Time and cost securing in complex large-scale projects

Meeting time and cost objectives in complex projects involves specific problems and risks. An attempt is made to analyse the components of total cost increase of a project caused by time delay. An outline is given as to how these considerations can be used to estimate cost increases in investors' decision situations as well as to ascertain fair contractual penalties and claims for compensation and for the evaluation of justified project acceleration costs.     

Computer support for strategic organizational decision-making

While information systems continue to be promoted within organizations as tools to support strategic decision-making, there is growing concern over the ability of such systems to model the social and political complexity of the situations to which they are being applied. This paper examines the nature of organizational decision-making and the use of computer-based systems to support this activity. The debate queries the extent to which such artifacts should be allowed to become enmeshed and embedded within the strategic decision-making activities of organizations which operate within increasingly complex environments.     

基于非线性规划的指数自回归模型的辨识

讨论了指数自回归模型的辨识问题，证明了该模型最小二乘估计的目标函数的非凸性，并给出了使该函数为凸的条件，最后给出了辨识该模型的算法及该算法的收敛性，并以数值例子加以说明。     

DSS research and practice in perspective

The aim of this paper is to assess the state-of-the-art in the Decision Support Systems (DSS) field from both a research and a practice perspective. Three main dimensions of DSS research and practice are addressed: 1) supporting human decision-making processes, 2) integrating DSS into the organizational context, and 3) identifying new application domains. The related analysis and discussion provides a better understanding of past developments in the DSS field and insights into future evolution patterns.     

基于模糊控制原理的多目标决策方法

在模糊控制原理的基础上,对于含有定性变量的多目标决策问题提出了一种新的求解方法:先把目标值与权重进行模糊化,再通过模糊推理和反模糊化过程直接得到各方案的评价值,进而进行多目标决策.具体实例的计算结果表明,该方法具有简单、实用、直观的优点.     

利用数据中心构建数字化钻井施工模式

世界石油钻井技术不断向信息化、智能化方向发展,为适应钻井技术的发展,构建了数字化钻井施工模式框架。从井场信息采集设施、井场网络环境、井场信息采集处理软件、井场工程监测软件等方面阐述了数字化钻井队的构建方法,从钻井数据库设计、数据流向及数据加载、数据发布等方面阐述了钻井数据中心的构成,从钻井设计系统、钻井远程监测系统、井眼轨迹控制系统以及专家系统等方面描述了钻井辅助决策平台主要功能。除了理论研究之外,还简要介绍了研究成果在现场的应用情况。这些研究成果是国内"数字油田"建设的基础,必将促进钻井行业的信息技术发展。     

经济边际在油气资源勘探开发中的应用方法研究

油气资源勘探开发的经济边际分析是从石油企业的边际利润出发，确定石油企业的最优投入产出水平，为作出科学的投资决策和生产决策提供依据，界定了有关油气资源勘探开发经济边际的概念和内涵，探讨了石油企业边际成本和边际收入的确定方法。     

Assessing the relative priority of projects

Where there are a large number of projects competing for a limited pool of resources, projects have to be assigned priorities to determine which should proceed and which should be curtailed. The traditional economic procedures for assessing the relative priority of projects are reviewed, and alternative methods of ranking projects are suggested, with particular emphasis on methods that are inexpensive and easy to use.     

一种基于社会网络的信任模型

社会网络是通过朋友关系、工作关系和信息交换等一组社会机制,将人、组织和其他社会团结联系在一起形成的网络,Web就是一种社会网络.在社会网络中要求有一种自然的机制对网络的真实性进行判断和评价,信任模型就是比较好的一种机制.基于社会网络,本文构建了一种网络信任模型,用来估算信任者和被信任者之间的信任等级,能够用于语义网的信任管理系统和社会网络的信任评价中.实验结果表明,该模型具有很好的效率和效果.     

我国信息安全发展回顾及“十二五”发展对策研究

为应对以网络空间为载体的虚拟社会带来的安全挑战,我们应加快推进信息安全发展和网络信任体系建设,加速构建我国信息安全保障体系。文章详细论述了我国信息安全发展现状,深入分析了信息安全发展形势,结合我国实际情况提出了我国信息安全"十二五"发展思路、目标和战略重点。