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1.
The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems. 相似文献
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In this paper, a novel interval type-2 fuzzy fractional order super twisting algorithm (IT2FFOSTA) which is essentially a second order sliding mode controller is presented. The proposed IT2FFOSTA enhances fractional order super twisting algorithm (FOSTA) by taking advantage of an interval type-2 fuzzy fractional order sliding surface (IT2FFOSS) for some classes of fully-actuated and under-actuated nonlinear systems in presence of uncertainty. The FOSTA significantly reduces the amount of chattering and the IT2FFOSS results in decreasing the tracking error, control effort, and chattering level. In order to control under-actuated systems, a hierarchical sliding surface is employed. The multi-tracker optimization algorithm is utilized to adjust the controller’s parameters; this leads to an optimal performance for the IT2FFOSTA. To examine the performance of the IT2FFOSTA, some simulation and experimental tests on three examples of different classes of fully-actuated and under-actuated systems, including ball and plate, inverted pendulum, and ball and beam systems are carried out. The simulation and experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the IT2FFOSTA in reducing the amount of chattering, tracking error, and control effort compared to those of the other control methods. 相似文献
5.
This paper addresses the issue of reliable load frequency control design of an uncertain multi-area power system with constant time delays and disturbances via non-fragile sampled-data control approach. In particular, the parameter uncertainties are assumed to be randomly occurring which are described by the Bernoulli distributed sequences. By constructing a suitable Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional together with Wirtinger-based inequality, a new set of sufficient conditions in terms of linear matrix inequalities is obtained to ensure the asymptotic stability and extended dissipativity of the multi-area power system not only when all actuators are operational, but also in case of some actuator failures. Finally, simulation results are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed control design technique. 相似文献
6.
研究一类离散时滞切换系统基于异步切换下的混合H∞和无源模型参考跟踪控制问题。采用多Lyapunov函数理论并利用平均驻留时间方法,得到以线性矩阵不等式(LMIs)表示的时滞切换系统异步切换下指数稳定且具有混合H∞和无源模型参考跟踪性能的充分条件。最后,以仿真例验证所提出方法的正确性和有效性。 相似文献
7.
For a distributed parameter system with an input delay in the boundary, a feedback control law is presented by means of the backstepping method. The square integrability of input signal is verified based on the target system. Then, the boundedness and invertibility of the corresponding backstepping transformation are proved under the regularity of system and the admissibility of feedback operator. Thus, the resulting closed-loop system is shown to be exponentially stable. Finally, as an application, a numerical simulation of a one-dimensional Schrödinger equation with a delay input is carried out, and the simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the suggested control law. 相似文献
8.
Dinh Cong Huong Van Thanh Huynh Hieu Trinh 《International Journal of Adaptive Control and Signal Processing》2020,34(9):1281-1293
This article considers the design of interval functional observers to estimate a linear function of the state vector of time-delay systems subject to both input and output additive disturbances. Two novel functional observers are proposed and designed such that they bound the set of all admissible values of a linear function of the state vector at each instant of time. By contrast to interval observers currently available in the literature, both observers proposed in this article utilize multiple delayed output measurement and have a more general structure. This trade-off feature overcomes some drawbacks in previous work and enables interval functional observers to be designed for a wider class of time-delay systems. Conditions for the existence of interval functional observers are derived and an effective design algorithm for computing unknown observer matrices is provided. Two illustrative examples are given to show the advantages and effectiveness of our design method. 相似文献
9.
通过单道次和双道次热模拟实验,研究了变形量20%~50%在980、1000、1020 ℃变形温度、1000℃下不同变形量(25%~40%)以及1 000℃变形后间隔不同时间(1~20 s)的再结晶区的轧制过程。结合金相检测、电子背散衍射(EBSD)及X-射线衍射(XRD)等检测方法表征和分析了变形过程中的间隔时间、变形温度和变形量对晶粒尺寸、解理单元尺寸以及织构的影响。结果表明,随着再结晶间隔时间的减少、再结晶区变形温度的降低和变形量的增加,组织晶粒尺寸和解理单元尺寸均细化显著。当变形温度降低至980 ℃时,可获得更多的{110}滑移面,使得韧性提高。 相似文献
10.
In this paper, we deal with the problem of classification of interval type-2 fuzzy sets through evaluating their distinguishability. To this end, we exploit a general matching algorithm to compute their similarity measure. The algorithm is based on the aggregation of two core similarity measures applied independently on the upper and lower membership functions of the given pair of interval type-2 fuzzy sets that are to be compared. Based on the proposed matching procedure, we develop an experimental methodology for evaluating the distinguishability of collections of interval type-2 fuzzy sets. Experimental results on evaluating the proposed methodology are carried out in the context of classification by considering interval type-2 fuzzy sets as patterns of suitable classification problem instances. We show that considering only the upper and lower membership functions of interval type-2 fuzzy sets is sufficient to (i) accurately discriminate between them and (ii) judge and quantify their distinguishability. 相似文献