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1.
大中型煤炭企业具有与市场关联度高、风险损失大等特点,一旦出现信用风险,对企业以及社会的影响都是巨大的。为了能够准确识别煤炭企业的信用风险,本文以上市煤炭企业为研究对象,提出基于Filter-Wrapper两阶段特征选择的大中型煤炭企业信用风险评估模型。首先针对大中型煤炭企业的特点,在通用指标选择上结合煤炭企业风险因素提出两个新指标:抗风险能力、煤炭及加工产品业务销售毛利率;然后使用Filter-Wrapper两阶段特征选择算法用来筛选冗余特征,从而构建信用风险预测模型。实验表明所提出模型与筛选前相比具有更高的预测准确性,同时对信用风险违约样本识别率也更高,验证了模型与所提指标的有效性,对大中型煤炭企业的信用风险识别具有重要意义。  相似文献   
2.
深凹露天矿山由于其特殊的结构,爆破产生的炮烟扩散稀释较为困难,严重危害生产作业人员的生命安全与健康。基于实际矿山构建了深凹露天矿山的二维物理及数学模型,采用非稳态数值分析方法研究了不同爆破位置下,深凹露天矿山采坑内爆破炮烟的扩散规律。研究结果表明:不同爆破位置下,露天采坑内均出现复环流,爆破点位置是影响露天采坑内风流结构特征的重要因素;露天采坑内的炮烟最高浓度均随着时间变化而逐渐下降,但下降的速率逐步减小,呈现三个阶段的下降趋势;爆破位置位于背风侧时露天采坑内的炮烟最高浓度和降至安全浓度所需时间远高于迎风侧三个爆破位置;随着背风侧爆破点距采坑底部距离的减小,炮烟最高浓度及降至安全浓度所需时间先降低后增加,炮烟最高浓度及降至安全浓度所需时间随着迎风侧爆破位置距采坑底部距离的减小而增加。研究结果对于指导深凹露天矿山企业合理组织爆破后的生产作业和保障作业人员安全具有重要意义。  相似文献   
3.
为研究高面板堆石坝的地震易损性,基于增量动力分析(IDA)与支持向量机(SVM)相结合的方法,首先利用拉丁超立方抽样(LHS)方法从人工生成的100条地震动中随机选取30条,选定PGA为地震动强度指标,坝顶竖向位移为性能指标,通过对每条地震动进行等间距调幅,对面板坝进行有限元计算及对结果进行IDA分析,提取各条地震动在所选性能指标不同极限状态下的PGA;然后引入SVM,以代表地震动特性的参数为输入,以PGA为输出,训练并测试SVM模型;最后利用SVM模型做快速预测,在考虑不同地震动数目的条件下,分析面板坝的地震易损性,并绘制地震易损性曲线。研究结果表明,IDA-SVM方法在分析大坝易损性的问题上具有可行性和有效性,且考虑不同地震动数目所得的地震易损性曲线不尽相同。  相似文献   
4.
The combustion characteristics of ammonia/methanol mixtures were investigated numerically in this study. Methanol has a dramatic promotive effect on the laminar burning velocity (LBV) of ammonia. Three mechanisms from literature and another four self-developed mechanisms constructed in this study were evaluated using the measured laminar burning velocities of ammonia/methanol mixtures from Wang et al. (Combust.Flame. 2021). Generally, none of the selected mechanisms can precisely predict the measured laminar burning velocities at all conditions. Aiming to develop a simplified and reliable mechanism for ammonia/methanol mixtures, the constructed mechanism utilized NUI Galway mechanism (Combust.Flame. 2016) as methanol sub-mechanism and the Otomo mechanism (Int. J. Hydrogen. Energy. 2018) as ammonia sub-mechanism was optimized and reduced. The reduced mechanism entitled ‘DNO-NH3’, can accurately reproduce the measured laminar burning velocities of ammonia/methanol mixtures under all conditions. A reaction path analysis of the ammonia/methanol mixtures based on the DNO-NH3 mechanism shows that methanol is not directly involved in ammonia oxidation, instead, the produced methyl radicals from methanol oxidization contribute to the dehydrogenation of ammonia. Besides, NOx emission analysis demonstrates that 60% methanol addition results in the highest NOx emissions. The most important reactions dominating the NOx consumption and production are identified in this study.  相似文献   
5.
A dual-coolant integrated experimental facility named DRAGON-V has been developed at the Institute of Nuclear Energy Safety Technology, Hefei Institute of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, for the key technology research and performance evaluation of candidate liquid lithium-lead (PbLi) blanket of hydrogen fusion reactors. The loop is composed of a material test sub-loop and thermal-hydraulic test sub-loop, the design parameters are PbLi inventory 20 tons, PbLi temperature up to 550 °C, the maximum PbLi flow rate up to 40 kg/s. A novel cold trap system is designed to remove the suspended and crystalized impurities in PbLi fluid with three cooling zones and cross row arrangement of rod bundle filter elements. The paper describes the loop itself and its major components, initial loop testing, flow and measurement diagnostics and current experiments. The obtained test results of the loop and its components have demonstrated that the new facility is fully functioning and ready for experimental studies of material corrosion with/without a magnetic field, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) effect, purification, heat and mass transfer phenomena in PbLi flows and can also be used in mock-up testing in conditions relevant to fusion applications.  相似文献   
6.
