A practical assessment of risk-averse approaches in production lot-sizing problems

ABSTRACT

This paper presents an empirical assessment of four state-of-the-art risk-averse approaches to deal with the capacitated lot-sizing problem under stochastic demand. We analyse two mean-risk models based on the semideviation and on the conditional value-at-risk risk measures, and alternate first and second-order stochastic dominance approaches. The extensive computational experiments based on different instances characteristics and on a case-study suggest that CVaR exhibits a good trade-off between risk and performance, followed by the semideviation and first-order stochastic dominance approach. For all approaches, enforcing risk-aversion helps to reduce the cost-standard deviation substantially, which is usually accomplished via increasing production rates. Overall, we can say that very risk-averse decision-makers would be willing to pay an increased price to have a much less risky solution given by CVaR. In less risk-averse settings, though, semideviation and first-order stochastic dominance can be appealing alternatives to provide significantly more stable production planning costs with a marginal increase of the expected costs.     

The Precedence Effect in Three Species of Birds (Melopsittacus undulatus, Serinus canaria, and Taeniopygia guttata).

The perceived locations of paired auditory images, simulating direct sounds and their echoes, have been recently studied in budgerigars (Melopsittacus undulatus; M. L. Dent & R. J. Dooling, 2003a, 2003b). In this article, the authors extend those experiments to include measurements of the precedence effect using a discrimination paradigm in two additional bird species: canaries (Serinus canaria) and zebra finches (Taeniopygia guttata). Although time courses of summing localization, localization dominance, and echo thresholds were similar across all species, budgerigars had slightly higher overall levels of discrimination. The results from these experiments add further support that the precedence effect in birds is similar to that found in other animals and that the ability to suppress echoes that might degrade localization and auditory object perception may be a general property of the vertebrate auditory system. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

大坝安全监控专家系统中的知识处理

在介绍产生式规则及其数学模型的基础上，论述了用成熟的关系数据库 技术来表示和存储产生式规则表示的专家知识的方法，较好地解决了知识的存储和管理问题 。同时，利用关系数据库中实体间的关系，很容易将分散存储的规则元素组合成规则供推理 时使用。在分析了大坝安全监控专家系统知识特点的基础上举例说明了用关系数据库表 示产生式规则的具体方法。     

长江螺山站高水位流量关系和城陵矶（莲花塘）控制水位的研究

螺山站高水位流量关系是确定长江城陵矶（莲花糖）控制水位的基本依据，从基本的河道水力学规律出发，考虑涨落率修正、瞬时比降修正，计算各时段点的代表性比降，和相应糙率，求出均值，根据断面资料，得出高水位的稳定流曲线，并以各日流量转化的稳定流点，进行验证，精度很好，分析了河段区间流量对螺山站稳定流量的影响。阐明了螺山站稳定流量的变化情况和趋势，推求了各次大洪水的超额洪量，计算出莲花糖以上的总入流，根据现今的湖区及槽蓄容积进行洪水演进，计算1954年特大洪水的超额洪量，并分析节三峡水库拦洪后对长江中下游超额水量的影响；对莲花塘不同防洪控制水位进行了技术经济分析和评价，提出了抬高控制水位的具体建议。     

条件概率关系数据库模型

现实世界中大量存在着的不确定性信息，关系数据库模型仅视它们为空值，有必要增强其处理这类信息的能力，文章在总结前人工作的基础上推广关系数据库模型，创建有效处理随机型不确定性信息的条件概念关系数据库模型，该模型通过在关系模式中增加一个条件概率测度属性，为每条记录指定适当的条件概率的途径，来表示不确定性信息。文中以对象码为基本工具，创建了条件概率关系结构；以特征函数为基本工具，定义了一套基于该结构的代数运算规则。条件概率的语意比概率的语意广泛，灵活，因而该模型能有效克服概率关系模型的许多不足。     

从关联分析法看如何改善沥青抗老化性能

用灰色关联分析法研究了沥青抗老化性能与沥青化学组成之间的关联程度，结果表明，影响再生沥青性质的主要因素是沥青中的芳烃和胶质的含量。通过添加芳香组分能改善沥青四组分之间的配伍性，从而可以改善再生沥青的抗老化性能。并通过对再生剂进行富芳处理，验证了上述结论。     

The Einstein relation in nanostructured materials: simplified theory and suggestion for experimental determination

An attempt is made to study the Einstein relation for the diffusivity–mobility ratio (DMR) in quantum wells (QWs) and quantum well wires (QWWs) of tetragonal compounds on the basis of a newly formulated electron energy spectrum taking into account the combined influences of the anisotropies in effective electron mass, the spin–orbit splitting, and the presence of crystal field splitting, respectively. The results for quantum-confined III–V compounds form a special case of our generalized analysis. The DMR has also been studied for QWs and QWWs of II–VI and IV–VI materials. Taking QWs and QWWs of CdGeAs₂, InAs, CdS and PbSe as examples, it was found that the DMR increases with increasing carrier statistics and decreasing film thickness respectively in various oscillatory manners emphasizing the influence of dimensional quantizations and the energy band constants in different cases. An experimental method of determining the DMR in nanostructures with arbitrary dispersion laws has also been suggested and the present simplified analysis is in agreement with the suggested relationship. The well-known results for nanostructures with parabolic energy bands have also been obtained as special cases from this generalized analysis under certain limiting conditions.     

P、V操作的新探讨

P、V操作的概念以及使用在操作系统中非常重要、这里从一些新颖的角度来分析P、V操作，用P、V操作来实现进程的同步与互斥以及一种简单易行的逻辑关系则可以解决P操作嵌套时的执行次序。     

Hemispheric contributions to nonverbal abstract reasoning and problem solving.

Hemispheric involvement in reasoning abilities has been debated for some time, and it remains unclear whether the right hemisphere's involvement in problem solving is modality specific or dependent on the type of spatial reasoning required. In the current study, 2 types of nonverbal reasoning abilities were examined, spatial reasoning and proportional reasoning, in 109 patients with cerebrovascular disease that was confined to either the right or the left hemisphere or was diffuse in nature. Results indicated that no lateralizing effects were present based on type of spatial reasoning. Findings are consistent with the suggestion that higher order cognitive processes involved in nonverbal abstraction and problem solving are not strongly lateralized to the right hemisphere but rather are more generally distributed throughout the cortex. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

CAD系统中产品设计三维实体建模方法的研究

三维建模是应用CAD系统进行产品设计的重要步骤。现在市场上已有不少的CAD系统，但是不同系统中的三维建模方法却是基本相同的。在这些三维建模的方法中，往往对用户施加了许多的限制，使得用户无法建立复杂的三维实体。笔者提出了一种新的三维建模方法－折叠法，应用这种方法的概念和原理，可以开发出先进的三维建模CAD系统。折叠二维平面图形构成三维实体是作者提出的一种新概念。