建筑工业化发展的多群体演化博弈与仿真研究

新型建筑工业化具有高质量、低消耗、可循环发展等特征，其推广已上升到国家战略层面。利用演化博弈方法，建立“政府-开发商-银行” 的三方动态演化博弈模型，进行各博弈主体策略的演化稳定性分析，并针对初始状态、奖惩力度、借贷风险和开发成本等对演化结果的影响进行动态仿真。在此基础上， 考虑开发商群体的网络拓扑特征对演化真实性的影响，引入复杂网络理论， 以无标度网络为载体描述开发商个体的连接偏好和决策机制，构建政府监管下的建筑工业化扩散模型，并通过仿真深入研究相关因素对扩散深度的影响作用，最后结合仿真结果给出相应对策建议。     

低碳时变城配送车辆路径-发车调度集成优化

针对交通拥挤环境下日益增长的城市配送需求，通过分析时序依赖对成本和碳排放的影响，引入车辆在节点等待和离散调度策略，研究基于时序依赖的低碳城市配送车辆路径与离散调度问题。为求解该问题，设计基于遗传算法与局部搜索相结合的混合进化搜索算法对模型求解，用积极的局部搜索机制替代随机的变异操作，并通过可行解构造算法、变概率交叉和多种局部搜索策略来提高算法求解质量和求解效率。通过对比仿真实验对算法和模型的有效性进行了验证。     

变邻域量子烟花算法求解CVRP

针对带容量约束的车辆路径问题，提出一种融合量子进化算法和变邻域优化策略的变邻域量子烟花算法。该算法采用等分随机键与最大位置法结合的实数编码方式，通过量子旋转门和非门变异提高算法全局搜索能力，同时运用结合2-Opt的变邻域优化策略加强局部搜索能力。选取17个基准算例进行参数实验和对比实验，实验结果表明，相对于对比算法，所提出的算法具有较好的寻优能力和收敛速度。     

Improving the multi-objective evolutionary optimization algorithm for hydropower reservoir operations in the California Oroville–Thermalito complex

This study demonstrates the application of an improved Evolutionary optimization Algorithm (EA), titled Multi-Objective Complex Evolution Global Optimization Method with Principal Component Analysis and Crowding Distance Operator (MOSPD), for the hydropower reservoir operation of the Oroville–Thermalito Complex (OTC) – a crucial head-water resource for the California State Water Project (SWP). In the OTC's water-hydropower joint management study, the nonlinearity of hydropower generation and the reservoir's water elevation–storage relationship are explicitly formulated by polynomial function in order to closely match realistic situations and reduce linearization approximation errors. Comparison among different curve-fitting methods is conducted to understand the impact of the simplification of reservoir topography. In the optimization algorithm development, techniques of crowding distance and principal component analysis are implemented to improve the diversity and convergence of the optimal solutions towards and along the Pareto optimal set in the objective space. A comparative evaluation among the new algorithm MOSPD, the original Multi-Objective Complex Evolution Global Optimization Method (MOCOM), the Multi-Objective Differential Evolution method (MODE), the Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA), the Multi-Objective Simulated Annealing approach (MOSA), and the Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization scheme (MOPSO) is conducted using the benchmark functions. The results show that best the MOSPD algorithm demonstrated the best and most consistent performance when compared with other algorithms on the test problems. The newly developed algorithm (MOSPD) is further applied to the OTC reservoir releasing problem during the snow melting season in 1998 (wet year), 2000 (normal year) and 2001 (dry year), in which the more spreading and converged non-dominated solutions of MOSPD provide decision makers with better operational alternatives for effectively and efficiently managing the OTC reservoirs in response to the different climates, especially drought, which has become more and more severe and frequent in California.     

Parallel Multipopulation Differential Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization for Voltage and Reactive Power Control

This paper presents parallel multipopulation differential evolutionary particle swarm optimization (DEEPSO) for voltage and reactive power control (VQC). The problem can be formulated as a mixed integer nonlinear optimization problem and various evolutionary computation techniques have been applied to the problem including PSO, differential evolution (DE), and DEEPSO. Since VQC is one of the online controls, speed‐up of computation is required. Moreover, there is still room for improvement in solution quality. This paper applies parallel multipopulation DEEPSO in order to speed up the calculation and improve solution quality. The proposed method is applied to IEEE 30, 57, and 118 bus systems. The results indicate that the proposed method can realize fast computation and minimize more active power losses than the conventional evolutionary computation techniques.     

