Prediction of Flooding in Packed Liquid-Liquid and High-Pressure Extraction Columns Using a Gaussian Process

Reliable prediction of flooding conditions is needed for sizing and operating packed extraction columns. Due to the complex interplay of physicochemical properties, operational parameters and the packing-specific properties, it is challenging to develop accurate semi-empirical or rigorous models with a high validity range. State of the art models may therefore fail to predict flooding accurately. To overcome this problem, a data-driven model based on Gaussian processes is developed to predict flooding for packed liquid-liquid and high-pressure extraction columns. The optimized Gaussian process for the liquid-liquid extraction column results in an average absolute relative error (AARE) of 15.23 %, whereas the algorithm for the high-pressure extraction column results in an AARE of 13.68 %. Both algorithms can predict flooding curves for different packing geometries and chemical systems precisely.     

基于Logistic回归的老年人APP用户体验优化设计

目的 提升老年人APP的用户体验水平。方法 提出一种基于Logistic回归的老年人APP用户体验优化设计研究方法。首先，通过文献研究和焦点小组法确定APP的设计模式，并选择合适的正交表确定设计模式的组合方式；其次，构建以行为体验、感知体验和情感体验为基础的用户体验评价体系，邀请被试者对试验样本执行具有代表性的任务，并对用户体验进行评价研究，收集试验数据；再次，运用序次Logistic回归建立APP设计模式与用户体验之间的关系模型，确定APP的最佳设计方案；最后，运用A/B测试方法对得到的试验结果进行验证。结论 以老年人移动医疗APP为例进行研究，结果表明所提出的方法可以有效地对老年人APP的用户体验进行优化设计，有助于设计师了解老年用户的偏好，设计出适合老年人使用的APP。     

Dynamic model of the flip-flow screen-penetration process and influence mechanism of multiple parameters

Flip-flow screening is an important method for classifying fine particles. The traditional research of flip-flow screening focuses on the final screening results, and neglects the screen-penetration process. However, the screen-penetration process directly affects the final screening effect. In this paper, a dynamic model of the flip-flow screen-penetration process was proposed and clarified the influence mechanism of main structural parameters on the screening process. First, based on theoretical derivation and regression fitting, the mathematical model of particle screen-penetration rate and screening time was established, and the dynamic evaluation index was obtained. Then, the effect of main structural parameters, namely, the excitation frequency, displacement excitation amplitude, and stretching amount of the screen plate, on the dynamic indexes, was explored. Furthermore, a quadratic polynomial model of the main structural parameters and the two-stage dynamic evaluation index were established by using the response surface method. The explicitness and interactivity of the effects of parameters were elucidated. This work is of great significance for the accurate control of the screening process.     

Farmers' preferences for adopting on-farm concentration of raw milk: Results from a discrete choice experiment in Germany

Milk concentrates are used in the manufacturing of dairy products such as yogurt and cheese or are processed into milk powder. Processes for the nonthermal separation of water and valuable milk ingredients are becoming increasingly widespread at farm level. The technical barriers to using farm-manufactured milk concentrate in dairies are minimal, hence the suspicion that the practice of on-farm raw milk concentration is still fairly uncommon for economic reasons. This study, therefore, set out to investigate farmers' potential willingness to adopt a raw milk concentration plant. The empirical analysis was based on discrete choice experiments with 75 German dairy farmers to identify preferences and the possible adoption of on-farm raw milk concentration. The results showed that, in particular, farmers who deemed the current milk price to be insufficient viewed on-farm concentration using membrane technology as an option for diversifying their milk sales. We found no indication that adoption would be impeded by a lack of trustworthy information on milk processing technologies or capital.     

Deterministic and probabilistic ship pitch prediction using a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing,reinforcement learning and improved QRNN

The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems.     

Influence of accelerated curing on the compressive strength of polymer-modified concrete

In recent building practice, rapid construction is one of the principal requisites. Furthermore, in designing concrete structures, compressive strength is the most significant of all parameters. While 3-d and 7-d compressive strength reflects the strengths at early phases, the ultimate strength is paramount. An effort has been made in this study to develop mathematical models for predicting compressive strength of concrete incorporating ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) at the later phases. Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) goodness-of-fit test was used to examine distribution of the data. The compressive strength of EVA-modified concrete was studied by incorporating various concentrations of EVA as an admixture and by testing at ages of 28, 56, 90, 120, 210, and 365 d. An accelerated compressive strength at 3.5 hours was considered as a reference strength on the basis of which all the specified strengths were predicted by means of linear regression fit. Based on the results of KS goodness-of-fit test, it was concluded that KS test statistics value (D) in each case was lower than the critical value 0.521 for a significance level of 0.05, which demonstrated that the data was normally distributed. Based on the results of compressive strength test, it was concluded that the strength of EVA-modified specimens increased at all ages and the optimum dosage of EVA was achieved at 16% concentration. Furthermore, it was concluded that predicted compressive strength values lies within a 6% difference from the actual strength values for all the mixes, which indicates the practicability of the regression equations. This research work may help in understanding the role of EVA as a viable material in polymer-based cement composites.     

