自重湿陷性黄土地基预钻孔浸水处理的可靠度设计方法

为解决传统预浸水法存在的浸水时间长、浸水处理范围难以确定等不足,基于土体中水分运移规律,依据可靠度理论、极限状态设计方法及复合 Poisson 过程原理,提出一种消除黄土湿陷性的处理浸水方法——预钻孔浸水法。给出了利用预钻孔浸水法对自重湿陷性黄土地基进行浸水时,水平向及竖直向浸水影响范围的确定模型;在此基础上结合达西定律给出了浸水孔设计参数如孔深、孔间距及浸水孔个数的确定方法。结合铜川某工程,设计进行了现场预钻孔浸水试验,对该方法的合理性进行了验证,并通过现场钻探、现场勘探、室内湿陷性试验等方法对该方法的处理效果进行了评价。该浸水方法具有浸水时间短、浸水影响范围可根据浸水孔布设进行控制等优点,且浸水处理效果良好,完全符合施工要求。     

Distributed two‐stage state estimation with event‐triggered strategy for multirate sensor networks

This paper investigates the state estimation issue for a class of wireless sensor networks (WSNs) with the consideration of limited energy resources. First, a multirate estimation model is established, and then, a new event‐triggered two‐stage information fusion algorithm is developed based on the optimal fusion criterion weighted by matrices. Compared with the existing methods, the presented fusion algorithm can significantly reduce the communication cost in WSNs and save energy resources of sensors efficiently. Furthermore, by presetting a desired containment probability over the interval [0,1] with the developed event‐triggered mechanism, one can obtain a suitable compromise between the communication cost and the estimation accuracy. Finally, a numerical simulation for the WSN tracking system is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

灾害孤岛潜势风险分群与降雨警戒值探讨

台湾本身地貌特性以及近年来强降雨事件发生频繁,促使山区地带发生复合式灾害,如崩塌、泥石流与山洪等,因此灾害孤岛效应有必要仿效泥石流以及洪水灾害,制定出参考警戒值以及警戒线,将有助于防灾决策、救难资源投入以及灾害风险判释。本文针对台湾发生过灾害孤岛效应的114个村进行分析,且着重于首次发生灾害的台风降雨事件。首先通过群集分析并依照各样本的6个灾因指标进行分类,群集结果显示可分为8个群,并再以象限分布描述各群的潜势相对风险。采用2004—2015年台风降雨事件的观测雨量数据,并利用距离反比权重法,得出各村的累积降雨量(R)与最大时雨量(I)。整合各群集样本雨量数据后,使用台湾水土保持局使用的RTI模式概念,计算出各群集之RTImin、RTI30、RTI50和RTI70,以绘制低风险区(0～30%)、中风险区(30～70%)和高风险区(70%～100%),其中着重探讨灾害孤岛事件的下限值RTImin,以便可得知最易发生灾害的群集。结果显示,各群的潜势风险反映RTImin的效果良好,如潜势风险越高则其RTImin值越低,即雨量驱动灾害发生的条件较低。群集中,第1与2群为低风险群、第3、5与6群为中风险群、第4、7与8群为高风险群,仅第5群无法透过RTImin验证潜势风险关系,故本文挑选的6项灾因指标,为辨别灾害孤岛效应潜势等级的重要因子。     

蜂窝梁的稳定性能研究进展

对蜂窝梁破坏模式的研究表明，失稳是其结构性能失效的重要破坏模式。为此，在回顾蜂窝梁结构特性研究的基础上，总结归纳了蜂窝梁失稳的3种主要模式：整体弯扭失稳、梁墩屈曲、畸变屈曲。结合国内外近30多年来对蜂窝梁稳定性的试验研究成果，对影响蜂窝梁稳定性的主要因素进行分析。采用蒙特卡洛法得到纯弯简支蜂窝梁弯扭失稳临界荷载的概率分布和影响因子的敏感度。将部分具有代表性的试验成果与欧洲规范EN 1993-1-1计算结果进行对比，根据中国规范GB 50068—2001《建筑结构可靠度设计统一标准》提供的抗力分项系数，计算了不同荷载组合下蜂窝梁整体弯扭失稳临界荷载的可靠度指标，为国内规范的制订提供依据。最后，总结了当前蜂窝梁稳定性研究中存在的不足，指明了进一步研究的方向。     

采用随机Petri网的嵌入式机载软件可靠性检测

针对嵌入式机载软件设计中存在的典型缺陷问题，结合嵌入式机载软件任务调度特性，提出采用随机Petri网对嵌入式机载软件设计进行仿真验证的可靠性检测方法，以提高嵌入式机载软件设计的可靠性。该方法采用随机Petri网对嵌入式机载软件系统行为建模，并给出典型缺陷的检测策略和判定准则，然后通过对Petri网模型进行仿真验证，检测系统是否存在此类设计缺陷；并给出了软件设计的运行流程的仿真验证算法，以支持对相应设计的可靠性检测。通过与其他可靠性检测方法的比较，表明了该方法的有效性。     

