| 枯水期径流量的中长期预估模式 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯平 杨鹏. 枯水期径流量的中长期预估模式[J]. 水利水电技术, 1997, 28(2): 6-9 |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯平 杨鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]天津大学 [2]海河水利委员会 |
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| 摘 要： | 为建立水文干旱预测系统，采用灰色系统理论中灰关联度分析的方法，对枯水期径流量的预估模式进行了探讨，并提出用层次分析法来考虑各影响因子对径流量的不同影响程度，这一尝试为水文干旱的预测提供了条件。
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| 关 键 词： | 枯水期 径流量 中长期径流预报 灰色系统 |
Model of Mid-Long Term Runoff Forecast during Drought Period |
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| Feng Ping, Yang Peng, Li Runmiap. Model of Mid-Long Term Runoff Forecast during Drought Period[J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 1997, 28(2): 6-9 |
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| Authors: | Feng Ping Yang Peng Li Runmiap |
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| Affiliation: | Feng Ping; Yang Peng; Li Runmiap(Tianjin University) (Commitee of Haihe River) (Hydrology Service of Tianjin City) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, for establishing the forecasting system of hydrological drought, amethod of forecasting runoff during drought period was developed by addressing the grey correla-tive analysis, and proposed to use Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to consider the different ef-fects of every factor on runoff. This pr0vides the ability to forecast hydrological droughts. |
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| Keywords: | drought period effect factor grey correlative degree runoff |
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