鲸鱼优化支持向量机的短期风电功率预测

为提高风电预测的精度,提出一种鲸鱼优化支持向量机SVM(support vector machine)的组合预测模型。该模型针对风电序列的非平稳波动特性,首先应用集合经验模态分解技术EEMD(ensemble empirical mode de?composition)将原始风电序列分解为一系列不同特征尺度的子序列;并引入鲸鱼优化算法WOA(whales optimiza?tion algorithm)解决SVM中学习参数选择难的问题,进而对各子序列建立WOA_SVM预测模型;最后,叠加各子序列的预测值以得到最终预测值。仿真表明,所提EEMD_WOA_SVM模型具有较高的风电预测精度,显著优于其他基本模型。     

A hybrid knowledge and ensemble classification approach for prediction of venous thromboembolism

Clinical narratives such as progress summaries, lab reports, surgical reports, and other narrative texts contain key biomarkers about a patient's health. Evidence-based preventive medicine needs accurate semantic and sentiment analysis to extract and classify medical features as the input to appropriate machine learning classifiers. However, the traditional approach of using single classifiers is limited by the need for dimensionality reduction techniques, statistical feature correlation, a faster learning rate, and the lack of consideration of the semantic relations among features. Hence, extracting semantic and sentiment-based features from clinical text and combining multiple classifiers to create an ensemble intelligent system overcomes many limitations and provides a more robust prediction outcome. The selection of an appropriate approach and its interparameter dependency becomes key for the success of the ensemble method. This paper proposes a hybrid knowledge and ensemble learning framework for prediction of venous thromboembolism (VTE) diagnosis consisting of the following components: a VTE ontology, semantic extraction and sentiment assessment of risk factor framework, and an ensemble classifier. Therefore, a component-based analysis approach was adopted for evaluation using a data set of 250 clinical narratives where knowledge and ensemble achieved the following results with and without semantic extraction and sentiment assessment of risk factor, respectively: a precision of 81.8% and 62.9%, a recall of 81.8% and 57.6%, an F measure of 81.8% and 53.8%, and a receiving operating characteristic of 80.1% and 58.5% in identifying cases of VTE.     

基于EEMD能量熵和混合算法的电机轴承故障诊断

针对提升机电机轴承振动信号的非平稳特性和单一粒子群算法(PSO) 优化径向基函数（RBF）神经网络时存在网络收敛速度慢和适应度值易陷入局部最小的缺点，提出基于集合经验模态分解（EEMD）能量熵和模拟退火粒子群混合算法（SAPSO）优化RBF神经网络的提升机电机轴承故障诊断方法。基于EEMD求取振动信号各固有模态函数分量的能量熵，并使用相关性分析方法剔除虚假的分量，把筛选后的有效数据作为故障识别的特征向量；利用模拟退火（SA）算法具有局部概率突跳的特性，将SA算法和PSO算法相结合，在优化RBF诊断模型隐含层参数时以实现不同算法间的优劣互补。仿真结果表明，使用SAPSO算法优化后的RBF神经网络模型在提升机电机轴承故障诊断中能够加快网络收敛速度和提升故障识别精度。     

Chemical-Shift Perturbations Reflect Bile Acid Binding to Norovirus Coat Protein: Recognition Comes in Different Flavors

Bile acids have been reported as important cofactors promoting human and murine norovirus (NoV) infections in cell culture. The underlying mechanisms are not resolved. Through the use of chemical shift perturbation (CSP) NMR experiments, we identified a low-affinity bile acid binding site of a human GII.4 NoV strain. Long-timescale MD simulations reveal the formation of a ligand-accessible binding pocket of flexible shape, allowing the formation of stable viral coat protein–bile acid complexes in agreement with experimental CSP data. CSP NMR experiments also show that this mode of bile acid binding has a minor influence on the binding of histo-blood group antigens and vice versa. STD NMR experiments probing the binding of bile acids to virus-like particles of seven different strains suggest that low-affinity bile acid binding is a common feature of human NoV and should therefore be important for understanding the role of bile acids as cofactors in NoV infection.     

A new reverse reduce-error ensemble pruning algorithm

Although greedy algorithms possess high efficiency, they often receive suboptimal solutions of the ensemble pruning problem, since their exploration areas are limited in large extent. And another marked defect of almost all the currently existing ensemble pruning algorithms, including greedy ones, consists in: they simply abandon all of the classifiers which fail in the competition of ensemble selection, causing a considerable waste of useful resources and information. Inspired by these observations, an interesting greedy Reverse Reduce-Error (RRE) pruning algorithm incorporated with the operation of subtraction is proposed in this work. The RRE algorithm makes the best of the defeated candidate networks in a way that, the Worst Single Model (WSM) is chosen, and then, its votes are subtracted from the votes made by those selected components within the pruned ensemble. The reason is because, for most cases, the WSM might make mistakes in its estimation for the test samples. And, different from the classical RE, the near-optimal solution is produced based on the pruned error of all the available sequential subensembles. Besides, the backfitting step of RE algorithm is replaced with the selection step of a WSM in RRE. Moreover, the problem of ties might be solved more naturally with RRE. Finally, soft voting approach is employed in the testing to RRE algorithm. The performances of RE and RRE algorithms, and two baseline methods, i.e., the method which selects the Best Single Model (BSM) in the initial ensemble, and the method which retains all member networks of the initial ensemble (ALL), are evaluated on seven benchmark classification tasks under different initial ensemble setups. The results of the empirical investigation show the superiority of RRE over the other three ensemble pruning algorithms.     

