南通进入“GDP 5000亿元城市俱乐部”后的思考

理性地看待2013年南通实现的地区生产总值超5 000亿元和人均GDP超1万美元的“双跨越”,分析南通市经济社会发展存在的不足,确定今后南通的发展道路.通过对比分析全国27个地区生产总值超5 000亿元城市的经济社会发展基本情况,重点研究南通市与27市,尤其是其中7个地级市之间经济社会发展的差距,并提出发展对策措施.     

西南地区不同山地环境梯度叶面积指数遥感反演

叶面积指数(LAI)遥感估算是植被定量遥感研究的热点之一,监测植被LAI时空变化对于研究陆地生态系统碳循环及全球变化等具有非常重要的意义。在我国西南山区设置10个50km×50km的观测样区作为研究区,其中包括5个森林生态系统样区、3个农田生态系统样区和2个草地生态系统样区。分别获取不同优势植被类型LAI地面实测数据,结合同期获取的遥感数据,考虑地形因素影响,基于偏最小二乘原理分别构建各样区LAI遥感估算模型,并采用交叉验证的方式对模型精度进行评价。结果表明:考虑了海拔、坡度和坡向等地形因子的森林LAI遥感反演模型与未考虑地形变量的模型相比,其验证精度有所提高,R2由0.30~0.75提高至0.50~0.80,RMSE由0.52~0.93m2/m2降低至0.48~0.89m2/m2;所有样区优势植被类型LAI反演模型验证R2在0.40~0.80之间,RMSE在0.22~0.89m2/m2之间。发展的LAI遥感估算方法有助于认知山地植被LAI反演的地形效应问题,可为进一步的山地植被长势监测提供科学依据。     

山地城市小流域暴雨径流模型的研发及应用

采用ArcEngine二次开发包结合水力学基础算法,建立山地城市暴雨径流模型,以模拟山地城市降雨径流,分析山地城市排水系统的排放能力。应用该模型对重庆市北部新区盘溪河流域排水系统进行了预测和评估,结果表明,模拟结果与实测数据的效率系数Nash-Suttcliffe系数Ens为0.56～0.76,相对误差8.82%～11.8%。模型关键参数率定及敏感性分析表明,最敏感参数为径流宽度、坡度、曼宁系数和不透水面积率。针对排水管道内流量、充满度和溢流检查井个数等方面进行了排水系统排放能力的评估,结果表明,一年一遇暴雨下有0.52%的排水管道长时间处于满流状态,五十年和百年一遇的超载排水管道占排水管道总数5.86%和8.20%;百年一遇暴雨下有0.72%的检查井发生溢流,一年一遇暴雨下有0.31%的检查井发生溢流。该模型实现了对山地城市暴雨径流的产汇过程模拟以及内涝点位置和数量的识别,为城市雨水管网管理提供决策支持。     

复杂山地弯宽线观测系统适用效果分析

以桂中地区复杂山地弯宽线地震资料采集为例进行不同观测系统叠加试验,分析不同覆盖次数的观测系统对资料的成像效果、信噪比、能量和频率的影响。宽线放炮或者交叉放炮可以改善接收方向上各项异性的接收效果,可以更好压制散射、侧面波、规则干扰等干扰波。因此高覆盖次数叠加可以很好的压制噪音。随着覆盖次数的增加剖面能量增强,信噪比增加,但覆盖次数高,剖面频率降低。     

The economic case for low-carbon development in rapidly growing developing world cities: A case study of Palembang,Indonesia

Where costs or risks are higher, evidence is lacking or supporting institutions are less developed, policymakers can struggle to make the case for low-carbon investment. This is especially the case in developing world cities where decision-makers struggle to keep up with the pace and scale of change. Focusing on Palembang in Indonesia, this paper considers the economic case for proactive investment in low-carbon development. We find that a rapidly growing industrial city in a developing country can reduce emissions by 24.1% in 2025, relative to business as usual levels, with investments of USD405.6 million that would reduce energy expenditure in the city by USD436.8 million. Emissions from the regional grid could be reduced by 12.2% in 2025, relative to business as usual trends, with investments of USD2.9 billion that would generate annual savings of USD175 million. These estimates understate the savings from reduced expenditure on energy subsidies and energy infrastructure. The compelling economic case for mainstreaming climate mitigation in this developing country city suggests that the constraints on climate action can be political and institutional rather than economic. There is therefore a need for more effective energy governance to drive the transition to a low-carbon economy.     

