"十五"农村水电发展分析与"十一五"发展预测

本文分析了"十五"期间农村水电发展情况,对"十一五"农村水电发展政策环境及增长情况进行了预测。     

松辽盆地南部岩性圈闭识别技术及效果

寻找隐蔽油气藏一直是油气勘探中的难题,我国东部吉林油田的中浅层已进入高成熟勘探阶段,油气勘探已由早期的构造圈闭勘探转变为现今的以隐蔽圈闭勘探为主的阶段。本文针对松辽盆地南部的西部前缘带三维连片工区及伊通地堑岔路河断陷,综合应用构造精细解释、声波曲线重构波阻抗反演、层序地层学、地震相及沉积(微)相分析、模型正演、地震属性分析、频谱分解及三维可视化等技术手段,所提供的多口探井获得工业油气流或有良好的油气显示,取得了较好的解释效果。     

苏里格低渗强非均质性气田开发技术对策探讨

鄂尔多斯盆地苏里格气田储集层具有低渗、强非均质性、中强压敏的特点，气井产能低，稳产期短。根据单井模拟及生产动态分析，气井低产量生产可以降低压敏效应的影响，加强气井低产量生产阶段的管理，有利于合理利用地层能量，提高井控外围低渗区储量动用程度；分层压裂、多层合采可以在纵向上充分动用气井控制储量，增加气井最终累计产气量和稳产时间；地质研究与地震相结合，是提高储集层预测精度和钻井成功率的技术关键；降低成本，争取优惠政策也是提高经济效益的有效途径。     

利用地震资料研究ZJD地区泥岩、泥灰岩裂缝的分布规律

从地层的异常孔隙流体压力、局部构造形变、断裂作用等多方面分析了ZJD地区裂缝的成因机理。利用地震资料确立了该区地层层速度与地层压力之间的函数关系。并运用异常孔隙流体压力、地层曲率和相干体等技术对该区裂缝性储层的平面分布规律进行研究，预测了该区主要的裂缝发育区带。     

基于DTW算法的语音识别系统实现

动态时间归整(DTW)算法的实现简单有效,在孤立词语音识别系统中得到了广泛的应用.介绍了将DTW算法移植到TMS320VC5402上实现孤立词语音识别的原理、系统硬件组成和软件设计.研究结果表明,系统能满足实时性能要求,识别效果良好.     

Exceptions that prove the rule--Using a theory of motivated social cognition to account for ideological incongruities and political anomalies: Reply to Greenberg and Jonas (2003).

A meta-analysis by J. T. Jost, J. Glaser, A. W. Kruglanski, and F. J. Sulloway (2003) concluded that political conservatism is partially motivated by the management of uncertainty and threat. In this reply to J. Greenberg and E. Jonas (2003), conceptual issues are clarified, numerous political anomalies are explained, and alleged counterexamples are incorporated with a dynamic model that takes into account differences between "young" and "old" movements. Studies directly pitting the rigidity-of-the-right hypothesis against the ideological extremity hypothesis demonstrate strong support for the former. Medium to large effect sizes describe relations between political conservatism and dogmatism and intolerance of ambiguity; lack of openness to experience; uncertainty avoidance; personal needs for order, structure, and closure; fear of death; and system threat. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Characterization of strength properties of thin polycrystalline silicon films for MEMS applications

The aim of this work is to characterize the strength properties of polycrystalline silicon (polysilicon) with the use of tensile and bending test specimens. The strength of thin polysilicon films with different geometry, size and stress concentrations has been measured and correlated with the effective size of the specimen and its stress distribution. The test results are evaluated using a probabilistic strength approach based on the weakest link theory with the use of STAU software. The use of statistic methods of strength prediction of polysilicon test structures with a complex geometry and loading based on test values for standard material tests specimen has been evaluated.     

Effect of strain waveform on creep-fatigue life for Sn–8Zn–3Bi solder

This paper describes the creep‐fatigue life of Sn–8Zn–3Bi under push–pull loading. Creep‐fatigue tests were carried out using Sn–8Zn–3Bi specimens in fast–fast, fast–slow, slow–fast, slow–slow and hold–time strain waveforms. Creep‐fatigue lives in the slow–slow and hold‐time waveforms showed a small reduction from the fast–fast lives but those in the slow–fast and fast–slow waveforms showed a significant reduction from the fast–fast lives. Conventional creep‐fatigue life prediction methods were applied to the experimental data and the applicability of the methods was discussed. Creep‐fatigue characteristics of Sn–8Zn–3Bi were compared with those of Sn–3.5Ag and Sn–37Pb.     

An approach to efficient business intelligent system for financial prediction

A concept of business intelligent system for financial prediction is considered in this paper. It provides data needed for fast, precise and good business decision support to all levels of management. The aim of the project is the development of a new online analytical processing oriented on case-based reasoning (CBR) where a previous experience for every new problem is taken into account. Methodological aspects have been tested in practice as a part of the management information system development project of “Novi Sad Fair”. A case study of an improved application of CBR in prediction of future payments is discussed in the paper. This paper is originally presented at The International Conference on Hybrid Information Technology 2006, at the special session on “Intelligent Information Systems for Financial Engineering”, November 2006 in Cheju Island, Korea.     

预测油气田产量的β模型

通过对油气田产量变化规律进行系统研究，推导建立了预测油气田产量的β模型。该模型不但可以预测油气田产量、累积产量随生产时间的变化，而且可以预测可采储量、最高年产量及其发生的时间。实例检验该模型是可信的。