Improving the prediction of petroleum reservoir characterization with a stacked generalization ensemble model of support vector machines

The ensemble learning paradigm has proved to be relevant to solving most challenging industrial problems. Despite its successful application especially in the Bioinformatics, the petroleum industry has not benefited enough from the promises of this machine learning technology. The petroleum industry, with its persistent quest for high-performance predictive models, is in great need of this new learning methodology. A marginal improvement in the prediction indices of petroleum reservoir properties could have huge positive impact on the success of exploration, drilling and the overall reservoir management portfolio. Support vector machines (SVM) is one of the promising machine learning tools that have performed excellently well in most prediction problems. However, its performance is a function of the prudent choice of its tuning parameters most especially the regularization parameter, C. Reports have shown that this parameter has significant impact on the performance of SVM. Understandably, no specific value has been recommended for it. This paper proposes a stacked generalization ensemble model of SVM that incorporates different expert opinions on the optimal values of this parameter in the prediction of porosity and permeability of petroleum reservoirs using datasets from diverse geological formations. The performance of the proposed SVM ensemble was compared to that of conventional SVM technique, another SVM implemented with the bagging method, and Random Forest technique. The results showed that the proposed ensemble model, in most cases, outperformed the others with the highest correlation coefficient, and the lowest mean and absolute errors. The study indicated that there is a great potential for ensemble learning in petroleum reservoir characterization to improve the accuracy of reservoir properties predictions for more successful explorations and increased production of petroleum resources. The results also confirmed that ensemble models perform better than the conventional SVM implementation.     

Preprocessed dynamic classifier ensemble selection for highly imbalanced drifted data streams

This work aims to connect two rarely combined research directions, i.e., non-stationary data stream classification and data analysis with skewed class distributions. We propose a novel framework employing stratified bagging for training base classifiers to integrate data preprocessing and dynamic ensemble selection methods for imbalanced data stream classification. The proposed approach has been evaluated based on computer experiments carried out on 135 artificially generated data streams with various imbalance ratios, label noise levels, and types of concept drift as well as on two selected real streams. Four preprocessing techniques and two dynamic selection methods, used on both bagging classifiers and base estimators levels, were considered. Experimentation results showed that, for highly imbalanced data streams, dynamic ensemble selection coupled with data preprocessing could outperform online and chunk-based state-of-art methods.     

基于主动学习的离群点集成挖掘方法研究

离群点检测任务通常缺少可用的标注数据，且离群数据只占整个数据集的很小一部分，相较于其他的数据挖掘任务，离群点检测的难度较大，尚没有单一的算法适合于所有的场景。因此，结合多样性模型集成和主动学习思想，提出了一种基于主动学习的离群点集成检测方法OMAL（Outlier Mining based on Active Learning）。在主动学习框架指导下，根据各种基学习器的对比分析，选择了基于统计的、基于相似性的、基于子空间划分的三个无监督模型作为基学习器。将各基学习器评判的处于离群和正常边界的数据整合后呈现给人类专家进行标注，以最大化人类专家反馈的信息量；从标注的数据集和各基学习器投票产生的数据集中抽样，基于GBM（Gradient BoostingMachine）训练一个有监督二元分类模型，并将该模型应用于全数据集，得出最终的挖掘结果。实验表明，提出方法的AUC有了较为明显的提升，且具有良好的运行效率，具备较好的实用价值。     

Efficient Identification of water conveyance tunnels siltation based on ensemble deep learning

The inspection of water conveyance tunnels plays an important role in water diversion projects. Siltation is an essential factor threatening the safety of water conveyance tunnels. Accurate and efficient identification of such siltation can reduce risks and enhance safety and reliability of these projects. The remotely operated vehicle (ROV) can detect such siltation. However, it needs to improve its intelligent recognition of image data it obtains. This paper introduces the idea of ensemble deep learning. Based on the VGG16 network, a compact convolutional neural network (CNN) is designed as a primary learner, called Silt-net, which is used to identify the siltation images. At the same time, the fully-connected network is applied as the meta-learner, and stacking ensemble learning is combined with the outputs of the primary classifiers to obtain satisfactory classification results. Finally, several evaluation metrics are used to measure the performance of the proposed method. The experimental results on the siltation dataset show that the classification accuracy of the proposed method reaches 97.2%, which is far better than the accuracy of other classifiers. Furthermore, the proposed method can weigh the accuracy and model complexity on a platform with limited computing resources.     

基于集合卡尔曼滤波的岩土力学参数动态估计

 针对非确定性过程，引入集合卡尔曼滤波(EnKF)理论，视岩土变形体为一个随机动态系统，将位移观测值作为系统的输出，用集合卡尔曼滤波模型来描述系统的状态；进一步耦合数值分析方法实现岩土力学参数的随机动态估计，在有效地获得待估参数的同时还给出估计值的不确定性。通过数值算例表明，集合卡尔曼滤波可以有效地对含噪声的量测数据进行处理，能够跟踪岩土力学行为的动态变化。对比于常用最优化算法，集合卡尔曼滤波同时给出反演结果和先验知识的后验分布，显示出更好的实时性和可靠性。