General pattern of global system conflicts and global threats of the 21st century |
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| Authors: | M. Z. Zgurovsky |
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| Affiliation: | (1) National Technical University of Ukraine “Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine;(2) Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine;(3) Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine |
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| Abstract: | Data on global conflicts took place from 750 B.C. up to now are analyzed and their general pattern is revealed. An attempt
is made to foresee the next global conflict called the conflict of the 21st century. Its nature and main characteristics are
analyzed. Main global threats are listed, and their impact on five groups of countries is determined using cluster analysis.
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Translated from Kibernetika i Sistemnyi Analiz, No. 5, pp. 87–99, September–October 2007. |
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| Keywords: | global system conflicts Fibonacci sequence global threats scenarios cluster analysis |
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