDXRF) were used to determine the element abundance patterns of imitated GE ware body and glaze. The experimental data was compared with that of imitated Longquan celadon and of Longquan celadon. The analytical results indicated that Fe, Ti and Na were the critical elements. The body of imitated GE ware which contains high Fe and Ti are the basic conditions of firing its black body, black foot and purple mouth. The glaze of imitated GE ware which contains high Na is the main condition of producing its crazing glaze. Na is the critical element which enlarges the difference in expansion coefficients between the glaze and body of imitated GE ware. Furthermore, Zijin soil was added into kaolin to make the body rich in Fe and Ti. And something which was rich in Na was used to produce crazing glaze in the manufacturing process of imitated GE ware.     

自动发电控制在多喷嘴水斗式水轮机组中的应用研究

建立了水电站厂内自动发电控制的数学模型,提出一种针对多喷嘴水斗式水轮机组的自动发电控制模型求解方法。以仁宗海水库电站2台6喷嘴水斗式水轮机组为例,通过将多喷嘴水斗式水轮机的不同运行方式个体化,并结合动态规划法求解,水电站可确定出最优经济运行方案。