基于GIM模型的输电线路通道隐患快速检测

为解决现有输电线路电网信息模型(grid information model, GIM)通道隐患检测方法检测效率低、优化算法存在漏检的问题,提出一种基于等线长点集化和球体包含原理的通道隐患快速检测方法。首先,采用等线长间隔采样方式将导线由空间曲线转化为离散点集,使离散点集在电力线上均匀分布以解决传统等水平间隔采样方式离散点集分布不均匀、特殊档精度较差问题;其次,在地物点到电力线离散点最近距离计算过程中引入球体包含原理对地物点隐患可能进行判断,对不存在隐患可能的地物点跳过邻近点搜索计算,实现通道隐患快速检测。实验表明,该方法在导线点集化方面,对于普通档、特殊档均能保证采样点均匀分布,在线长间隔为10 cm的情况下将最近点的定位误差始终控制在5 cm以内;在检测效率方面,在保证检测精度的前提下将隐患检测耗时优化为传统逐点检测耗时的6.9%,具有较强的实际应用价值。     

基于超程时间测量的电磁继电器故障检测

针对现有电磁继电器隐性故障检测率较低的问题,提出一种基于超程时间测量的电磁继电器故障检测方法。首先,通过离线优化获取最优模糊阈值,然后应用线性回归方法,对超程时间监测数据进行在线预测,并利用拟合误差将预测值扩展为预测区间;其次,根据最优模糊阈值,将监测数据和预测区间分别转换为当前和预测故障证据,利用区间证据推理迭代融合积累、当前、预测3种故障证据,获取更新后的积累故障证据;最后,按照故障判据,由积累故障证据得到继电器故障检测结果。所提方法充分考虑了继电器隐性故障的渐变性特征以及超程时间测量过程所包含的不确定性,使故障证据更贴近于继电器实际工况。实验结果表明,与现有方法相比,所提方法在证据准确性和收敛速度上具有显著优势,能够有效提升电磁继电器隐性故障的检测精度。     

一种电力光传输网运行状态评估方法

针对现有电力光传输网评估方法考虑方面单一、主观性占比多等问题,提出了一种电力光传输网运行状态评估方法。首先从设备、光缆和系统3个维度选取指标,从网络规模、运行质量和管理因素3个方面建立评估指标体系,设计重叠信息分析法对评估指标体系进行优化。其次改进基于区间模糊层次分析法和熵权法的主客观组合权重赋值法计算指标权重。然后设计基于模糊综合评价法、效用函数法、可拓耦合评价法以及组合评估方法的运行状态评估算法评估光传输网运行状态。通过真实实例分析,验证了该方法能够更加全面、客观地评估光传输网的运行状态,辨识电力光传输网薄弱环节,为运维、检修和规划建设提供参考。     

Optimal reduced-order interval observer design for uncertain continuous-time linear systems

This article investigates the reduced-order interval observer (R-IO) design technique for continuous-time linear systems with unknown external disturbances and measurement noises. First, we propose a coupled R-IO structure with more design degrees of freedom, and it can be directly applied not only to solve the difficulty of the error system cooperativity construction but to relax the constraint on the sensor measurement noises. Second, the R-IO existence condition is derived as a set of matrix equations (MEs), and a complete solution, explicitly showing the available design parameters, to such an R-IO is further obtained by solving the MEs. Third, using the solution, an integrated optimization indicator of the R-IO performance is built as the valid selection mechanism of these parameters. Finally, the efficiency of the obtained results is illustrated through a numerical example and a practical example.     

基于混合多维云模型的工业绿色发展水平测度

如何测度各省工业绿色发展水平高低, 判断各省工业绿色创新能力差异, 本文从绿色投入要素和绿色产出效益视角构建集结综合属性值的工业绿色发展多指标评价体系; 并在云模型基础上提出了基于混合多维云模型的区间多属性测度方法. 该方法创新性地利用区间权重和云权重的相互转换, 在解决多指标权重不一的问题后, 再运用父云贴近度计算工业绿色发展水平, 云投影度测定工业绿色创新能力; 最后采用省际间的工业面板数据进行验证. 结果表明, 相较于一般的多指标综合评价法, 该测定方法的实证结果与实际情况更相符合, 说明了该方法既能对工业绿色发展水平的整体情况进行评价分析, 也能精确计算出各指标贡献度, 从而判断其是否具有工业绿色创新能力. 因此, 本研究可为各地区调整工业绿色发展水平测度指标、制定工业绿色发展规划提供实质性建议和理论决策依据.     

