煤与瓦斯突出区域性预测的综合判据研究

为了准确、快速地预测煤与瓦斯突出,以焦作中马村矿为实施矿井,采用瓦斯地质理论全面分析了影响瓦斯突出的地质条件,利用数量化理论Ⅲ筛选了瓦斯突出的敏感指标,应用数量化理论Ⅱ建立了煤与瓦斯突出区域性预测的综合判据,选用二维判别方法对中马村矿二l煤层未采区进行了预测,预测结果为突出危险区23个,突出威胁区41个,非突出区106个,与实际突出结果吻合．表明采用瓦斯地质理论和数量化理论相结合的方法预测煤与瓦斯突出是可行的．煤与瓦斯突出区域性预测综合判据的建立使突出预测规范化,有望推广应用．     

煤层裂隙探测的地震波形分类技术研究

研究了煤层裂隙探测的地震波形分类技术原理,即根据地震资料,在一定时窗范围内统计地震波的几何形状、频率、能量变化快慢及各种地震属性,从而在剖面上和平面上划分各种地震属性特征总和相近的区域,通过钻孔和已知裂隙资料的标定,探测煤层裂隙.利用地震波形分类技术对淮南潘三矿煤层裂隙的探测结果表明,这种方法行之有效,可以为矿井瓦斯危险性预测提供科学依据.     

利用数量化理论预测瓦斯含量时反应度的取值方法

讨论了数量化理论在进行瓦斯含量预测时类目之反应的取值问题 ,提出了反应度的概念 ,并进行了数学证明 .用改进后的数量化理论在山东省新汶矿区瓦斯地质规律研究项目中进行应用时 ,收到了很好的效果 .以新汶矿区的斜庄煤矿为例 ,用反应度的方法对影响瓦斯含量的敏感指标进行了取值 ,并对该矿 1 1煤层的未采区进行了瓦斯含量预测 ,经实践性检验 ,取得了比较可靠的预测结果 .     

Application of the third theory of quantification in coal and gas outburst forecast

The essential principles of the third theory of quantification are discussed, the concept and calculated method of reaction degree are put forward which extend the applying range and scientificalness of the primary reaction. Taking the Zhongmacun Mine as example, on the base of analyzing the rules of gas geology synthetically and traversing the geological factors infecting coal and gas outburst, the paper adopts the method of combining carving up statistical units with the third theory of quantification, screens out 8 sensitive geological factors from 11 geological indexes and carries through the work of gas geology regionalism to the exploited area of Zhongmacun according to the researching result. The practice shows that it is feasible to apply the third theory of quantification to gas geology, which offers a new thought to screen the sensitive geological factors of gas outburst forecast.     

瓦斯突出危险带的三维地震探测技术

研究了利用三维地震探测瓦斯突出危险带的技术，并在淮南潘三矿进行了应用和验证。研究结果表明：高分辨率三维地震可以探测落差大于3m的小断层和相应幅度的小褶皱，断层和褶皱可以造成构造应力集中、煤体破坏、瓦斯聚集和突出，通过对断层破坏和褶皱变形程度的定量评定可以划分瓦斯突出危险带。应用三维地震技术探测瓦斯突出危险带具有广泛的应用前景。     

瓦斯含量及涌出量预测的数学地质技术与方法

为了准确、快速地预测矿井瓦斯含量及涌出量,以淮南潘三矿为实施矿井,研究了瓦斯含量及涌出量预测的数学地质技术与方法.通过瓦斯地质规律研究,分析瓦斯含量（涌出量）的变化规律,筛选影响瓦斯含量（涌出量）变化的主要地质因素．在此基础上,根据矿井已采地区的瓦斯含量（涌出量）实测资料和相关的地质因素,综合考虑包括开采深度在内的多种影响因素,利用数量化理论Ⅰ,建立预测瓦斯含量（涌出量）的多因素数学地质模型;利用所建立的数学地质模型,对矿井未采区域的瓦斯含量（涌出量）进行预测．结果表明,数学地质技术与方法对瓦斯含量及涌出量的预测效果较好．瓦斯含量及涌出量预测的数学地质技术与方法使瓦斯含量及涌出量预测规范化和定量化,有望推广应用．     

数量化理论在矿井突(涌)水水源判别中的应用

运用数量化理论Ⅱ，根据焦作矿区各主要含水层35个水样的水质资料，建立了该矿区判别突(涌)水水源的数学模型；利用VC 6．0开发了数量化理论Ⅱ的判别软件；选用三维判别方法，对新的突(涌)水水样进行了检验(判别)．结果表明，验证结果较好，为该矿区判别新的突(涌)水水源提供了较为方便的工具．     

利用数量化理论预测瓦斯含量时反应度的取值方法

讨论了数量化理论在进行瓦斯含量预测时类目之反应的取值问题，提出了反应度的概念，并进行了数学证明．用改进后的数量化理论在山东省新汶矿区瓦斯地质规律研究项目中进行应用时，收到了很好的效果．以新汶矿区的斜庄煤矿为例，用反应度的方法对影响瓦斯含量的敏感指标进行了取值，并对该矿11煤层的未采区进行了瓦斯含量预测，经实践性检验，取得了比较可靠的预测结果．     

Application of the Third Theory of Quantification in Screening Sensitive Geological Factors Influencing Coal and Gas Outburst

The principles of the third theory of quantification were discussed. The concept and calculation method of reaction degree were put forward, which have extended the applying range and scientificalness of the primary reaction. Taking the Zhongmacun mine as an example, the geological factors affecting coal and gas outburst were researched. Eight sensitive factors for the outburst of coal and gas were screened out from 11 geological factors using the method of unit classification and the third theory of quantification. On the basis of this, the Zhongmacun coal mine was classified into several divisions. The practice shows that it is feasible to apply the third theory of quantification to gas geology, which offers a new thought to screen the sensitive geological factors of gas outburst forecast.