Multi-objective optimization of shield construction parameters based on random forests and NSGA-II

Metro shield construction will inevitably cause changes in the stress and strain state of the surrounding soil, resulting in stratum deformation and surface settlement (SS), which will seriously endanger the safety of nearby buildings, roads and underground pipe networks. Therefore, in the design and construction stage, optimizing the shield construction parameters (SCP) is the key to reducing the SS rate and increasing the safe driving speed (DS). However, optimization of existing SCP are challenged by the need to construct a unified multiobjective model for optimization that are efficient, convenient, and widely applicable. This paper innovatively proposes a hybrid intelligence framework that combines random forest (RF) and non-dominant classification genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II), which overcomes the shortcomings of time-consuming and high cost for the establishment and verification of traditional prediction models. First, RF is used to rank the importance of 10 influencing factors, and the nonlinear mapping relationship between the main SCP and the two objectives is constructed as the fitness function of the NSGA-II algorithm. Second, a multiobjective optimization framework for RF-NSGA-II is established, based on which the optimal Pareto front is calculated, and reasonable optimized control ranges for the SCP are obtained. Finally, a case study in the Wuhan Rail Transit Line 6 project is examined. The results show that the SS is reduced by 12.5% and the DS is increased by 2.5% with the proposed framework. Meanwhile, the prediction results are compared with the back-propagation neural network (BPNN), support vector machine (SVM), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). The findings indicate that the RF-NSGA-II framework can not only meet the requirements of SS and DS calculation, but also used as a support tool for real-time optimization and control of SCP.     

矿工违章作业演化博弈分析——计划行为理论视角

为进一步抑制高危岗位矿工违章行为,基于计划行为理论,从有限理性角度出发,引入安全管理者奖励机制,建立煤矿高危岗位矿工违章行为与安全检查员检查行为博弈模型,构建行为收益感知矩阵,对博弈双方的复制动态方程进行分析。结果表明:当检查力度和惩罚系数一定时,管理者对矿工施加的奖惩方式,主要取决于矿工的风险规避系数;在对一线矿工违章操作施加的惩罚力度不变的情况下,安全检查员加大对一线矿工的检查频率和力度,可以减少违章操作次数;在安全检查员对矿工检查力度不变的情况下,管理者加大对矿工违章行为的惩罚力度,也可以抑制违章行为。     

苯基氯硅烷单体分离塔系的模拟与优化

直接法合成的苯基氯硅烷粗单体是一种成分复杂的多组分混合物,其分离纯化较为困难,国内外鲜有报道。文中设计了4种分离方案并与文献中已有的分离方法进行对比。利用Aspen Plus对以上5种分离方案进行严格模拟计算,旨在保证一苯基三氯硅烷、二苯基二氯硅烷的纯度及收率的前提下找出年度费用最低的分离方案。基于易分离度系数法的分离方案年度总费用最低,比现有分离方案的年度总费用降低了7.8%。以该流程为初始方案,利用调优法找出4组相邻分离方案。通过对4组分离方案进行精确模拟计算,得到结论:调优方案3年度总费用最低,为苯基氯硅烷单体分离的最优分离方案,比初始方案年度总费用低了3.5%。     

基于WTD-AR谱和MEA-BPNN的轴承故障诊断方法

针对滚动轴承故障诊断模型在噪声干扰下鲁棒性能差的问题,提出一种基于小波阈值去噪（WTD）、AR谱和思维进化算法（MEA）优化反向传播神经网络（BPNN）的轴承故障诊断方法。以原始振动信号为输入,采用小波方法分解重构原始信号滤除高频噪声,然后采用Burg算法估计AR模型参数提取降噪信号功率谱特征,最后将特征向量与对应标签分别作为MEA-BPNN神经网络的输入、输出进行训练,最终实现诊断。将该方法与一些先进的人工神经网络诊断方法作比较,测试该诊断模型的性能。研究结果表明：WTD-AR谱-MEA-BPNN诊断模型能够有效降低轴承振动信号的噪声干扰,实现特征增强,分辨率更高;相较于传统神经网络训练速度更快,在更短时间内甄别故障类型且识别率高。