世博交通保障方案编制过程与思考

回顾世博交通保障方案的编制过程,分析不同阶段的规划实施难点,从实践角度探讨建成区城市更新开发交通规划与实施问题。     

The influence of combined alignments on lateral acceleration on mountainous freeways: a driving simulator study

Combined horizontal and vertical alignments are frequently used in mountainous freeways in China; however, design guidelines that consider the safety impact of combined alignments are not currently available. Past field studies have provided some data on the relationship between road alignment and safety, but the effects of differing combined alignments on either lateral acceleration or safety have not systematically examined. The primary reason for this void in past research is that most of the prior studies used observational methods that did not permit control of the key variables. A controlled parametric study is needed that examines lateral acceleration as drivers adjust their speeds across a range of combined horizontal and vertical alignments. Such a study was conducted in Tongji University’s eight-degree-of-freedom driving simulator by replicating the full range of combined alignments used on a mountainous freeway in China. Multiple linear regression models were developed to estimate the effects of the combined alignments on lateral acceleration. Based on these models, domains were calculated to illustrate the results and to assist engineers to design safer mountainous freeways.     

Gramazio Kohler Research,Automated Diversity: New Morphologies of Vertical Urbanism

Automated fabrication techniques are currently largely confined to the production of discrete objects or building elements. To notch up the potential of robotics for architectural design, it is necessary to start to push the limits and experiment at a larger urban scale. Fabio Gramazio and Matthias Kohler are pioneers in this field. Here, with Jan Willmann , they describe the research that they are undertaking as part of the Future Cities Laboratory (FCL) located at the Singapore-ETH Centre for Global Environmental Sustainability (SEC) and ETH Zurich, in which robotic fabrication technologies are employed to realize 1:50 physical models of mixed-use high-rise structures that are unique in their spatial layouts.     

浅谈西班牙中型城市绿色基础设施战略如何为公众健康带来福祉：拉科鲁尼亚案例分析

绿色基础设施建设是一个强大的多尺度规划战略,它在全球范围内正以迅猛之势蓬勃发展,并形成了一个能够带来多种利益的复杂系统（法布士,1995;兹欧拉斯,2007,等）,包括公众的健康与福利。证据表明,它能提高生活质量,改善心理健康问题,增加幸福感。在这一战略中,绿色基础设施的选址、大小、质量以及可达性对于公众健康的改善有至关重要的作用。西班牙的拉科鲁尼亚市是一个高密度中型城市,这一案例值得人们关注。关于该市现状及新总体规划的研究阐明了应该如何通过运用景观生态原则来改善绿色规划、增加其带来的尤其是关于公众健康的利益。以SWOT研究为基础,本文将对该案例的不足进行解释说明,并思考其在绿色基础设施战略、实施过程以及设计方案中的影响。目前,已有众多研究突出了在类似于拉科鲁尼亚市的密集城市中整合与实施这些规划战略的必要性,因为它们能够改善公众健康,生活质量与景观,并作为一个有竞争力的全球优势发挥作用。本研究将阐述区域性规划在增强城市网络（西班牙北部）的空间连续性,继而将其开放至大西洋方面的必要性。     

山地城市的竖向规划方法研究

本文从阐述山地城市的概念出发,总结山地城市的特点,而后根据山地城市的特点及竖向上的难点,从现状分析、道路交通规划、竖向设计手法、工程防护、场地排水和土石方工程等六个方面对山地城市的竖向规划方法进行分析和研究,并对竖向规划过程中需注意的要点进行疏理和归纳。