Assessment of the different sources of uncertainty in a SWAT model of the River Senne (Belgium)

Although rainfall input uncertainties are widely identified as being a key factor in hydrological models, the rainfall uncertainty is typically not included in the parameter identification and model output uncertainty analysis of complex distributed models such as SWAT and in maritime climate zones. This paper presents a methodology to assess the uncertainty of semi-distributed hydrological models by including, in addition to a list of model parameters, additional unknown factors in the calibration algorithm to account for the rainfall uncertainty (using multiplication factors for each separately identified rainfall event) and for the heteroscedastic nature of the errors of the stream flow. We used the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm (DREAM_(zs)) to infer the parameter posterior distributions and the output uncertainties of a SWAT model of the River Senne (Belgium). Explicitly considering heteroscedasticity and rainfall uncertainty leads to more realistic parameter values, better representation of water balance components and prediction uncertainty intervals.     

A bi-layer optimization approach for a hybrid flow shop scheduling problem involving controllable processing times in the steelmaking industry

A steelmaking-continuous casting (SCC) scheduling problem is an example of complex hybrid flow shop scheduling problem (HFSSP) with a strong industrial background. This paper investigates the SCC scheduling problem that involves controllable processing times (CPT) with multiple objectives concerning the total waiting time, earliness/tardiness and adjusting cost. The SCC scheduling problem with CPT is seldom discussed in the existing literature. This study is motivated by the practical situation of a large integrated steel company in which the just-in-time (JIT) and cost-cutting production strategy have become a significant concern. To address this complex HFSSP, the scheduling problem is decomposed into two subproblems: a parallel machine scheduling problem (PMSP) in the last stage and an HFSSP in the upstream stages. First, a hybrid differential evolution (HDE) algorithm combined with a variable neighborhood decomposition search (VNDS) is proposed for the former subproblem. Second, an iterative backward list scheduling (IBLS) algorithm is presented to solve the latter subproblem. The effectiveness of this bi-layer optimization approach is verified by computational experiments on well-designed and real-world scheduling instances. This study provides a new perspective on modeling and solving practical SCC scheduling problems.     

DFIT测试在长庆气田开发中的应用

与常规的小型测试压裂不同，流体注入诊断测试（DFIT）是通过关井阶段出现的拟线性流或拟径向流阶段求取储层压力，采用改进的梅耶霍夫方法（M-method）解释储层渗透率。以长庆榆林气田一口开发井为例，依据DFIT的技术原理和测试步骤，对该井测试压降数据进行解释分析，结果可信度较高，证明了该项工艺在长庆低压低渗油气田的可行性。     

番禺30-1砂岩强水驱气藏储层非均质性研究

针对垂向非均质性严重且边底水能量强的番禺30-1气田面临的潜在开发问题，通过岩心分析及测井二次解释，对其夹层特征及储层非均质性等进行了研究，划分出19个流动单元并定量描述了各流动单元的特征参数，建立了该气田的精细地质模型。综合评价表明，新建的地质模型具有较高的精度，为该气藏合理开发提供了坚实的地质基础。     

软件集成测试技术研究

首先分析了集成测试的原理和特点，并指出了集成测试的重要性。然后结合传统软件与面向对象软件开发的方法和技术，详细介绍了传统软件的集成测试方法和策略，并深入分析了面向对象软件集成测试的原理和方法。     

径向水平井弯曲转向机构影响因素仿真研究

针对径向水平井钻进中钻杆弯曲转向前进运动困难的问题,通过建立弯曲转向机构仿真有限元模型,对其主要影响因素:滑道轨迹曲率、间隙、工作压力、滚轮形状与位置和钻杆壁厚等用ANSYS软件进行仿真研究。研究表明:影响截面变形的主要因素是滑道曲率的改变和滑道摩擦因数,钻井失败时钻杆所受阻力的增大不是因为升高工作压力导致截面变形过大与滑道干涉所致,钻杆经校直段,钻头中轴线与校直中心线存在一定的角度,即钻杆的前进轨迹就会偏离理论值,或与地层干涉,或可能再次发生弯曲变形;另一主要原因是转向器滑道工作恶化。增加钻杆壁厚,降低工作压力和滑道摩擦因数,设计合理弯曲转向机构是解决问题的关键。     

非稳定井流模型的半解析解

为了提高非稳定渗流计算的计算精度 ,通过数学分析得到了水位传导系数随时间变化时 ,一类非稳定渗流井流模型的半解析解 ,并进行了计算比较     

WAVE INTERACTION WITH PERFORATED CAISSON BREAKWATERS

The reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the total horizontal forces acting on them were experimentally and numerically analyzed and discussed when wave propagates normally. To consider the viscosity effect of fluid and nonlinear action of waves on structures, the VOF (Volume Of Fluid) method combined with the k-ε turbulence model was used to simulate the interaction between waves and structures. Governing equations were solved with the finite difference method. Through 2D experimental study in the wave flume, the empirical relationship between the reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the main affecting factors were obtained from the experimental data using the least square method. Also the correlation between the ratio of the total horizontal force acting on perforated caisson and the force acting on solid caisson and the main affecting factors were regressed from the experimental data.     

结构化编程实现Sniffer

随着各高校校园网络规模的不断扩大和各种应用的急剧增加,各种新的网络问题也在不断出现。Sniffer是网络管理员进行网络管理的有效工具,可以有效地对网络进行实时监控,及时发现网络中存在的各种问题。本文首先介绍了Sniffer的工作原理,其次给出了实现Sniffer功能的编程流程图,并用C语言给出了编程所需的关键代码。     

铁路罐车密闭装车计量系统的运行分析

从中国石化股份公司济南分公司新上铁路罐车密闭装车计量系统的背景出发，阐述该系统的设计思想和组成；通过分析实际运行过程中仪表比对数据，讨论影响仪表贸易交接准确性的各种因素，提出相应的解决方法；最后通过铁路罐车密闭装车计量系统投用效果。证实该系统可产生明显的经济效益。