徐吉信 《江西煤炭科技》2022,(1):163-165,168
通过对崔庄煤矿煤炭自然发火规律的研究及气体分析法在该矿自然发火预测预报中的实际应用,阐述了正确布置监测取样点,并采用多种指标进行综合分析的必要性。提出了预测发火的范围、分析漏风点位置、在火区治理过程中验证灭火效果等,也是气体分析法预测预报的重要组成部分。  相似文献   
7.
党的十九大报告提出统筹山水林田湖草系统治理,对我国开展生态文明建设提出了新要求。矿山作为“山水林田湖草”中的重要元素之一,其生态环境质量直接影响山上山下、乃至流域上下游的生境质量。在不同类型的矿山中,稀土矿山由于稀土富存、稀有且产品价值高,是我国重要的战略资源集中地。其中,离子型稀土矿富含我国独有的中重稀土资源,被列为国家保护性开采的特定矿种。但是,由于保护性开采相关制度滞后、无序开采及离子型稀土矿山开采工艺、冶炼技术等特殊性,导致矿山生态环境破坏严重,生态修复治理难度较大。本研究在系统梳理离子型稀土矿开采工艺技术及由此产生的环境问题基础上,总结不同修复技术的特点及适用范围,提出面向流域的离子型稀土矿山生态保护修复的思路与建议。以赣江流域为例,总结赣江流域离子型稀土矿山生态保护修复的实践经验,提炼生态保护修复模式,为我国离子型稀土矿山开展流域生态保护修复工作提供参考。  相似文献   
8.
《Journal of dairy science》2022,105(4):3176-3191
Milk concentrates are used in the manufacturing of dairy products such as yogurt and cheese or are processed into milk powder. Processes for the nonthermal separation of water and valuable milk ingredients are becoming increasingly widespread at farm level. The technical barriers to using farm-manufactured milk concentrate in dairies are minimal, hence the suspicion that the practice of on-farm raw milk concentration is still fairly uncommon for economic reasons. This study, therefore, set out to investigate farmers' potential willingness to adopt a raw milk concentration plant. The empirical analysis was based on discrete choice experiments with 75 German dairy farmers to identify preferences and the possible adoption of on-farm raw milk concentration. The results showed that, in particular, farmers who deemed the current milk price to be insufficient viewed on-farm concentration using membrane technology as an option for diversifying their milk sales. We found no indication that adoption would be impeded by a lack of trustworthy information on milk processing technologies or capital.  相似文献   
9.
《Journal of dairy science》2022,105(7):5954-5971
Residual feed intake (RFI) and feed saved (FS) are important feed efficiency traits that have been increasingly considered in genetic improvement programs. Future sustainability of these genetic evaluations will depend upon greater flexibility to accommodate sparsely recorded dry matter intake (DMI) records on many more cows, especially from commercial environments. Recent multiple-trait random regression (MTRR) modeling developments have facilitated days in milk (DIM)-specific inferences on RFI and FS, particularly in modeling the effect of change in metabolic body weight (MBW). The MTRR analyses, using daily data on the core traits of DMI, MBW, and milk energy (MilkE), were conducted separately for 2,532 primiparous and 2,379 multiparous US Holstein cows from 50 to 200 DIM. Estimated MTRR variance components were used to derive genetic RFI and FS and DIM-specific genetic partial regressions of DMI on MBW, MilkE, and change in MBW. Estimated daily heritabilities of RFI and FS varied across lactation for both primiparous (0.05–0.07 and 0.11–0.17, respectively) and multiparous (0.03–0.13 and 0.10–0.17, respectively) cows. Genetic correlations of RFI across DIM varied (>0.05) widely compared with FS (>0.54) within either parity class. Heritability estimates based on average lactation-wise measures were substantially larger than daily heritabilities, ranging from 0.17 to 0.25 for RFI and from 0.35 to 0.41 for FS. The partial genetic regression coefficients of DMI on MBW (0.11 to 0.16 kg/kg0.75 for primiparous and 0.12 to 0.14 kg/kg0.75 for multiparous cows) and of DMI on MilkE (0.45 to 0.68 kg/Mcal for primiparous and 0.36 to 0.61 kg/Mcal for multiparous cows) also varied across lactation. In spite of the computational challenges encountered with MTRR, the model potentially facilitates an efficient strategy for harnessing more data involving a wide variety of data recording scenarios for genetic evaluations on feed efficiency.  相似文献   
10.
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