DDOS(分布式拒绝服务)研究与探讨

由于目前网络安全问题的日趋严重, ＤＤＯＳ（ Ｄｉｓｔｒｉｂｕｔｅｄ Ｄｅｎｉａｌ ｏｆ Ｓｅｒｖｉｃｅ,分布式拒绝服务攻击）的攻击手段严重威胁 Ｉｎｔｅｒｎｅｔ的安全。文章详细地介绍了什么是 ＤＤＯＳ及其造成的危害,Ｗ理论上分析了其体系结构和运作情况,并实际列举了一些著名的ＤＤＯＳ 工具及其特点,尝试提出有关ＤＤＯＳ的攻击检测规则和相关的检测工具。     

液压卧倒闸坝在拦河坝工程中的应用

简述液压卧倒闸坝在江西省宜春市袁州区温汤镇防洪工程拦河坝中的应用。设计通过对多方案技术经济比选,推荐采用液压卧倒闸坝。可供类似工程参考。     

Predicting dam failure risk for sustainable flood retention basins: A generic case study for the wider Greater Manchester area

This study aims to provide a rapid screening tool for assessment of sustainable flood retention basins (SFRBs) to predict corresponding dam failure risks. A rapid expert-based assessment method for dam failure of SFRB supported by an artificial neural network (ANN) model has been presented. Flood storage was assessed for 110 SFRB and the corresponding Dam Failure Risk was evaluated for all dams across the wider Greater Manchester study area. The results show that Dam Failure Risk can be estimated by using the variables Dam Height, Dam Length, Maximum Flood Water Volume, Flood Water Surface Area, Mean Annual Rainfall (based on Met Office data), Altitude, Catchment Size, Urban Catchment Proportion, Forest Catchment Proportion and Managed Maximum Flood Water Volume. A cross-validation R² value of 0.70 for the ANN model signifies that the tool is likely to predict variables well for new data sets. Traditionally, dams are considered safe because they have been built according to high technical standards. However, many dams that were constructed decades ago do not meet the current state-of-the-art dam design guidelines. Spatial distribution maps show that dam failure risks of SFRB located near cities are higher than those situated in rural locations. The proposed tool could be used as an early warning system in times of heavy rainfall.     

基于考虑外生变量的SWARCH模型对中国股市波动性的实证研究

货币供应量是货币政策的主要调控指标,在很大程度上影响着股市的波动情况,作者将货币供应量作为外生变量加入到SWARCH模型中,建立了上证指数的考虑外生变量的SWARCH模型,实证研究结果表明该模型具有较好的拟合和预测效果．     

南四湖水体富营养化时空比较分析与评价

南四湖是南水北调东线工程重要的输水通道和调蓄湖泊之一,随着通水时间的临近,其水质安全和水体富营养化状况备受关注．根据2006、2007、2010和2011年4次32个采样点的南四湖水质空间分布监测数据,采用综合营养状态指数法进行评价．结果表明,4个监测年枯水期南四湖水体总体平均处于富营养轻度水平,在南四湖水质得到大幅度改善的情况下,各年营养水平变化不大;南阳湖和独山湖水体的综合营养状态指数出现下降趋势,而昭阳湖（下）和微山湖岛北水体的综合营养状态指数出现上升趋势,这与全湖总磷出现均一化趋势有关．2010-2011年除微山湖岛南水体处于中营养水平外,其他湖区水体均处于富营养轻度水平．对南四湖水质空间分布监测数据的分析表明,南四湖藻类水华的繁殖生长主要受水体中TP的制约．     

医师科技创新能力评价指标构建

本文运用文献分析法、Delphi法和层次分析法筛选和确定了医师科技创新能力指标体系。该评价体系包括专业教育背景、知识创新能力、技术创新能力和学术交流能力4项一级指标,11项二级指标,部分二级指标又细分为三级指标,对每一指标给出相应权重系数和内涵,并对各项指标提出量化方法。     

AMPHIBIAN OCCUPANCY IN FLOOD‐CREATED AND EXISTING WETLANDS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER ALLUVIAL VALLEY

During the previous century, the wetland area in the lower Missouri River alluvial valley was reduced by 39% because of river channelization and bank stabilization projects. The Great Flood of 1993 reversed the trend of wetland loss by creating 466 new wetlands in the alluvial valley between Kansas City and St. Louis, Missouri. We estimated amphibian occupancy, detection probability and number of species exhibiting evidence of reproduction in eight flood‐created and 16 pre‐flood existing wetlands from 1996 through 1998. We also evaluated whether hydroperiod (the number of days any water was present in a wetland from 20 February through 31 August) and distance to river predicted those values. Detection probabilities for adult amphibian species were relatively constant across years and ranged from 0.013 [Great Plains toad (Anaxyrus cognatus)] to 0.280 [Woodhouse's toad (Anaxyrus woodhousii woodhousii)]. Occupancy of adult amphibians differed across years and was not correlated with habitat features. Estimated occupancy probabilities for amphibian species ranged from 0.126 [Plains spadefoot (Spea bombifrons)] to 0.896 [boreal chorus frog (Pseudacris maculata)]. Almost double the number of amphibian species showed evidence of reproduction in existing wetlands (wetlands created before the Great Flood of 1993) when compared with that in flood‐created wetlands. Similarly, temporary wetlands had nearly double the number of amphibian species showing evidence of reproduction when compared with permanent wetlands. Finally, the highest number of species showed evidence of reproduction in wetlands with spring–summer hydroperiods between 135 and 140 days. All these relationships suggest that the invasion and persistence of predators in wetlands negatively influence amphibian reproduction. If the Missouri River is allowed to reconnect with the alluvial valley, more predators may be introduced into wetlands, leading to reduced amphibian occupancy and reproduction. However, this connection will not likely occur over the entire alluvial valley and, therefore, should not adversely impact amphibians that find refuge in higher‐elevation, non‐connected regions of the alluvial valley. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

水贫困指数在河西走廊三大内陆河流域的应用

水贫困指数提供了一种简单、易行的水资源评价方法,它通过资源、途径、能力、利用和环境5个方面来定量评价区域水资源的相对水平。运用主客观组合赋权法确定各分指标的权重,对河西走廊三大内陆河流域的水贫困指数进行了研究。结果表明:黑河流域、疏勒河流域、石羊河流域的水贫困指数分别为39.4、66.0、36.6,评价结果与客观情况基本相符。     

陆屋站“03·06”、“11·10”洪水对比分析

2003年6月和2011年10月钦江陆屋上游发生了改革开放以来两场最大暴雨并产生的洪水,本文通过对“03·06”、“11·10”这两场暴雨洪水进行对比,分析它们的天气系统和洪水特性、演变规律及变化特点,并寻找其规律,并对陆屋站所在的沿海钦江流域的防洪减灾对策进行探讨。对有效地监测暴雨洪水、正确地指挥防汛、提高对该地区暴雨洪水规律和形成机制的认识及防洪减灾具有一定的参考价值。     

启动压力对低渗透油藏无因次采油采液指数的影响及应用研究

建立考虑启动压力的低渗透数学模型,计算出无因次采油采液指数和含水率关系曲线,应用于实际区块中,分析其开发效果。结果表明:低渗透油藏考虑启动压力采液指数,甚至部分低渗透油藏在中高含水期(含水大于50%)具有一定的提液潜力。低渗透油藏无因次采液指数分为两类:第一类无因次采液指数随含水率的上升而递减,在含水率超过40%后变得平缓;第二类无因次采液指数随含水率的上升先减小而后又略有增大。