基于Bootstrap方法的密封寿命可靠性评估

针对高可靠、长寿命密封件在小样本试验下的可靠性寿命评估需求,提出一种基于虚拟增广样本和Bootstrap方法的密封寿命小样本数据可靠性评估方法。并以轴用阶梯圈为例,进行寿命可靠性评估。首先通过虚拟增广法将轴用阶梯圈台架寿命试验数据样本数增广至10个,使得样本数满足Bootstrap方法的适用条件;然后再利用Bootstrap方法得到轴用阶梯圈的寿命可靠性评估结果。     

伪标签置信选择的半监督集成学习视频语义检测

在视频语义检测中，有标记样本不足会严重影响检测的性能，而且伪标签样本中的噪声也会导致集成学习基分类器性能提升不足。为此，提出一种伪标签置信选择的半监督集成学习算法。首先，在三个不同的特征空间上训练出三个基分类器，得到基分类器的标签矢量；然后，引入加权融合样本所属某个类别的最大概率与次大概率的误差和样本所属某个类别的最大概率与样本所属其他各类别的平均概率的误差，作为基分类器的标签置信度，并融合标签矢量和标签置信度得到样本的伪标签和集成置信度；接着，选择集成置信度高的样本加入到有标签的样本集，迭代训练基分类器；最后，采用训练好的基分类器集成协作检测视频语义概念。该算法在实验数据集UCF11上的平均准确率到达了83.48%，与Co-KNN-SVM算法相比，平均准确率提高了3.48个百分点。该算法选择的伪标签能体现样本所属类别与其他类别的总体差异性，又能体现所属类别的唯一性，可减少利用伪标签样本的风险，有效提高视频语义概念检测的准确率。     

Visually deficient working conditions and reduced work performance in office workers: Is it mediated by visual discomfort?

IntroductionThe main purpose of this cross-sectional study was to investigate whether visual discomfort acts as a mediating factor between perceived visual ergonomic working conditions and self-rated visual performance among office workers who carry out administrative tasks and computer-based work at the Swedish Tax Agency.MethodsA questionnaire was sent to 94 office workers addressing: 1) perceived visual quality of the visual display units; 2) prevalence of eye symptoms; and 3) self-rated visual performance. Eighty-six persons (54 women (63%), 31 men (36%), and 1 of unspecified sex) answered the questionnaire. Multiple regression analysis investigated the association between visual ergonomic working conditions and visual performance, both with and without visual discomfort as a mediator.ResultsThe group mean of the Indexed survey questions indicated a reasonably good quality of visual ergonomic working conditions, a relative absence of eye symptoms, and acceptable self-rated visual performance. Results from multiple regression analysis showed a significant association between perceived visual ergonomic working conditions and self-rated visual performance (r² = 0.30, β = 0.327, p < 0.01). When visual discomfort was used as a mediator, the association between perceived visual ergonomic working conditions and self-rated visual performance remained the same (r² = 0.32, β = 0.315, p < 0.01).DiscussionIt was remarkable to discover that self-rated visual performance was independent of visual discomfort. Possible explanations include exposure factors not included in the current study, such as dry air and sensory irritation in the eyes, psychosocial stress, time spent performing near work activities, or time exposed to visually deficient working conditions.Relevance to industryThe strong connection between satisfaction with visual ergonomic working conditions and productivity in this study has implications for workplace profitability and staff satisfaction. If productivity is enhanced by better visual ergonomic working conditions, then managers of workplaces may be able to improve work outcomes by optimizing the physical work environment.     

U.S. regulatory perspectives on the back end of the fuel cycle: EUROSAFE 2013 proceeding

For the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the reactor licensees it regulates, there are a number of contemporary issues associated with the back end of the fuel cycle including, the agency's revision to its “Waste Confidence” decision and the path-forward for high-level waste disposal. Additionally, the 2012 Blue Ribbon Commission on America's Nuclear Future recommendations, the future of reprocessing, consolidated interim spent fuel storage, and maintaining technical competence within the NRC in challenging budgetary conditions are addressed. I conclude that there is confidence in the feasibility of safe storage of spent nuclear fuel following the licensed operational life of a reactor and any change in high-level waste policy will require Congressional action to amend the Nuclear Waste Policy Act.     

