钢铁企业价格预测决策模型体系研究

通过对钢铁企业现行价格管理体系的分析 ,建立了钢铁企业价格预测决策模型体系。充分利用大量的定性、定量信息 ,并把趋势预测和因果预测技术相结合 ,采用组合预测模型对价格进行预测 ,最后对预测出来的多方案进行模糊综合评价 ,给出推荐方案顺序。实际应用表明 ,模型体系是有效的。     

A bidding decision index for construction contractors

Results from applying the model on a sample of contractors, the majority of whom were international and operating in Egypt, reinforces the credibility of the developed methodology, claim the authors.     

An evaluation system of the setting up of predictive maintenance programmes

Predictive Maintenance can provide an increase in safety, quality and availability in industrial plants. However, the setting up of a Predictive Maintenance Programme is a strategic decision that until now has lacked analysis of questions related to its setting up, management and control. In this paper, an evaluation system is proposed that carries out the decision making in relation to the feasibility of the setting up. The evaluation system uses a combination of tools belonging to operational research such as: Analytic Hierarchy Process, decision rules and Bayesian tools. This system is a help tool available to the managers of Predictive Maintenance Programmes which can both increase the number of Predictive Maintenance Programmes set up and avoid the failure of these programmes. The Evaluation System has been tested in a petrochemical plant and in a food industry.     

炼钢工序的变化与挑战——柳钢"十五"期间炼钢的进步与工艺特点

简述了炼钢工序在柳钢"十五"期间工艺和装备的变化及其特点.对工序变化进行了初步分析.     

低倍检验在铸坯质量控制中的应用

介绍了低倍检验技术在邢钢铸坯质量控制中的应用情况,根据低倍检验结果并结合工艺分析判定缺陷成因提出了改进建议.     

Applying real options in investment decisions relating to environmental pollution

This study focuses on how to assess the optimal environmental investment decisions under economic and ecological uncertainty, and establishes the continuous time model using the real option approach to optimize environmental pollution policy. Unlike traditional cost benefit analysis, this work extends the model of [Pindyck, R.S., 2002. Optimal timing problems in environmental economics. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 26(9–10), 1677–1697], and attempts to identify the storage threshold of pollution stocks and the optimal timing for implementing environmental pollution decisions.     

武钢 10000 m3/h制氧机主冷泄漏故障处理及应急保产方式

氧气生产单位保用户用气一旦出现较为紧张的局面时，如何正确处理保安全生产运行、保用户生产、安排抢修时间三者之间的关系，值得关注与研究。     

天铁炼铁技术进步

近十年来，天铁集团炼铁厂通过改善原燃料条件；优化炉料结构，提高入炉品位；采用提高炉顶压力、富氧喷煤、低硅冶炼、炉顶气象系统等多项先进技术，使高炉各项经济技术指标逐年提高。     

Influence of Billet Size on Flow, Solidification and Solute Transport in Continuous Casting

ListofSymbol　　B———Buoyancy ,m·s- 2 ;　　c———Concentrationofsoluteelement ;　　Cμ———Turbulentconstant;　　D———Diffusivityofsoluteelement ,m2 ·s- 1 ;　　fl,fs———Liquidandsolidfraction ;　　fμ———Turbulentcoefficient ;　　h———Enthalpy ,J·kg- 1 ;　　k———Turbulentkineticenergy ,m2 ·s- 2 ;　　kp———Equilibriumpartitioncoefficient;　　Kp———Permeabilityofmushyzone ,m2 ;　　K0 ———Permeabilitycoefficient;　　p———Pressure ,Pa ;　　Pr———Prandtlnumber ;…     

A new method to cope with decision makers' uncertainty in the equipment selection process

One of the main problems faced while configuring or reconfiguring manufacturing systems is to rank alternative designs taking into account all the different aspects involved (both tangible and intangible). For this purpose the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a well-known decision making support method that addresses this problem. A major drawback of AHP is that uncertainty in the judgments of the decision makers and the resulting impact on the ranking is not considered. In real situations, however, judgments based on perceived future scenarios are almost always uncertain. To solve this problem in this paper we present the first complete probabilistic extension to the AHP method. The new method provides the decision maker not only with information on the ranking of the alternatives but also the probability that the ranking remains stable even in presence of uncertainty in the judgements. We verified the validity of the new method in a real application developed for the Ferrari racing team.