串接小容量变压器预充磁技术参数设计

串接小容量变压器预充磁涌流抑制技术在船舶电力系统中应用广泛,但缺乏规范化的参数设计方法。推导了串接小容量变压器预充磁技术各次合闸最大励磁涌流峰值解析计算公式。基于此,以预充磁变压器合闸励磁涌流峰值小于系统额定电流,工作变压器合闸励磁涌流峰值小于差动保护启动值为原则确定可选预充磁变压器容量范围;从海洋核动力平台安全性、经济性角度出发规范预充磁电路结构;基于实际建立磁通与预期磁通相位一致原则规范预充磁变压器绕组接线方式;提出相邻周期涌流能量比方法计算变压器建立稳态磁通所需时间,规范预充磁最短合闸时间间隔。MATLAB/Simulink仿真结果表明,在不同合闸角、剩磁情况下,所设计的参数能够保证预充磁合闸过程中变压器差动保护可靠不误动。     

计及运行风险和备用可用性的含风电系统两阶段优化调度

针对风电和负荷的不确定性对系统日前调度的影响,提出一种计及运行风险和备用可用性的日前两阶段优化调度方法。首先,考虑风电和负荷的不确定性及容许误差区间,利用条件风险价值(Conditional Value-at Risk, CVaR)度量系统调度运行风险。然后,建立日前两阶段优化调度模型。其中第一阶段优化模型以包含风险成本的系统运行成本最小为目标函数,优化制定有功调度及备用计划,保证系统运行经济性。基于第一阶段优化结果生成极限潮流场景集,第二阶段优化模型校验极限场景下的备用可用性并将结果反馈至第一阶段模型,确保系统运行鲁棒性,并提出迭代求解算法。最后,以IEEE39 节点系统和实际区域电网为算例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

机械结构相似度评价及可靠性预计研究

在用传统的相似产品法进行可靠性预计时,所选取的相似产品与评价对象之间差异较大,会造成预计结果的偏差较大。为解决这一问题,提出了一种基于"功能—运动—动作"结构化分解的可靠性预计新方法。通过明确产品的各大运动功能建立功能层,分析完成各功能的机械部件运动建立运动层,确定实现各机械部件运动的元动作运动单元建立元动作层,建立了可靠性预计的"功能—运动—元动作运动单元"层次模型。引入区间层次分析法,确定了"功能—运动—元动作运动单元"层次模型中各子代运动单元对父代运动单元的可靠性影响权重,并构建了由子代运动单元预计父代运动单元可靠性的数学模型。确定影响评价机械结构相似度的因素,构建了区间数综合评判云模型并选取与元动作运动单元相似的参考结构,以区间数综合评价云模型得出的相似度值修正参考结构的可靠性数据来预计元动作运动单元的可靠性。将元动作运动单元的可靠性预计值代入数学模型,层层预计父代运动单元的可靠性,从而得出整个产品的可靠性水平。最后以数控转台为例进行了分析,得出了可靠性预计值,并将该方法与传统方法进行了比较。结果表明,新的可靠性预计方法具有较好的可行性和较高的准确性。     

Fitting fatigue data with a bi‐conditional model

The formulation of a probability‐stress‐life (P‐S‐N) curve is a necessary step beyond the basic S‐N relation when dealing with reliability. This paper presents a model, relevant to materials that exhibits a fatigue limit, which considers the number of cycles to failure and the occurrence of the failure itself as statistically independent events, described with different distributions and/or different degree of scatter. Combining these two as a parallel system leads to the proposed model. In the case where the S‐N relation is a Basquin's law, the formulations of the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, quantiles, parameter and quantile confidence interval are presented in a procedure that allows practically any testing strategy. The result is a flexible model combined with the tools that deliver a wide range of information needed in the design phase. Finally, an extension to include static strength and applicability to fatigue crack growth and defects‐based fatigue approach are presented.     

An efficient hybrid reliability analysis method with random and interval variables

Random and interval variables often coexist. Interval variables make reliability analysis much more computationally intensive. This work develops a new hybrid reliability analysis method so that the probability analysis (PA) loop and interval analysis (IA) loop are decomposed into two separate loops. An efficient PA algorithm is employed, and a new efficient IA method is developed. The new IA method consists of two stages. The first stage is for monotonic limit-state functions. If the limit-state function is not monotonic, the second stage is triggered. In the second stage, the limit-state function is sequentially approximated with a second order form, and the gradient projection method is applied to solve the extreme responses of the limit-state function with respect to the interval variables. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are demonstrated by three examples.