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1.
Although rainfall input uncertainties are widely identified as being a key factor in hydrological models, the rainfall uncertainty is typically not included in the parameter identification and model output uncertainty analysis of complex distributed models such as SWAT and in maritime climate zones. This paper presents a methodology to assess the uncertainty of semi-distributed hydrological models by including, in addition to a list of model parameters, additional unknown factors in the calibration algorithm to account for the rainfall uncertainty (using multiplication factors for each separately identified rainfall event) and for the heteroscedastic nature of the errors of the stream flow. We used the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm (DREAM(zs)) to infer the parameter posterior distributions and the output uncertainties of a SWAT model of the River Senne (Belgium). Explicitly considering heteroscedasticity and rainfall uncertainty leads to more realistic parameter values, better representation of water balance components and prediction uncertainty intervals.  相似文献   
2.
This work is devoted to the stress–strain state of isotropic double curved shell with defect system. The construction is weakened by two non-through thickness (internal) cracks of different length and by a circular hole located between cracks. In this study we use the line-spring model. Within the framework of this model cracks are modeled as mathematical cuts of shell’s middle surface. This leads to a two-dimensional problem. The problem is reduced to a system of eight boundary integral equations. To ensure the uniqueness of solution an additional equation is added. In the numerical solution of the problem special quadrature formulas for singular integrals of Cauchy type and the finite difference method are applied. The influence of defects on each other for double curved shell has been investigated. The given theoretical results can be used for the calculation of structural elements with holes, cracks on the strength and fracture toughness in various branches of engineering.  相似文献   
3.
A steelmaking-continuous casting (SCC) scheduling problem is an example of complex hybrid flow shop scheduling problem (HFSSP) with a strong industrial background. This paper investigates the SCC scheduling problem that involves controllable processing times (CPT) with multiple objectives concerning the total waiting time, earliness/tardiness and adjusting cost. The SCC scheduling problem with CPT is seldom discussed in the existing literature. This study is motivated by the practical situation of a large integrated steel company in which the just-in-time (JIT) and cost-cutting production strategy have become a significant concern. To address this complex HFSSP, the scheduling problem is decomposed into two subproblems: a parallel machine scheduling problem (PMSP) in the last stage and an HFSSP in the upstream stages. First, a hybrid differential evolution (HDE) algorithm combined with a variable neighborhood decomposition search (VNDS) is proposed for the former subproblem. Second, an iterative backward list scheduling (IBLS) algorithm is presented to solve the latter subproblem. The effectiveness of this bi-layer optimization approach is verified by computational experiments on well-designed and real-world scheduling instances. This study provides a new perspective on modeling and solving practical SCC scheduling problems.  相似文献   
4.
This paper describes the results of an experimental programme to determine the fatigue behaviour of bamboo. Bamboo is subjected to cyclic loading, both in the plant itself and subsequently when the material is used in load-bearing applications in the construction industry. However, there is currently no data in the literature describing fatigue in this material. We found that sections of bamboo culm loaded parallel to the culm axis did not undergo fatigue failure: samples either failed on the first loading cycle, or not at all. By contrast, fatigue was readily apparent in samples loaded in compression across the diameter of the culm. The number of cycles to failure increased as the cyclic load range decreased in a manner similar to that found in many engineering materials: fatigue occurred at applied loads as small as 40% of the ultimate strength. Two different species of bamboo were tested and found to have different ultimate strengths but similar high-cycle fatigue strengths. Finite element analysis was used to help understand the progression of fatigue damage and the effect of stress concentration features. Some tentative design rules are proposed to define stress levels for the safe use of bamboo, taking fatigue into account.  相似文献   
5.
与常规的小型测试压裂不同,流体注入诊断测试(DFIT)是通过关井阶段出现的拟线性流或拟径向流阶段求取储层压力,采用改进的梅耶霍夫方法(M-method)解释储层渗透率。以长庆榆林气田一口开发井为例,依据DFIT的技术原理和测试步骤,对该井测试压降数据进行解释分析,结果可信度较高,证明了该项工艺在长庆低压低渗油气田的可行性。  相似文献   
6.
番禺30-1砂岩强水驱气藏储层非均质性研究   总被引:7,自引:5,他引:2  
针对垂向非均质性严重且边底水能量强的番禺30-1气田面临的潜在开发问题,通过岩心分析及测井二次解释,对其夹层特征及储层非均质性等进行了研究,划分出19个流动单元并定量描述了各流动单元的特征参数,建立了该气田的精细地质模型。综合评价表明,新建的地质模型具有较高的精度,为该气藏合理开发提供了坚实的地质基础。  相似文献   
7.
软件集成测试技术研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
兰景英 《信息技术》2006,30(8):100-103
首先分析了集成测试的原理和特点,并指出了集成测试的重要性。然后结合传统软件与面向对象软件开发的方法和技术,详细介绍了传统软件的集成测试方法和策略,并深入分析了面向对象软件集成测试的原理和方法。  相似文献   
8.
为了提高非稳定渗流计算的计算精度 ,通过数学分析得到了水位传导系数随时间变化时 ,一类非稳定渗流井流模型的半解析解 ,并进行了计算比较  相似文献   
9.
陈旭  唐莉君 《现代电子技术》2006,29(23):119-120
随着各高校校园网络规模的不断扩大和各种应用的急剧增加,各种新的网络问题也在不断出现。Sniffer是网络管理员进行网络管理的有效工具,可以有效地对网络进行实时监控,及时发现网络中存在的各种问题。本文首先介绍了Sniffer的工作原理,其次给出了实现Sniffer功能的编程流程图,并用C语言给出了编程所需的关键代码。  相似文献   
10.
从中国石化股份公司济南分公司新上铁路罐车密闭装车计量系统的背景出发,阐述该系统的设计思想和组成;通过分析实际运行过程中仪表比对数据,讨论影响仪表贸易交接准确性的各种因素,提出相应的解决方法;最后通过铁路罐车密闭装车计量系统投用效果。证实该系统可产生明显的经济效益。  相似文献   
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