Deterministic and probabilistic ship pitch prediction using a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing,reinforcement learning and improved QRNN

The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems.     

基于人脸卡口数据的行人共现关系图谱构建

随着人脸识别技术的不断进步以及人脸卡口的大范围且密集的部署, 本文针对团伙犯罪案件侦察这一应用场景, 对人脸卡口数据进行深入挖掘, 探究其中行人间的共现关系, 获取所关注的嫌疑人的现实社交网络, 锁定团伙其余人员. 经过实验比对和论证, 本文使用Chinese Whispers聚类算法对行人节点进行识别, 通过Faiss加速邻接边的构建, 加速图的初始化步骤, 解决其聚类效率低下的问题. 在此基础上, 使用共现频次和Apriori算法中的置信度挖掘行人间的共现关系, 构建行人共现关系图谱.     

无线传感器网络基于置信因子的数据分发机制

无线传感器网络中节点的能量大部分用来传输数据,为减少数据的传输量,同时不增加数据包的延迟,提出了基于置信因子的数据分发概念。由于置信因子由传感器节点根据所感知的数据产生,反映了数据的真实性和重要性,由于设计了一种基于置信因子的发送退避策略和传输过滤器,解决了保证重要数据的优先信道访问权和减少冗余数据传输量的问题。大量仿真证明,这种数据分发机制在减少网络能耗和重要数据的时延方面是有效性的。     

The relationship between particulate air pollution and emergency hospital visits for hypertension in Beijing, China

Background

A number of epidemiological studies have examined the adverse effect of air pollution on mortality and morbidity. Also, several studies have investigated the associations between air pollution and specific-cause diseases including arrhythmia, myocardial infarction, and heart failure. However, little is known about the relationship between air pollution and the onset of hypertension.

Objective

To explore the risk effect of particulate matter air pollution on the emergency hospital visits (EHVs) for hypertension in Beijing, China.

Methods

We gathered data on daily EHVs for hypertension, fine particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM_2.5), particulate matter less than 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM₁₀), sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen dioxide in Beijing, China during 2007. A time-stratified case-crossover design with distributed lag model was used to evaluate associations between ambient air pollutants and hypertension. Daily mean temperature and relative humidity were controlled in all models.

Results

There were 1,491 EHVs for hypertension during the study period. In single pollutant models, an increase in 10 μg/m³ in PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ was associated with EHVs for hypertension with odds ratios (overall effect of five days) of 1.084 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.028, 1.139) and 1.060% (95% CI: 1.020, 1.101), respectively.

Conclusion

Elevated levels of ambient particulate matters are associated with an increase in EHVs for hypertension in Beijing, China.     

建筑结构概率可靠度的区间估计

介绍了正态分布强度参数未知、正态分布应力和强度参数均未知，同时考虑4个随机变量、取可靠度指标β为正态分布等几种常见情况下可靠度置信区间的确定方法，以达到在理论上补充和完善可靠度理论的目的。     

基于改进FMEA法的装配式混凝土建筑建造质量风险评价

为了有效分析装配式混凝土建筑关键建造质量风险因素，提高相关方质量管理水平，对建造质量风险因素进行收 集归纳，建立装配式混凝土建筑建造质量风险评价指标体系，提出基于模糊 TOPSIS 和变权法改进的 FMEA 风险评价模型。 考虑装配式混凝建筑风险指标评价要素状态值的多变性，将惩罚型变权法引入评价要素客观权重确定中，建立各风险指标 评价要素的加权规范化矩阵，再利用 TOPSIS 逼近理想解的原理进行风险排序，得到风险优先等级，并结合实例验证该方 法的可行性和可操作性，从而为装配式混凝土建造质量风险管理提供一种新思路。