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In the wake of the growing popularity of pedestrian-oriented community designs, it is timely to assess potential risk trade-offs of such urban planning strategies. Pedestrian-friendly designs are currently being called for and implemented in the US to tackle in particular problems associated with insufficient physical activity in the population. Unintended consequences may emerge, however, especially due to potential increases in the inhalation of pollutants as the population walking or cycling in polluted environments increases. A risk assessment of such built environment transformations was undertaken to evaluate quantitatively the competing risks and benefits of community design changes in active travel. A simulation model, built incorporating research from the fields of transportation, environmental sciences and exposure analysis, is applied to a case study area that undergoes hypothetical urban transformations. We find that the simulated population experiences roughly the same number of days in a year with decreases as number of days with increases in energy expenditure or inhalation of pollutants. In the 5% of days with greatest shifts, PM10 inhalation was shown to increase by 175% or more, while the 5% of days of greatest decreases exhibited reductions of 45% or more (with similar results for ozone). Of particular concern, some individuals are shown to double their intake of the pollutants on high pollution days. However, uncertainty in the estimates is high. In particular, interpretations are very different according to the approach used to characterize year-long activity patterns. This innovative risk assessment uncovers critical gaps in the literature that must be further researched to allow essential comprehensive analyses of planning decisions. 相似文献
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文章梳理了步行友好相关的研究
文献,其中针对街道空间微观形态的研究方
面,通行的“定形—定性”或者简单“以量化
定性质”的研究方法对于形态设计的指引力
都相对较弱。“定形—定量—定性”三定结
构分析技术则指出研究的新方法。基于此,
本文在米兰选取了5条步行友好的街道,从
人的行为心理出发,采用“形态分析—数据
测算—性质评判”三向关联的结构分析技
术,分析形态特征,发现其形态设计的机
制。最后,从街道的通行空间、停靠空间、街
道界面和空间组织四个方面讨论总结指引步
行友好的街道空间形态设计模型,以为设计
研究的参考。 相似文献
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