Evaluating the role of resilience in reducing economic losses from disasters: A multi-regional analysis of a seaport disruption

Models to estimate economic impacts of disasters have recently been augmented to include resilience. However, most research has incorporated only a limited set of resilience tactics and has not estimated their individual loss reduction effect. We present a comprehensive framework for estimating the relative effects of a broad set of post-disaster resilience tactics. Our methodological innovation is illustrated by adapting the TERM multi-regional CGE model for a seaport disruption, distinguishing inherent resilience working through the price system from adaptive resilience and other inherent tactics to cope with input shortages. We also overcome a path-dependency problem in the modelling process.     

Which states and cities protect residents from water shutoffs in the COVID-19 pandemic?

Many U.S. states and cities have imposed water disconnection moratoriums during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using logistic and Cox Proportional-Hazards models, we assess factors that differentiate which governments imposed moratoriums. States, which have economic regulation of private water utilities, were more likely to impose moratoriums, and those with higher COVID-19 case rates imposed moratoriums earlier. States with unified Republican Control and cities with more 2016 Trump voters were less likely to impose moratoriums on water disconnection. Cities in states without statewide moratoriums, were more likely to impose moratoriums if they had higher income, more minority residents, and more income inequality.     

民用低压电路中性线断开事故的分析

从理论与实验两个方面,对民用低压配电系统中性线断线事故进行了分析,用实验数据验证了电器烧毁的原因,并说明了中性线的重要性。     

老旧住宅小区海绵城市建设难点与措施

阐述了海绵城市建设的时代背景和老旧住宅小区开展海绵城市建设的迫切性。笔者着重分析老旧住宅小区开展海绵城市建设面临的主要问题,提出了老旧住宅小区进行海绵城市建设的具体措施,以期为老旧住宅小区开展海绵城市建设提供一些借鉴。     

超温导致一次风机跳闸原因分析

以某电厂前轴承温度超温导致A一次风机跳闸为例,介绍了热电阻温度元件的测量隐患,详细分析了设备误跳的原因,并具体给出了控制逻辑的优化方案。着重阐述了热电阻测量信号断线保护的重要性,为热电阻温度保护逻辑的搭建提供一定借鉴。     

应对脱离配电网情况的单三相多微网组合分析及切换控制

考虑单相及三相微网两者在地域上接入较为相近,互联而形成单三相多微网系统。由于其复杂的运行方式,亟待解决如何实现多微网灵活无缝切换的问题。介绍了单三相多微网系统拓扑结构;当多微网系统为应对脱离配电网情况时,即常规主动并转离,通过互联方案预筛选得到初始方案后,基于模糊多目标决策得到多微网互联方案;通过给定的互联方案目标进行系统状态平滑切换。所提策略经算例验证可行,为多微网切换控制技术提供建议性方案。     

A stochastic framework for uncertainty analysis in electric power transmission systems with wind generation

The purpose of this work is the analysis of the uncertainties affecting an electric transmission network with wind power generation and their impact on its reliability. A stochastic model was developed to simulate the operations and the line disconnection and reconnection events of the electric network due to overloads beyond the rated capacity. We represent and propagate the uncertainties related to consumption variability, ambient temperature variability, wind speed variability and wind power generation variability. The model is applied to a case study of literature. Conclusions are drawn on the impact that different sources of variability have on the reliability of the network and on the seamless electric power supply. Finally, the analysis enables identifying possible system states, in terms of power request and supply, that are critical for network vulnerability and may induce a cascade of line disconnections leading to massive network blackout.     

对实质蕴涵若干问题的思考

以实质蕴涵和逻辑蕴涵为对象,通过对郁慕镛教授和袁正校教授的观点进行比较,对逻辑学里的一个非常重要的概念——蕴涵进行了分析和讨论,澄清关于实质蕴涵和逻辑蕴涵的若干误解。     

防爆电气设备超前开盖断电及滞后闭锁

分析比较了分级闭锁技术以及两防锁技术在防止工人带电开盖、开盖信息传输以及开盖断电的原理和适用范围。提出1种基于动力载波传输带电开盖信息,并实现超前开盖断电以及滞后闭锁的方法。这种方法可防止工人擅自开盖,防止因带电开盖造成的电火引爆瓦斯事故。     

PLC检测柴油机转速的设计

早期采用PLC设计柴油机的安全保护回路时,直接采用三线制转速传感器的脉冲信号经过处理后输出;后来应船级社要求,转速传感器回路需要增加断线检测功能,于是使用PLC配合光耦板来检测三线制转速传感器的回路是否正常并采集转速信号,但在应用中发现存在应急启动柴油机后没有运行信号的漏洞;最后研发了采用PLC、两线制转速传感器以及断线监测模块这三者配合起来检测转速传感器的回路是否正常并完成柴油机转速信号采集的功能。每一次在功能上都有升级,但升级的同时也会带来其他问题,针对实际使用时出现的问题进行分析、研究,并提出一种新的解决方案。