No-Reference Video Quality Assessment using novel hybrid features and two-stage hybrid regression for score level fusion

This paper presents a novel No-Reference Video Quality Assessment (NR-VQA) model that utilizes proposed 3D steerable wavelet transform-based Natural Video Statistics (NVS) features as well as human perceptual features. Additionally, we proposed a novel two-stage regression scheme that significantly improves the overall performance of quality estimation. In the first stage, transform-based NVS and human perceptual features are separately passed through the proposed hybrid regression scheme: Support Vector Regression (SVR) followed by Polynomial curve fitting. The two visual quality scores predicted from the first stage are then used as features for the similar second stage. This predicts the final quality scores of distorted videos by achieving score level fusion. Extensive experiments were conducted using five authentic and four synthetic distortion databases. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms other published state-of-the-art benchmark methods on synthetic distortion databases and is among the top performers on authentic distortion databases. The source code is available at https://github.com/anishVNIT/two-stage-vqa.     

Prediction of mode I fracture toughness of rock using linear multiple regression and gene expression programming

Prediction of mode I fracture toughness (K_IC) of rock is of significant importance in rock engineering analyses. In this study, linear multiple regression (LMR) and gene expression programming (GEP) methods were used to provide a reliable relationship to determine mode I fracture toughness of rock. The presented model was developed based on 60 datasets taken from the previous literature. To predict fracture parameters, three mechanical parameters of rock mass including uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), Brazilian tensile strength (BTS), and elastic modulus (E) have been selected as the input parameters. A cluster of data was collected and divided into two random groups of training and testing datasets. Then, different statistical linear and artificial intelligence based nonlinear analyses were conducted on the training data to provide a reliable prediction model of K_IC. These two predictive methods were then evaluated based on the testing data. To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed models for predicting the mode I fracture toughness of rock, various statistical indices including coefficient of determination (R²), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) were utilized herein. In the case of testing datasets, the values of R², RMSE, and MAE for the GEP model were 0.87, 0.188, and 0.156, respectively, while they were 0.74, 0.473, and 0.223, respectively, for the LMR model. The results indicated that the selected GEP model delivered superior performance with a higher R² value and lower errors.     

贵长猕猴桃皮HPLC指纹图谱及抗氧化谱效关系研究

目的:研究贵长猕猴桃皮HPLC指纹图谱与抗氧化活性的关系。方法:采用高效液相色谱法建立10批不同来源地贵长猕猴桃皮的指纹图谱,采用SPSS 13.0进行样品聚类分析和主成分分析;并通过DPPH和ABTS法测定其抗氧化活性,以EC50与共有峰峰面积数据为基础,应用皮尔逊相关分析法和逐步回归分析法研究谱效关系。结果:建立了10批贵长猕猴桃皮HPLC指纹图谱,确定了14个共有峰,相似度均>0.90。采用对照品比对方法指认了其中6个峰:2号峰没食子酸,5号峰原儿茶酸,9号峰表儿茶素,10号峰二氢槲皮素,11号峰4-香豆酸,12号峰落新妇苷,样本可聚为3类。皮尔逊相关分析与逐步回归分析结果显示:5号峰(原儿茶酸)和9号峰(表儿茶素)峰面积变化与贵长猕猴桃皮抗氧化活性呈显著正相关,对其抗氧化活性贡献度较大。结论:贵长猕猴桃皮具有较高的体外抗氧化活性,抗氧化活性的物质基础初步确定为贵长猕猴桃皮开发利用、质量评价提供依据。     

Effect of a sweeping air stream and gas–phase aspect ratio of an isothermal Stefan diffusion column on the experimental estimation of binary gas diffusivities

The Stefan column consists of liquid A evaporating into an inert/stagnant gas B with a sweeping B stream at the top. It was designed to estimate binary gas diffusivities, D_AB’s, but “end effects” such as gas mixing at the top and interfacial curvature have been either ignored or uncorrelated to the operational settings. This study’s hypothesis is that gas mixing at the top and the gas–phase aspect ratio affect D_AB estimation in the acetone (A)-ambient air (B) system at 50?°C. The sweeping stream Reynolds number (Re) and the gas–phase aspect ratio (AR?=?initial gas phase height to column internal diameter) were the variables tested. Isothermal evaporation-diffusion experiments were conducted in which the temporal interfacial descent was tracked. The settings were 492 ≤ Re ≤ 5378 and AR between 5 and 15. A 1D transport model allowed determination of the experimental diffusivity, D_AB,exp, by nonlinear regression. For Re < 600, the D_AB,exp errors relative to D_AB,CE (predicted by the Chapman–Enskog kinetic theory for low-density gases) were small and unrelated to AR, while for Re > 600 the errors increased considerably with Re and were inversely proportional to AR. This study is the first to relate the column’s operational settings to the D_AB estimation errors. The column should be operated at low sweeping gas Re and large AR for accurate D_AB,exp’s. The low Re region deserves further study, while the present transport model may have to be replaced by computational fluid dynamics simulations to account for the multidimensional gas flow patterns.