基于VAR模型的河北省水资源利用与经济增长的动态关系研究

河北省是我国水资源重度缺乏的省份，人均水资源量占全国人均水资源量的1/11，水资源短缺与经济高速平稳发展之间的矛盾日益突出。本文基于VAR模型，利用河北省2000-2015年总用水量、工业用水量、农业用水量、GDP总量、农业增加值、工业增加值相关数据，通过平稳性检验、协整性检验、Granger因果关系、脉冲响应分析和方差分解分析，对河北省水资源利用与经济增长的动态关系进行分析。结果表明：1）河北省经济增长与总用水量，农业用水量与工业用水量之间存在协整关系；2）水资源利用与经济增长之间呈单向Granger因果关系；3）经济增长对总用水量及总用水量对经济增长的脉冲响应累计值均为负，农业增加值对农业用水量的脉冲响应累计值为正，农业用水量对农业增加值的脉冲响应累计值为负，工业增加值对工业用水量及工业用水量对工业增加值的脉冲响应累计值均为负；4）除农业增加值对农业用水量的贡献度和工业用水对工业增加值的贡献度较高以外，经济增长对水资源利用量的贡献度均比较小。      

煤制烯烃企业生产装置提高负荷浅析

简要介绍了中煤陕西榆林能源化工有限公司煤制烯烃项目一期的基本情况。分析了影响煤制烯烃企业各主生产装置高负荷运行的因素及提高运行负荷的方法。结合实际生产经验,总结了煤制烯烃企业延长运行周期的措施,确定了煤制烯烃企业最佳的生产负荷,可供同类企业借鉴参考。     

某选矿厂处理粗粒磁铁矿精矿经济分析

肃北县酒钢某磁铁矿选矿厂长期处于停产状态,为充分利用其现有资产,对途经该厂的酒钢外购粗粒磁铁精矿进行再磨再选,并进行了技术经济分析。通过分析表明,利用该选厂对粗精矿进行精选加工,精选后精矿中SiO₂含量降低约5个百分点,粒度更有利于后续的烧结作业,技术上可行,经济上有利。     

Economic effects of regulating the seismic strengthening of older buildings

The marked increase in the awareness of earthquake risk following the Canterbury earthquakes in New Zealand offered a unique opportunity to investigate the economic effect of disaster-mitigation regulations on the commercial building stock. A difference-in-differences (DD) framework was used to determine whether earthquake risk has been capitalized into the property prices of buildings constructed prior to 1976, as a response to the national policy requiring assessment and strengthening (or demolition) of the existing earthquake-prone building stock. A negative externality is found in the policy announcement on affected (pre-1970s) office and retail buildings which caused office buildings to suffer a 12.5% stigma discount. However, retail properties were less impacted suffering a 2.3% stigma loss. The value of the commercial building stock has been affected by the policy. These findings provide policy-makers with timely evidence as to the economic effects of New Zealand’s earthquake-prone buildings policy. Facing losses in property value and financial responsibility for retrofitting their assets, building owners will be looking for a workable set of regulatory and non-regulatory incentives to encourage disaster risk management and protect the built environment.     

Economic Indicators

Currency exchanges rates – updated monthly. Economic indicators of industrial production. Countries included: France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, Japan (Total G-7), Eurozone and Total EU-28 (Total OECD). Updated monthly. Economic indicators of car registration in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom, Japan, Republic of Korea and Other OECD (Total OECD-30). Updated monthly. Monthly averages of crude steel production in thousand metric tons for the United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, the United Kingdom, Russia, Ukraine, South Africa, Iran, China, India, Japan, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and Australia.     

