基于神经网络的降雨径流预报

本文将人工神经网络应用于二滩水电站以上支流鱼河的降雨径流预报，通过建模、计算、比较和分析可知，其非线性映射能力、自学习能力和灵活性，均能较好地反映降雨径流之间的非线性的、复杂的转换关系，结合流域水文特性并合理处理建模数据，值得进一步深入研究。     

川中丘陵区一种新型小流域径流输沙模型的建立与应用

径流输沙模型对定量评价水沙的输出响应具有重要的意义。本研究在已有研究成果的基础上，通过对四川盐亭县林山西沟小流域的径流、泥沙进行现场观测与分析，提出含沙量单位线的定义及其确定方法，建立了适应该小流域的径流输沙模型。并应用实测资料进行比较，表明模型的模拟结果可靠，模拟过程确定性系数达0．8以上，为川中丘陵区小流域径流输沙过程的预测预报提供了一个新方法。     

全球气候变暖对水资源的影响

全球气候变暖加剧了干旱、洪涝、台风等自然灾害的发生，是目前各国政府和社会公众普遍关注的热点问题。根据有关资料对气候变暖研究进展情况作相关介绍，可供参考。     

80年代黄河中游来沙减少的原因分析

80年代黄河中游来沙量减少,主要原因是降雨量减少和降雨强度减小,流域综合治理也起到了减沙作用。据分析,降雨因素减沙约占总减沙量的70％,流域综合治理减沙约占30％。     

黑河干流中游地区耗水量变化的历史分析

黑河流域水资源极其匮乏，加之地区上的配置不均衡和中游地区水土资源的过度开发，导致黑河下游出现了严重的生态环境问题，已影响到我国北方广大地区生态环境质量，受到国家的高度重视和全社会的广泛关注。黑河水资源开发利用主要集中在中游地区，该区是全国重要的商品粮、蔬菜和经济作物生产基地之一，耗水量占流域耗水量的85％以上，是黑河的主要耗水区和径流利用区。利用黑河上游控制站莺落峡站和中游控制站正义峡站水文资料，分析了黑河中游耗水量的变化，结果表明：20世纪80年代以前黑河中游耗水量在4．4亿m^3左右，比较稳定；进入20世纪80年代以后，耗水量明显增加，80年代耗水量比70年代以前增加了1．97亿－2.49亿m^3;90年代耗水量又比80年代增加了1.64亿m^3左右；80年代以来流域耗水量呈明显增加的趋势，这是以人类活动影响为主的结果。     

Simulation of runoff and phosphorus transport in a Carpathian catchment,Slovakia

A comprehensive, GIS‐based modelling approach is developed to estimate runoff and phosphorus transport within a watershed at a daily time step. The approach relies on the use of GIS data for deriving major critical model parameters that exhibit distinct spatial variability over the catchment. Surface runoff is calculated by a modified rational method, which depends upon rainfall intensity, soil moisture status, slope, land‐use and soil characteristics. Phosphorus loading is estimated as a function of the runoff volume and the event mean concentration for different land use categories. A diffusive approximation method is used to trace runoff and phosphorus transport to the basin outlet. The modelling approach is tested in the Margecany catchment, Hornad River basin, Slovakia, to simulate runoff, phosphorus loading, and its transport on a daily time scale using data observed between 1995 and 2000. Satisfactory results of the hydrographs and phosphorus concentration at the basin outlet are obtained, though more efforts regarding the phosphorus cycling and its biochemical reactions need to be clarified by further research. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Evaluation of rainfall networks using entropy: II. Application

This paper, the second in the series, applies the entropy approach to space and time evaluation of rainfall networks in Louisiana. The evaluation is made for five sampling intervals: daily, 2-day, weekly, monthly, and yearly, and for two separate seasons. In each case, the best combination of raingages is suggested and the lines of equal information (isoinformation contours) are constructed showing the areas of greater or less information transfer. The isoinformation lines are especially suitable in decisions concerning the expansion of the existing network or deleting the unnecessary raingages.     

水利工程排涝减灾效益分析与计算

在分析涝灾成因特点基础上对涝灾进行了重新定义，在研究涝灾损失及 排涝效益时引入了临界降雨量的概念，从而奠定了水利工程排涝减灾效益分析与计算的理论基础，并给了效益计算的一般计算模型。     

堆积体内部裂隙对降雨入渗的影响

降雨条件下滑坡体稳定性与裂隙诱发入渗密切相关。为了探究裂隙发育对堆积体降雨入渗的影响,以澜沧江某巨型堆积体坡表发育的裂隙现象为出发点,设计了均质堆积体和主-次裂隙堆积体2种模型。通过室内物理模拟试验及数值分析,并结合土体中的含水率、基质吸力、湿润锋迁移速度及深度的变化趋势可得出以下结论:裂隙型堆积体在降雨1 h和观测23 h的整个时间段内,其湿润锋迁移变化趋势可归纳为入渗加速→峰值→入渗减速→趋向于0;裂隙的存在为雨水入渗提供了有利的通道,雨水可到达土体深部,形成暂态饱和区,随降雨结束又逐渐消散;降雨在裂隙型发育的堆积体中的入渗过程可分为4个阶段,即前期完全入渗、裂隙下方强烈入渗、补偿加速入渗及水平侧渗。研究结果可为后续滑坡复活机理和稳定性评价提供参考。     

Improvement of rainwater infiltration and storage capacity by an enhanced seepage well: From laboratory investigation to HYDRUS-2D numerical analysis

Seepage well is an emerging Low Impact Development (LID) technology that can effectively control the storm runoff. However, its rainwater infiltration rate and storage capacity still require further enhancement. By setting a horizontal infiltration structure at the bottom of conventional rainwater seepage well (CSW), an enhanced seepage well (ESW) was proposed in this study, and its infiltration performances compared with the permeable pavement (PP) and the CSW were systemically investigated using static infiltration experiment and HYDRUS-2D simulation. The results showed that the infiltration efficiency of ESW was significantly higher than that of PP and CSW, and the process of water infiltrated through soil mainly controlled the macroscopic infiltration rate. The Nash-Sutcliff Efficient (NSE) index was used to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of the HYDRUS-2D model, and the results of NSE values greater than 0.75 (varied between 0.75 and 0.91) confirmed the applicability of HYDRUS-2D to describe correctly the hydraulic behavior of the ESW system. Simulation infiltration tests showed that the ESW performed a higher average infiltration rate and fewer total runoff volume than the CSW, indicating the effectively enhancement of the infiltration and water retention capacity of ESW, especially under heavy rainfall intensities. Additionally, the ESW system exhibited an excellent runoff-control and rainwater retention capacity in an actual rainfall scenario.