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1.
The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems. 相似文献
2.
Mehdi Hosseini Abadshapoori 《亚洲传热研究》2021,50(2):1056-1072
Increasing the heat capacity of heat exchangers is a crucial need for modern devices. The thermal conductivity of the usual fluids and the Nusselt (Nu) number of flows containing such fluids are two bottlenecks in the way of increasing heat delivery in the heat exchangers. For this reason, nanofluids have been introduced. The effect of utilizing a Cu-water nanofluid as a coolant of two hot pipes in a square cavity is investigated numerically with a two-component lattice Boltzmann method. The volume fraction of nanoparticles is assumed to be constant (0.03) while the Richardson (Ri) number varies from 0.02 to 20. Results show that the effectiveness of nanoparticles is better observed in the natural convection mode. However, sedimentation is also very probable at high Ri numbers, which significantly reduces the effectiveness of the nanoparticles. Configurations which produce a natural convection stream similar to the forced convection one as well as the configurations with high spacing and hence, low heat stream interactions, are the best choices for a uniform heat rate from the pipes. 相似文献
3.
针对现有海量点云可视化方法存在索引构建时间长、内存占用大等问题,研究一种八叉树索引结合OSG分页结点的快速可视化方法,可在占用较小内存的基础上快速建立点云索引并实时调度。采用八叉树索引结构对海量点云进行数据组织,建立各层级的八叉树结点并以文件映射的方式分块保存,对结点文件重组织转换为支持OSG渲染引擎的多分辨率点云数据。采用基于OSG分页结点的实时调度技术,对海量点云进行高质量可视化。与目前两款主流的点云数据处理商业软件进行实验对比分析,结果表明所提方法具有索引建立速度快、内存占用小等优点,同时可视化交互更加流畅,适用于各种配置计算机下海量点云数据的调度管理与实时可视化。 相似文献
4.
The current investigation describes a computational technique to solve one- and two-dimensional Fredholm integral equations of the second kind. The method estimates the solution using the discrete collocation method by combining locally supported radial basis functions (RBFs) constructed on a small set of nodes instead of all points over the analysed domain. In this work, we employ the Gauss–Legendre integration rule on the influence domains of shape functions to approximate the local integrals appearing in the method. In comparison with the globally supported RBFs for solving integral equations, the proposed method is stable and uses much less computer memory. The scheme does not require any cell structures, so it is meshless. We also obtain the error analysis of the proposed method and demonstrate that the convergence rate of the approach is high. Illustrative examples clearly show the reliability and efficiency of the new method. 相似文献
5.
采用双相区加速冷却法(加速冷却始冷温度为700 ℃)对X80管线钢进行热处理,获得了贝氏体和铁素体(B+F)双相组织。然后通过组织表征、力学性能测试以及在3.5wt%NaCl溶液中的耐蚀性进行研究。结果表明:热处理后获得的管线钢组织由板条状贝氏体、多边形铁素体及少量马氏体/奥氏体岛组成。与热处理前相比,(B+F)双相管线钢屈强比较低,为0.65,初始加工硬化指数为0.31,均匀伸长率达8.3%,塑性显著提升;双相组织中含有52.4%的铁素体,因而耐腐蚀性明显提高。通过双相区加速冷却法获得的(B+F)两相组织在塑变过程中发生协调变形,可以适应大变形的需求,同时耐蚀性优异,为大变形管线钢实际生产提供一定的借鉴。 相似文献
6.
针对纸病检测系统中采集到的图像存在横向灰度不均匀现象,基于几何光学辐射照度理论,围绕纸病检测系统光源模块照射到被检测纸张上的照度均匀分布问题开展了应用技术研究。依据斯派罗法则,确定了光源模块中LED灯珠间的最优距离函数;从机器视觉的角度出发,利用实验法确定了光源阵列中不同位置灯珠的功率优化函数;采用图像灰度均匀度指标,对光源的改进效果进行了验证。结果表明,本优化方案可以将获取到的图像灰度均匀度由优化前的57. 8%提高到98. 6%,有效地提高了纸张的成像质量,可降低后期的图像处理难度,有望提高应用程序的执行效率。 相似文献
7.