浅谈高压中速磨粉系统在磷酸二铵生产中的应用

通过对磷酸二铵生产造粒特性分析,高压中速磨粉机原理分析,结合实践生产中的工艺需求,利用高压中速磨粉系统将颗粒状不合格品磨成细粉后添加进系统重新喷浆造粒,提高返料添加量,减少不合格品的产生,腾空仓库有限货位,以获取更大的经济价值。     

污染价值损失模型在清潩河流域的应用研究

鉴于污染价值损失的核算对掌握流域水污染状况、制定科学合理的治理对策具有重要意义,通过分析污染物浓度跟水资源价值损失的关系,将水量、水质和水资源价值三者结合起来,从理论上构建了基于污染损失率和水资源价值的污染价值损失模型,且给出了完整的水污染经济损失量的数学表达式,并将其应用于许昌市清潩河流域水污染经济损失核算中。结果表明,清潩河流域水环境污染的经济损失在2011~2014年间呈现波动变化,2013年污染损失量最大,达到7 365.41万元。三个行政分区中,2011~2012年间长葛市水污染损失量最大,2013~2014年间许昌县水污染损失量最大,与当地的实际情况相符。可见该模型可行、有效。     

An economic evaluation of management strategies to mitigate the negative effect of twinning in dairy herds

Our objectives were to develop an economic model to estimate the economic impact of twinning in dairy cows and to evaluate management strategies to mitigate the negative economic impact of twinning in dairy herds. A probabilistic tree considering spontaneous embryo reduction, early pregnancy loss, abortion, metritis, retained placenta, and culling rate at 120 d of the second, at the end of the second, and at the end of the third lactation was developed for a single pregnancy; we also developed 3 management options upon diagnosis of a twin pregnancy: (1) do nothing, (2) induce abortion using PGF_2α, or (3) attempt manual embryo reduction. A value was given to each branch of the tree by simulating cow states on a farm for 1,400 d to encompass 4 consecutive lactations. The incomes considered in the simulations included milk income over feed cost, income from calves, and slaughter value upon culling. The expenses taken into account depending on each branch included additional inseminations and synchronization protocols, embryo reduction, induction of abortion, replacement heifers, and costs due to metritis and retained placenta. The gross value for a singleton pregnancy and the 3 management options upon diagnosis of a twin pregnancy were calculated by adding the value of all braches multiplied by their probability. The costs for the 3 management options were calculated by subtracting its gross value minus the gross value of a singleton pregnancy. The negative economic impact of a twin pregnancy ranged from $97 to $225 depending on the type of twin pregnancy (unilateral vs. bilateral), parity, and DIM when the twin pregnancy occurred. The overall negative economic impact of twinning on dairy farm profitability in the United States was estimated to be $96 million per year. Attempting manual embryo reduction early during gestation upon diagnosis of a twin pregnancy was the optimal management strategy for mitigating the negative economic impact of twinning under a wide variety of scenarios.     

长江经济带城市生态效率演变及驱动因素分析

城市生态文明建设依托于生态效率的改善，基于2005—2016年长江经济带107座城市面板数据，采用超效率SBM（slacks-based measure)模型测算生态效率，并结合探索性空间分析与空间马尔科夫链等探讨生态效率时空演化格局的内在规律， 实证分析生态效率驱动因素的影响效果。研究表明：2005—2016年经济带生态效率总体呈平稳态势，上、中、下游呈现“阶梯型”分布，下游依次优于中游和上游地区，部分地区生态效率呈“两级型”分化趋势；城市间生态效率发展存在空间联动效应，与生态效率高的城市为邻，其正向溢出作用促进城市状态向高水平跃迁，而与生态效率低的城市为邻，其负向作用拉动城市状态向低水平发展；人口规模与产业升级对经济带不同流域具有异质性作用，其提升下游生态效率而抑制中游和上游生态效率，产业升级与生态效率存在“U”型关联，意味着产业升级在短期内并不能使生态效率状态改善，而经济发展有利于促进生态效率向高水平状态演变。     

唐家河煤矿工业场地位置选择及开拓方案设计

通过对唐家河煤矿自然地形条件及外部条件分析,结合井下煤层赋存情况,设计提出三个工业场地选址方案和两个开拓布置方案,通过技术、经济比较,选择陈家湾场地立井开拓方式,减少了矿井初期投资及后期运营费。