基于主动学习的离群点集成挖掘方法研究

离群点检测任务通常缺少可用的标注数据，且离群数据只占整个数据集的很小一部分，相较于其他的数据挖掘任务，离群点检测的难度较大，尚没有单一的算法适合于所有的场景。因此，结合多样性模型集成和主动学习思想，提出了一种基于主动学习的离群点集成检测方法OMAL（Outlier Mining based on Active Learning）。在主动学习框架指导下，根据各种基学习器的对比分析，选择了基于统计的、基于相似性的、基于子空间划分的三个无监督模型作为基学习器。将各基学习器评判的处于离群和正常边界的数据整合后呈现给人类专家进行标注，以最大化人类专家反馈的信息量；从标注的数据集和各基学习器投票产生的数据集中抽样，基于GBM（Gradient BoostingMachine）训练一个有监督二元分类模型，并将该模型应用于全数据集，得出最终的挖掘结果。实验表明，提出方法的AUC有了较为明显的提升，且具有良好的运行效率，具备较好的实用价值。     

伪标签置信选择的半监督集成学习视频语义检测

在视频语义检测中，有标记样本不足会严重影响检测的性能，而且伪标签样本中的噪声也会导致集成学习基分类器性能提升不足。为此，提出一种伪标签置信选择的半监督集成学习算法。首先，在三个不同的特征空间上训练出三个基分类器，得到基分类器的标签矢量；然后，引入加权融合样本所属某个类别的最大概率与次大概率的误差和样本所属某个类别的最大概率与样本所属其他各类别的平均概率的误差，作为基分类器的标签置信度，并融合标签矢量和标签置信度得到样本的伪标签和集成置信度；接着，选择集成置信度高的样本加入到有标签的样本集，迭代训练基分类器；最后，采用训练好的基分类器集成协作检测视频语义概念。该算法在实验数据集UCF11上的平均准确率到达了83.48%，与Co-KNN-SVM算法相比，平均准确率提高了3.48个百分点。该算法选择的伪标签能体现样本所属类别与其他类别的总体差异性，又能体现所属类别的唯一性，可减少利用伪标签样本的风险，有效提高视频语义概念检测的准确率。     

基于间隔理论的过采样集成算法

针对传统集成算法不适用于不平衡数据分类的问题，提出基于间隔理论的AdaBoost算法（MOSBoost）。首先通过预训练得到原始样本的间隔；然后依据间隔排序对少类样本进行启发式复制，从而形成新的平衡样本集；最后将平衡样本集输入AdaBoost算法进行训练以得到最终集成分类器。在UCI数据集上进行测试实验，利用F-measure和G-mean两个准则对MOSBoost、AdaBoost、随机过采样AdaBoost（ROSBoost）和随机降采样AdaBoost（RDSBoost）四种算法进行评价。实验结果表明，MOSBoost算法分类性能优于其他三种算法，其中，相对于AdaBoost算法，MOSBoost算法在F-measure和G-mean准则下分别提升了8.4%和6.2%。     

鲸鱼优化支持向量机的短期风电功率预测

为提高风电预测的精度,提出一种鲸鱼优化支持向量机SVM(support vector machine)的组合预测模型。该模型针对风电序列的非平稳波动特性,首先应用集合经验模态分解技术EEMD(ensemble empirical mode de?composition)将原始风电序列分解为一系列不同特征尺度的子序列;并引入鲸鱼优化算法WOA(whales optimiza?tion algorithm)解决SVM中学习参数选择难的问题,进而对各子序列建立WOA_SVM预测模型;最后,叠加各子序列的预测值以得到最终预测值。仿真表明,所提EEMD_WOA_SVM模型具有较高的风电预测精度,显著优于其他基本模型。     

A new reverse reduce-error ensemble pruning algorithm

Although greedy algorithms possess high efficiency, they often receive suboptimal solutions of the ensemble pruning problem, since their exploration areas are limited in large extent. And another marked defect of almost all the currently existing ensemble pruning algorithms, including greedy ones, consists in: they simply abandon all of the classifiers which fail in the competition of ensemble selection, causing a considerable waste of useful resources and information. Inspired by these observations, an interesting greedy Reverse Reduce-Error (RRE) pruning algorithm incorporated with the operation of subtraction is proposed in this work. The RRE algorithm makes the best of the defeated candidate networks in a way that, the Worst Single Model (WSM) is chosen, and then, its votes are subtracted from the votes made by those selected components within the pruned ensemble. The reason is because, for most cases, the WSM might make mistakes in its estimation for the test samples. And, different from the classical RE, the near-optimal solution is produced based on the pruned error of all the available sequential subensembles. Besides, the backfitting step of RE algorithm is replaced with the selection step of a WSM in RRE. Moreover, the problem of ties might be solved more naturally with RRE. Finally, soft voting approach is employed in the testing to RRE algorithm. The performances of RE and RRE algorithms, and two baseline methods, i.e., the method which selects the Best Single Model (BSM) in the initial ensemble, and the method which retains all member networks of the initial ensemble (ALL), are evaluated on seven benchmark classification tasks under different initial ensemble setups. The results of the empirical investigation show the superiority of RRE over the other three ensemble pruning algorithms.     