针对滚动轴承早期故障的有效识别,提出了一种基于VMD瞬时能量与GA优化的RBF神经网络的滚动轴承故障诊断方法,可以有效对滚动故障做出诊断。首先,VMD将滚动轴承振动信号进行分解成合适数目的本证模态函数;其次,计算本证模态函数分量的瞬时能量并组成特征向量;最后,将特征向量输入到GA优化的RBF神经网络实现轴承故障识别。通过滚动轴承故障诊断实验对该方法进行验证。结果表明,该方法识别滚动轴承故障的准确率为96.43%,较默认参数的RBF神经网络和EEMD瞬时能量与GA-RBF神经网络有明显的提高,证明了所提方法的可行性。 相似文献
8.
Chloride-induced corrosion of highway bridges constitutes a critical form of environmental deterioration and may result in significant escalation of seismic life-cycle costs due to increased fragility during earthquake events. Most of existing literature tends to adopt simplistic uniform area loss assumptions in lieu of potentially complex, yet realistic and more detrimental, pitting corrosion models for seismic vulnerability analysis. Since the degree of deterioration depends on the severity and duration of exposure, there exists a need to investigate the influence of uniform vs. pitting corrosion assumption on seismic life-cycle costs for varied chloride exposure conditions. A case-study example of a highway bridge in Central and Southeastern US reveals consideration of pitting corrosion as critical for extreme exposures compared to relatively minor settings. Subsequently this study provides recommendations to aid bridge engineers and stakeholders to balance between computational cost and accuracy of results to aid prompt decisions on rehabilitation of ageing bridges in different exposure conditions. A framework is also included to compute seismic life-cycle costs from generic measures of corrosion, independent of assumed exposure scenario. This framework is particularly helpful for seismic loss assessment of highway bridges in chloride exposure zones with periodic field measurements to estimate the extent of structural deterioration. 相似文献
9.
Because of the introduction of new processing parameters in water-assisted injection molding (WAIM), processes control has become more difficult. First, design of experiment (DOE) was carried out by using optimized Latin hypercubes (Opt LHS). On the basis of this, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) method was used to simulate and calculate hollowed core ratios and wall thickness differences of cooling water pipe at different positions. Then inverse radial basis function (RBF) neural network model reflecting the fitting relationship between processing parameters and molding quality was established, and accuracy of the model was detected by cross validation. Finally, expected molding quality was applied to predict processing parameters, and the obtained molding quality under the predicted processing parameters was verified by computer aided engineering (CAE) simulation and experimental methods. The results showed that mean relative precisions of processing parameters such as melt temperature, delay time, short shot size, water pressure, and mold temperature for inverse RBF model were 98.6%, 93.6%, 98.5%, 93.9%, and 97.9%, respectively, which met the accuracy requirements. Furthermore, compared with expected values of hollowed core ratios and wall thickness differences, the average errors of CAE and experiment were 2.3% and 4.9%, respectively. 相似文献
10.
Stabilisation of Schrödinger equation in dynamic boundary feedback with a memory-typed heat equation
In this work, we study the dynamic behaviour for a heat equation with exponential polynomial kernel memory to be a controller for a Schrödinger system. By introducing some new variables, the time-variant system is transformed into a time-invariant one. Remarkably, the resolvent of the closed-loop system operator is not compact anymore. The residual spectrum is shown to be empty and the continuous spectrum consisting of finite isolated points are obtained. It is shown that the sequence of generalised eigenfunctions forms a Riesz basis for the Hilbert state space. This deduces the spectrum-determined growth condition for the C 0-semigroup, and the exponential stability is then established. 相似文献