基于相似样本和多模型动态最优组合的光伏功率预测

针对传统单一预测方法存在的局限性,引入了考虑特征加权的模糊聚类方法,进行关于天气类型的划分以得到相似样本;提出多模型动态最优组合预测方法,根据各窗口期预测误差的波动情况,设置合适的临近历史样本窗口宽度,利用窗口期中的数据和构建的最优赋权模型进行组合权重的求解,在避免单一预测方法片面性的同时,提高了对各种天气的适应性。通过算例验证分析表明,所提出的组合预测方法在各种天气类型下的预测效果都优于理论预测、BP预测和LSSVM预测等单一预测方法,能够有效提高预测的有效性和准确性,具有较高的工程实用价值。     

含冰蓄冷空调的CCHP微电网优化调度

冷热电联供(CCHP)型微电网作为综合能源系统的基本物理构成,可实现可再生能源的消纳和多能互补,是实现能源可持续发展和改善生态环境的重要手段。考虑经济性和环保性,以综合运行成本最小为目标,搭建了含冰蓄冷空调的CCHP型微电网优化调度模型采用改进粒子群算法进行求解,得到不同调度方式下系统的产能方案。通过算例分析对比了运行策略对于优化结果的影响,并验证了优化模型的有效性。     

环件冷辗扩分析中组合沙漏控制

冷辗扩过程中,轧辊和环件接触面积小、振动剧烈,进行显式有限元分析时形成的单点载荷容易诱发沙漏.采用组合沙漏控制法有效地控制了沙漏,模拟了矩形截面环件的冷辗扩过程.沙漏能与内能的比值从阻尼法的15%降低到2.5%;其中刚度沙漏力的权系数设为0.8,人工阻尼控制系数设为0.1,人工刚度控制系数设为0.001.与轴向宽展试验比较表明,采用组合法预测的端面平整度(0.114)接近试验结果(0.112).     

胍基阳离子捕收剂反浮选磷矿的性能与机理分析

为了研究磷矿反浮脱硅过程中,胍基阳离子磷矿捕收剂的作用机理,以N-椰油基-1,3-丙撑二胺、单氰胺、乙酸为原料制得一种阳离子表面活性剂,并用于傅里叶红外光谱仪表征,测试了该药剂与3种矿物作用前后的接触角、Zeta电位、红外光谱,进行了石英、白云石、胶磷矿的纯矿物浮选试验等。结果表明:该合成药剂属胍基阳离子表面活性剂,在广泛pH值范围内,对石英的捕收能力较强,对白云石次之,对胶磷矿较弱;在弱碱性下,对白云石捕收性能有所提高;相较白云石、胶磷矿,该药剂更易与石英产生吸附作用,使矿物表面呈现疏水性;接触角、Zeta电位、红外光谱测试结果说明与3种矿物的吸附主要是物理吸附。试验结果说明该胍基阳离子表面活性剂可以作为磷矿反浮脱硅捕收剂。     

不同化学杀菌剂与多抗霉素混配对压砂西瓜炭疽病的联合生物活性及田间防效

[目的]明确不同化学杀菌剂与生物农药多抗霉素混配对宁夏压砂西瓜炭疽病的防治效果。[方法]采用菌丝生长速率法、Wadley法和田间喷雾法,测定了4种化学杀菌剂对压砂西瓜炭疽病的室内生物活性和田间防效,并将活性较强、防效较优的化学农药与多抗霉素混配测定其对西瓜炭疽病的协同增效作用。[结果]筛选出防治压砂西瓜炭疽病效果较佳的化学杀菌剂咪鲜胺、苯甲·嘧菌酯2种,并确定了其与多抗霉素的最佳质量配比分别为1∶2、1∶3,平均防效可达82%,均高于单剂防效。[结论]咪鲜胺、苯甲·嘧菌酯可作为宁夏压砂西瓜炭疽病防治的首选化学药剂,与多抗霉素混配对西瓜炭疽病防效优于单剂,可降低化学农药使用量和减少农药抗药性,不同药剂组合可交替使用。     

Cardioinotropic Effects in Subchronic Intoxication of Rats with Lead and/or Cadmium Oxide Nanoparticles

