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基于SPSS回归分析对中长期居民用电负荷预测
引用本文:汤泽姣,朱克喜.基于SPSS回归分析对中长期居民用电负荷预测[J].贵州电力技术,2010(7):24-27.
作者姓名:汤泽姣  朱克喜
作者单位:贵阳供电局,贵州贵阳550002
摘    要:作者利用SPSS软件,对居民可支配收入、人均GDP、城市化进程等一系列国民经济数据与居民人均用电量进行了回归分析,利用逐步分析法较为清楚地了解了数据之间的联系,得到了拟合度较高的中长期居民用电负荷预测模型,对电力系统的建设和规划具有重要的意义。

关 键 词:负荷预测  SPSS  逐步分析法  多元线性回归

Forecasting of long - term residential electricity load based on SPSS regression analysis
Tang Zejiao,Zhu Kexi.Forecasting of long - term residential electricity load based on SPSS regression analysis[J].Guizhou Electric Power Technology,2010(7):24-27.
Authors:Tang Zejiao  Zhu Kexi
Affiliation:( Guiyang Power Supply Bureau, Guiyang 550002 Guizhou, China)
Abstract:The regression model of SPSS is used to analyze the residential power comsumption, the disposa-ble per capita income, GI)P per capita and urbanization. In this paper, the regression analysis method is used to find out the relation between the data, and the forecasting model, which has higher goodness of fit, for the mid - long term residential load is also achieved. It has very important significance to the construe- tion and planning of power system.
Keywords:load forecasting  SPSS  stepwise  multiple linear regression
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