基于EEMD能量熵和混合算法的电机轴承故障诊断

针对提升机电机轴承振动信号的非平稳特性和单一粒子群算法(PSO) 优化径向基函数（RBF）神经网络时存在网络收敛速度慢和适应度值易陷入局部最小的缺点，提出基于集合经验模态分解（EEMD）能量熵和模拟退火粒子群混合算法（SAPSO）优化RBF神经网络的提升机电机轴承故障诊断方法。基于EEMD求取振动信号各固有模态函数分量的能量熵，并使用相关性分析方法剔除虚假的分量，把筛选后的有效数据作为故障识别的特征向量；利用模拟退火（SA）算法具有局部概率突跳的特性，将SA算法和PSO算法相结合，在优化RBF诊断模型隐含层参数时以实现不同算法间的优劣互补。仿真结果表明，使用SAPSO算法优化后的RBF神经网络模型在提升机电机轴承故障诊断中能够加快网络收敛速度和提升故障识别精度。     

Chemical-Shift Perturbations Reflect Bile Acid Binding to Norovirus Coat Protein: Recognition Comes in Different Flavors

Bile acids have been reported as important cofactors promoting human and murine norovirus (NoV) infections in cell culture. The underlying mechanisms are not resolved. Through the use of chemical shift perturbation (CSP) NMR experiments, we identified a low-affinity bile acid binding site of a human GII.4 NoV strain. Long-timescale MD simulations reveal the formation of a ligand-accessible binding pocket of flexible shape, allowing the formation of stable viral coat protein–bile acid complexes in agreement with experimental CSP data. CSP NMR experiments also show that this mode of bile acid binding has a minor influence on the binding of histo-blood group antigens and vice versa. STD NMR experiments probing the binding of bile acids to virus-like particles of seven different strains suggest that low-affinity bile acid binding is a common feature of human NoV and should therefore be important for understanding the role of bile acids as cofactors in NoV infection.     

EW组合近似模型在概念铝车架断面轻量化设计中的应用

首先提出一种组合近似模型的建立方法——EW法,并将其用于铝合金车架弯、扭刚度和弯、扭模态性能的预测中,对比其与另外3种单一近似模型Kriging、RBF、RSM以及两种组合近似模型EI、EG的预测性优劣,结果表明,采用EW法建立的近似模型在组合近似模型中有最高的预测精度与预测稳定性,且与单一近似模型RBF在具有相近预测稳定性的情况下比较,弯曲刚度、扭转刚度、弯曲模态及扭转模态预测精度R 2的均值分别高出1.33%、0.50%、1.76%和4.97%,RMAE的均值分别减小56.3%、58.0%、41.0%和25.6%。基于上述分析,选择预测能力最强的EW法建立组合近似模型,采用退火算法对概念铝车架断面尺寸进行轻量化设计,结果表明,在弯曲刚度和扭转刚度分别提升1.79%、2.67%,弯曲模态和扭转模态分别提升3.47%、1.04%的情况下,质量降低4.98 kg,轻量化效果明显。     

基于 MPDE-EEMD 及自适应共振解调的轴承故障特征提取方法

针对滚动轴承振动信号具有非线性、非平稳性和非高斯性,并且故障特征往往淹没于系统噪声之中而难于识别的问题, 提出了以多种群差分进化(multiple population differential evolution, MPDE) 算法来改进集合经验模式分解( ensemble empirical mode decomposition, EEMD) 的 MPDE-EEMD 消噪方法,并与自适应共振解调技术( adaptive resonance demodulation technique, ARDT)相结合实现故障特征提取。 首先,为了解决 EEMD 中加入参数依靠人工选择且难以准确获取的问题,建立极值点分布 特性评价函数,利用 MPDE 来寻优获取最佳白噪声幅值,实现 EEMD 自适应分解。 然后,采用峭度与相关性相结合的准则对分 解后的 IMF 分量进行自动筛选,将满足条件的有效信号进行重构,实现对原始振动信号的降噪处理。 最后,采用 ARDT 自动确 定对消噪信号进行带通滤波的带宽和中心频率,再通过包络解调提取出滤波信号的特征频率。 将轴承仿真故障信号与实际故 障信号用于算法的验证,结果表明 MPDE-EEMD+ARDT 能有效提取出轴承故障特征。     

Key-Attributes-Based Ensemble Classifier for Customer Churn Prediction

Recently, it has been seen that the ensemble classifier is an effective way to enhance the prediction performance. However, it usually suffers from the problem of how to construct an appropriate classifier based on a set of complex data, for example, the data with many dimensions or hierarchical attributes. This study proposes a method to constructe an ensemble classifier based on the key attributes. In addition to its high-performance on precision shared by common ensemble classifiers, the calculation results are highly intelligible and thus easy for understanding. Furthermore, the experimental results based on the real data collected from China Mobile show that the key-attributes-based ensemble classifier has the good performance on both of the classifier construction and the customer churn prediction.