Logistic模型的改进及在油藏可采储量预测中的应用

为了更准确地预测油气藏未来的经济可采储量，依据油气藏随开发必然要经历产量递减和生产收支平衡的实际。利用Logistic模型中技术可采储量、产量与时间的相互关系，经推导和改进后，再结合当前经济技术条件下的废弃产油量，预测油气藏的有效生产时间及其经济可呆储量。实践证实，改进后的Logistic模型预测结果更符合油气藏的生产实际，能为油气藏的储量管理提供可靠的依据。     

淤泥软基爆炸固结试验研究

对爆炸效应在淤泥软基工程中的应用问题进行了探讨，并首次提出了爆炸在淤泥软基中的分界应力特征以及排水固结及破坏分区的基本模式。为采用动力加速对淤泥软基工程的处理，提供了试验依据，具有实用价值和指导意义。     

Failure analysis of a broken tooth

Several days after heart surgery, a patient discovered his upper right canine tooth had broken at the root. Such tooth damage, recognized post-operatively, is usually assumed to be caused by blunt mechanical force from an instrument used by the anesthesiologist during placement of a breathing tube at the start of surgery. In this case, the patient had saved the crown portion of the broken tooth, and it was possible to examine the root fracture characteristics. The curvature and direction of the crack path and natural tooth situation suggested that failure could be described through a cantilever beam model. This was confirmed when a whole extracted sample tooth was embedded and broken by a measured force in a manner consistent with the model. The resulting fracture surface matched that of the patient’s broken canine tooth. However, the high load and force direction necessary to fracture the root was inconsistent with forces applied during the anesthesia procedure. The failure analysis and further investigation indicated tooth clenching on the breathing tube during recovery was the likely cause of fracture. This paper presents an alternate explanation for intubation-related dental injury, demonstrates the practicality of fractographic analysis of biological materials, and introduces a methodology for simulating in vitro tooth settings for mechanical testing.     

织物弹道贯穿性能分析计算

纤维织物增强复合材料由于轻质和高冲击损伤容限而在防弹装甲设计及制造中逐渐得到应用,如人体防弹衣和车辆防护装甲。但是尚无较好的方法直接计算复合材料防弹特性,其中困难在于复合材料弹道冲击过程中的应变率效应和冲击破坏机理至今没有被揭示。解决问题的第一步是建立复合材料增强相(即织物)防弹特性计算方法。提出基于纤维力学性质应变率效应的织物弹道冲击破坏分析模型,计算不同面密度织物靶体在弹道贯穿过程中的弹体剩余速度,由此反映靶体防弹特性。用本文中提出的简单算法预测的结果与实测结果在靶体厚度不大时极为接近,而且也有可能将其扩展到纤维织物增强复合材料防弹性质的计算。     

换热器小浮头螺栓断裂失效分析

针对换热器小浮头螺栓发生断裂的情况进行失效分析，找出原因，提出处理措施及材质选择时应注意的问题。     

系统备份及其误区分析

文章对系统备份的几个主要方面进行了讨论，并在此基础上，对系统备分的若干认识误区进行了分析。     

合成氨中置锅炉的修复

本文在分析中置锅炉失效原因的基础上，提出了详细的修复措施，为类似情况的设备修复提供了借鉴。     

开关稳压电源用铝电解电容器的失效机理

概述了开关稳压电源用铝电解电容器的工作状态和失效模式，着重讨论了开关稳压电源用铝电解电容器的开路失效和击穿失效机理。     

Engineering Geological Problems of Levee Along Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River

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多变量自回归模型在三江平原井灌水稻需水量预测中的应用

应用多变量自回归模型ARV(n), 利用三江平原腹地-富锦市1985～1999年气象资料, 按水稻生育期划分6个生育阶段, 建立了井灌水稻生育期内需水量预测模型. 经模型拟合与预测, 效果良好, 可以为该地区开展节水灌溉、灌溉用水管理、合理开发利用地下水资源, 缓解地下水危机提供参考依据.