基于ANSYS的智能搬运AGV小车下车体结构分析

本文以智能搬运AGV小车下车体机械结构为例，应用ANSYS12.0对智能搬运AGV小车下车体机械结构进行有限元分析，旨在校核该结构的合理性、可靠性；进而为新一代AGV小车车体机械结构的设计提供重要科学性保证。     

Agent-based modeling of energy technology adoption: Empirical integration of social,behavioral, economic,and environmental factors

Agent-based modeling (ABM) techniques for studying human-technical systems face two important challenges. First, agent behavioral rules are often ad hoc, making it difficult to assess the implications of these models within the larger theoretical context. Second, the lack of relevant empirical data precludes many models from being appropriately initialized and validated, limiting the value of such models for exploring emergent properties or for policy evaluation. To address these issues, in this paper we present a theoretically-based and empirically-driven agent-based model of technology adoption, with an application to residential solar photovoltaic (PV). Using household-level resolution for demographic, attitudinal, social network, and environmental variables, the integrated ABM framework we develop is applied to real-world data covering 2004–2013 for a residential solar PV program at the city scale. Two applications of the model focusing on rebate program design are also presented.     

工程项目可持续发展政策有效性的行为经济学分析

工程项目由于消耗的大量的能源和资源,因此带来环境极大的负荷,如何实现项目的可持续发展越来越受到政府的重视。本文结合有限理性理论的预期理论、认知的不协调、信息的显著性理论和可见惯性,分析了在有限理性下,行为经济学影响政策有效性的潜在原因。最后对政策的制定提出了应该明确的方向和侧重点。     

关于供暖设计经济合理性若干问题的思考

结合多年从事设计抽、审查工作的实践,对供暖设计中经济合理性存在的若干问题,包括采暖设计热负荷计算、采暖热媒供回水温度设定、散热器连接方式、散热器合理配置、热水采暖系统水力平衡、采暖空调换热装置选型及供热系统耗电输热比控制等进行了认真思考和有益探讨,并提出了具体意见和建议。     

以圆厅别墅为例谈建筑的非理性成分

从哲学原理出发，指出理性与非理性是建筑中的矛盾双方，两者此消彼长，共同存在，试图阐述了理性与非理性的定义，对圆厅别墅的非理性因素进行分析，以帮助人们更好地认识建筑的理性与非理性。     

考虑有限理性的电力系统连锁故障多阶段动态博弈防御模型

为了防御由连锁故障引发的大停电事故,提出一种考虑参与人有限理性的连锁故障多阶段动态博弈防御模型。基于故障方的有限理性假设和故障方行动的关联性假设,综合考虑元件自身故障、外界环境、潮流转移和隐性故障等因素对元件停运概率的影响,提出基于实时运行条件的元件停运概率表征有限理性的故障方不完美的选择能力;根据可掌握的事故状态信息,提出潮流转移严重度和系统失负荷严重度表征故障方追求自身利益的意识;基于风险分析方法,生成故障方的策略集合。从风险理论的角度出发,将运行风险作为收益函数,用于定量评估防御方行动的有效性。以IEEE 39节点系统为例,验证了所提模型的合理性。     

Signalling chains with probe and adjust learning

Many models explain the evolution of signalling in repeated stage games on social networks, differently in this study each signalling game evolves a communication strategy to transmit information across the network. Specifically, I formalise signalling chain games as a generalisation of Lewis' signalling games, where a number of players are placed on a chain network and play a signalling game in which they have to propagate information across the network. I show that probe and adjust learning allows the system to develop communication conventions, but it may temporarily perturb the system out of conventions. Through simulations, I evaluate how long the system takes to evolve a signalling convention and the amount of time it stays in it. This discussion presents a mechanism in which simple players can evolve signalling across a social network without necessarily understanding the entire system.     

新阳煤业矿井及洗煤厂项目水资源论证研究

在分析建设项目区域水资源状况的基础上,确定了水资源论证工作等级及论证范围,进行了取用水合理性分析,论证取水水源,并分析了取退水影响及采煤对水环境的影响,结果表明建设项目取用水合理,取水水源是可靠的。     

九顶山铜钼矿井下通风系统阻力测定结果分析与对策措施

以九顶山铜钼矿为例,系统介绍矿井通风阻力的测定方法、测点布置及测定路线选择,依据测定结果对矿井通风系统进行合理性分析,并提出降低矿井通风阻力的对策措施。为降低通风电耗、减少通风费用、减少风压损失和保证矿井安全生产提供科学的理论依据。