油气管道完整性评价与管理软件

作为保障油气管道安全运行的重大举措，管道的完整性管理已经受到了国内外油气管道业界的高度重视，并处在不断地推广应用之中。为方便管道完整性管理技术的实际应用，研制开发了适用于工程实用目的的油气管道完整性评价与管理软件(PIAMS)， 并包含了管道风险评价与剩余强度评价的功能模块。为此，介绍了该软件的结构、模块、特点、主要功能和用户界面；该软件由数据库、管道风险分析、腐蚀缺陷评价、用户管理4个模块组成；可以运用该软件管理油气管道的完整性数据信息，进行管道的风险计算、风险分析以及对含缺陷管道的剩余强度评价；此外，该软件还具有可扩展性强的特点。     

南水北调中线工程战略环境影响评价探讨

根据南水北调中线工程的特点,从宏观性、全局性、综合性和协调性提出了环境评价指标体系。研究和评价了中线工程对我国可持续发展战略影响、水资源优化配置与可持续利用、增强综合国力和地区竞争力、促进京津华北地区可持续发展战略问题。进行了中线工程对宏观经济、区域经济发展,社会公平、城市化进程、改善生活质量等社会发展,以及水环境保护、生态完整性与重要敏感生态问题、移民与可持续发展等宏观影响的评价研究,提出了保护水环境、生态修复、防护与保护的战略对策措施。     

灰色关联分析法在油气管道半定量风险评价中的应用

肯特(W．kent Muhlbauer)管道风险评价法是一种半定量风险评价法,但是该方法在我国还处在起步阶段,其理论基础和应用技术都很不完善。为了有效处理评分中存在的主观性和不确定性因素,已经把模糊综合评判法引入到管道风险评价中。但是,传统的相对风险值计算还不够准确,为此介绍了灰色关联分析在油气管道半定量风险评价中的应用。通过对影响管道风险的评价指标(因素)体系的综合分析,确定了灰色综合评价的层次结构模型。构建了由第三方破坏指数、腐蚀指数、设计指数、错误指数、介质危险指数5大指标体系构成的管道系统风险综合评价指标体系,并采用层次分析与专家打分相结合的方法计算权重。在油气管道半定量风险评价中应用灰色关联分析法,可以使评价结果更准确。     

基于模糊数的发射装置模糊可靠性分析

鱼雷发射装置的可靠性直接关系到潜艇武器系统的整体作战效能。考虑到可靠性分析中影响因素的模糊性,本文引入模糊数的概念,对潜艇鱼雷发射装置的可靠性进行分析,并基于模糊数的运算法则,给出了串联系统模糊可靠度的计算方法。     

Low temperature delamination of plastic encapsulated microcircuits

Plastic encapsulated microcircuits (PEMs) are increasingly being used in applications requiring operation at temperatures lower than the manufacturer’s recommended minimum temperature, which is 0°C for commercial grade components and −40°C for industrial and automotive grade components. To characterize the susceptibility of PEMs to delamination at these extreme low temperatures, packages with different geometries, encapsulated in both biphenyl and novolac molding compounds, were subjected to up to 500 thermal cycles with minimum temperatures in the range −40 to −65°C in both the moisture saturated and baked conditions. Scanning acoustic microscopy revealed there was a negligible increase in delamination at the die-to-encapsulant interface after thermal cycling for the 84 lead PQFPs encapsulated in novolac and for both 84 lead PQFPs and 14 lead PDIPs encapsulated in biphenyl molding compound. Only the 14 lead novolac PDIPs exhibited increased delamination. Moisture exposure had a significant effect on the creation of additional delamination.     

A new monitoring system for piping systems in fossil fired power plants

A CEC-funded project has been performed to tackle the problem of producing an advanced Life Monitoring System (LMS) which would calculate the creep and fatigue damage experienced by high temperature pipework components. Four areas were identified where existing Life Monitoring System technology could be improved:

1. 1. the inclusion of creep relaxation

2. 2. the inclusion of external loads on components

3. 3. a more accurate method of calculating thermal stresses due to temperature transients

4. 4. the inclusion of high cycle fatigue terms.

The creep relaxation problem was solved using stress reduction factors in an analytical in-elastic stress calculation. The stress reduction factors were produced for a number of common geometries and materials by means of non-linear finite element analysis. External loads were catered for by producing influence coefficients from in-elastic analysis of the particular piping system and using them to calculate bending moments at critical positions on the pipework from load and displacement measurements made at the convenient points at the pipework. The thermal stress problem was solved by producing a completely new solution based on Green's Function and Fast Fourier transforms. This allowed the thermal stress in a complex component to be calculated from simple non-intrusive thermocouple measurements made on the outside of the component. The high-cycle fatigue problem was dealt with precalculating the fatigue damage associated with standard transients and adding this damage to cumulative total when a transient occurred.

The site testing provided good practical experience and showed up problems which would not otherwise have been detected.     

抗震结构变形能力可靠度的时程分析方法

采用可靠指标β来度量抗震结构可靠度．取结构失效准则为：地震作用下结构层间位移响应超越结构层间位移能力限值．将时程分析方法与ＪＣ方法结合，建立了计算抗震结构变形能力可靠指标β的时程分析方法．     

Public Attitudes to In-House Water Recycling in England and Wales

This study, which is based on responses from over 300 individuals in England and Wales, explores how a willingness to use a water-recycling system of specific configuration varies against a number of factors which are linked to system design, system scale, system context, and water-conservation behaviour. Findings show that there is broad willingness to accept in-house water recycling provided that public health is not compromised.     

地地战术导弹飞行可靠性指标评定方法

在小子样情况下 ,利用系统和分系统试验数据对导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,从数学上说是系统可靠性综合问题 .运用MML SR方法对新型号地地战术导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,避免了MML方法在遇到无失败单元时不适用的缺陷 ,在利用地面试验信息方面有其明显优势 ;运用Bayes方法对改进型导弹的飞行可靠性指标进行评定 ,将不同试验阶段的多源试验信息作为验前信息 ,扩大了信息量 .最后 ,对两种方法在工程应用上遇到的问题进行了讨论 ,并给出了解决方法 .     

液压系统广义可靠性设计

介绍了广义可靠性和有效度的基本概念，简要论述了对液压系统进行广义可靠性设计的重要性，并从可靠性设计和维修性设计两方面提出了提高液压系统有效度的具体措施。／