Subchronic intoxication was induced in outbred male rats by repeated intraperitoneal injections with lead oxide (PbO) and/or cadmium oxide (CdO) nanoparticles (NPs) 3 times a week during 6 weeks for the purpose of examining its effects on the contractile characteristics of isolated right ventricle trabeculae and papillary muscles in isometric and afterload contractions. Isolated and combined intoxication with these NPs was observed to reduce the mechanical work produced by both types of myocardial preparation. Using the in vitro motility assay, we showed that the sliding velocity of regulated thin filaments drops under both isolated and combined intoxication with CdO–NP and PbO–NP. These results correlate with a shift in the expression of myosin heavy chain (MHC) isoforms towards slowly cycling β–MHC. The type of CdO–NP + PbO–NP combined cardiotoxicity depends on the effect of the toxic impact, the extent of this effect, the ratio of toxicant doses, and the degree of stretching of cardiomyocytes and muscle type studied. Some indices of combined Pb–NP and CdO–NP cardiotoxicity and general toxicity (genotoxicity included) became fully or partly normalized if intoxication developed against background administration of a bioprotective complex.     

无机盐对新疆油田三元复合驱界面性能影响研究

界面性能对复合驱提高采收率有重大的影响,界面张力越低,洗油效率越高;Zeta电位越高,油水乳状液越稳定。研究了各类无机盐对新疆油田复合驱界面性能的影响。结果显示,Zeta电位的绝对值随着无机盐浓度的增高而增大;无机碱中,碳酸根离子降低界面张力效果最好,氢氧根次之,碳酸氢根最差;阳离子中,钾离子降低界面张力效果最好,其次是钠离子,镁离子会略微提高界面张力,钙离子则会大幅度提高界面张力;阴离子中,与硫酸根相比,氯离子能更好地降低界面张力。通过以上研究,确定了Q站污水处理站外排水更适合三元复合驱配液。     

基于可拓距K-均值聚类和正弦微分进化算法的风储联合系统优化配置

以最大化风储联合投资商的收益和风电就地消纳率为目标,考虑源网荷协同优化和需求响应构建了风储联合系统的多目标优化配置模型;采用可拓距K-均值聚类算法对分布式风电出力和负荷需求的不确定性进行多场景分析,以实现更为准确而均衡的场景缩减;通过引入多核并行运行环境与正弦函数的思想,提出基于并行多目标正弦微分进化算法对优化配置模型进行高效求解;以IEEE 33节点配电系统为算例进行风储联合系统的优化配置,仿真结果验证了所建模型的有效性和优越性.     

某氟碳铈稀土矿混合浮选捕收剂优化试验研究

四川省牦牛坪稀土矿是我国第二大轻稀土矿,主要矿藏有氟碳铈稀土矿、伴生萤石和重晶石等。为提高微细粒级稀土回收率,采用混合浮选工艺替代原稀土浮选工艺,并研发了新型捕收剂 CXS-211,优化试验提高了新药剂对矿石性质的适应性。闭路试验结果表明 ：新药剂可获得稀土 REO 回收率 92% 以上、萤石回收率 88% 以上的混浮精矿。     

Collector matching in origin potential flotation

Through thermodynamic calculation and electrochemistry analysis~ taking the galena as example,the ba-sis for collector matching in origin potential flotation (OPF) was studied. The results of thermodynamic calculation show that the upper limit value of pH and flotation potential of diethyldithiocarbamate (DDTC) is higher than that of xanthogenate (KBX), which indicates that the collecting ability of DDTC for galena is better than that of KBX.The results of the interface capacitance analysis show that lead diethyldithiocarbamate (PbD2) is more steady than lead xanthogenate (Pb(BX)2) on the galena surface under the oxidation condition; the resistance analysis shows thatD2 (DDTC oxidizes into its dimmer) and dixanthogen (BX)2 will occur non-faradic desorption on the pyrite electrodesurface when the potentials are above 0.13 V and 0.2 V respectively. A synthetical criterion ΔE of collecting ability and selectivity was proposed. The results predicted by this criterion are confirmed through flotation experiments of ore.