基于ARMA模型的建材装备订单预测研究

目前,我国大中型装备制造企业基本都使用大型单件的生产方式,由于制造装备的零件种类多,结构复杂,并且往往是面向订单进行生产,因此对于其订单的准确预测显得尤为重要.文中利用时间序列理论对装备制造企业的订单量建立模型进行分析,并通过解决实际问题对ARMA模型进行仿真.

Prediction of Building Materials and Equipment Orders Based on ARMA Model

At present, China＇s equipment manufacturing and medium-sized enterprises are basically using the large single-piece production methods, due to many kinds of parts of manufacturing equipment and complex structure, and often produce for orders, so for accurate prediction of its order is very important. Time series model is used to analyse equipment manufacturing orders, and simulation ARMA model is simulated for solving practical problems.