无失效数据机载多余度EWIS可靠性研究

针对高可靠度机载多余度EWIS各组成部分寿命服从指数分布但参数未知的情况，提出采用无失效数据可靠度分析方法评估EWIS的可靠度水平。通过Monte-Carlo仿真方法对连接形式为“先并联、后串联”EWIS各组成部分寿命进行抽样，利用“最小最大值”方法获得系统寿命的抽样值，用概率纸检验法初步判断EWIS寿命是否服从威布尔分布，再用Pearson拟合优度检验法判断EWIS寿命是否服从威布尔分布。结合无故障飞行时间的样本值与EWIS寿命服从威布尔分布的假设，采用无失效数据分析方法评估EWIS的可靠度水平。研究方法对机载多余度EWIS无失效数据可靠度分析有一定的贡献。     

胶带斜井在冶金矿山深井开拓中的应用探讨

针对某在建矿山深井开拓方案探索需求，通过对胶带运输系统发展应用情况介绍和胶带运输系统运输特性影响因素分析，并结合深井开拓胶带斜井方案与竖井加胶带斜井方案投资经济性比较，以及对胶带运输系统在运行过程中关键问题的分析和讨论，得出随着胶带运输技术的不断发展，在大规模深井开拓中，胶带斜井开拓将大有可为，为冶金矿山深井开拓方案选择提供决策支持。     

Development and technical progress in large-scale circulating fluidized bed boiler in China

Circulating fluidized bed (CFB) boilers has realized the clean and efficient utilization of inferior coal like gangue and coal slime, high sulfur coal, anthracite, petroleum coke, oil shale and other resources. As a country with the largest amount of CFB boilers and the largest installed capacity in the world, China has 440 100–600 MW_e CFB boilers with a total capacity of 82.29 GW_e, including 227 units of 135 MW_e, 95 units of 300 MW_e, and 24 supercritical units. The statistics of typical 100–300 MW_e CFB boilers showed that the average number of unplanned shut-down was only 0.37 times per year, among which the 135 MW_e was 0.26 times per year and 300 MW_e was 0.46 times per year. The auxiliary power ratio of some 300 MW_e CFB boilers based on flow-pattern reconstruction can be reduced to about 4%, which is closed to the same level of pulverized coal (PC) boilers. This paper summarizes the development process and application status of China’s large-scale CFB boilers, analyzes the characteristics and technical performance of the iconic units, and introduces solutions to the problems such as water wall wear and bottom ash cooling.     

Full-chip wire-oriented back-end-of-line TDDB hotspot detection and lifetime analysis

Time-dependent dielectric breakdown (TDDB) has become an important cause of failure for inter-metal dielectrics (IMD) in integrated circuits as feature sizes continue to shrink and novel materials are introduced. Although many studies have been conducted to understand the underlying physics of this issue, not enough work has been focused on evaluating TDDB lifetime of practical chip designs in the physical design stage. This paper proposes a full-chip TDDB failure analysis methodology to evaluate lifetime and identify TDDB hotspots in VLSI layouts, which are essentially interconnect wires that have high failure risk due to TDDB. The proposed method features three new techniques compared to existing methods. First, we have developed a partitioning-based scheme to deal with scaling of full-chip analysis by partitioning the full chip layout into small tiles. Second, for each tile, the new method calculates a newly-introduced TDDB failure metric called TDDB Damage for vulnerable wires. Such a wire-oriented TDDB analysis is the first of its kind and is very amenable for physical design as the wires can be easily adjusted or re-routed for TDDB-aware optimization. Third, the new method considers the impact of the non-uniform electric field calculated using the finite element method (FEM), which significantly improves the accuracy of TDDB risk evaluation. Experimental results show that the proposed new TDDB analysis method is more accurate than a recently proposed full-chip TDDB analysis method in which electrical field is treated as a constant value. Additionally, the proposed method can analyze a practical VLSI layout in a few hours.     

重力坝坝基多斜面抗滑稳定模糊体系可靠度研究

以基岩具有多斜面、多滑移通道的某实际重力坝工程为例,基于刚体极限平衡法,采用模糊理论和几种典型的体系可靠度计算方法,研究其典型坝段的坝基深层抗滑稳定模糊体系可靠度,探讨模糊理论中隶属函数形式、隶属度以及隶属函数中关键参数的取值对可靠度计算结果的影响。研究结果表明,采取限制失效概率模糊界限比的方法可使计算结果更具有参考性,考虑模糊性的抗滑稳定可靠指标的下限较常规可靠度计算值偏小,这在重力坝坝基抗滑稳定分析中应引起重视。