| 基于贝叶斯网络的航班离港延误预警分析* |
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| 引用本文： | 曹卫东,丁建立,刘玉洁.基于贝叶斯网络的航班离港延误预警分析*[J].计算机应用研究,2008,25(11):3388-3390. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹卫东 丁建立 刘玉洁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 天津大学,系统工程研究所,天津,300072;中国民航大学,计算机学院,天津,300300
2. 中国民航大学,计算机学院,天津,300300 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家“863”计划重点资助项目(2006AA12A106);;国家自然科学基金资助项目(60572167) |
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| 摘 要： | 贝叶斯网络是一种有效的概率预测方法,尝试将其应用于航班数据分析预警,应用Netica软件工具构建实际航班及其关联的贝叶斯网络,特别是针对航班延误的最主要环节——离港延误,分时间段对国内某航空公司在某机场的离港数据进行了延误原因分析和延误预警分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 贝叶斯网络 航班离港延误 延误原因 延误预警 |
Analysis of flight departure delay and warning based on Bayesian networks |
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| CAO Wei dong,DING Jian li,LIU Yu jie.Analysis of flight departure delay and warning based on Bayesian networks[J].Application Research of Computers,2008,25(11):3388-3390. |
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| Authors: | CAO Wei dong DING Jian li LIU Yu jie |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Institute of Systems Engineering;Tianjin University;Tianjin 300072;China;2.College of Computer Science;Civil Aviation University of China;Tianjin 300300;China |
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| Abstract: | Bayesian networks is a valid probability forecast method,it is tried to use in flight data analysis and warning.Netica software packages were used in constructing Bayesian networks of actual flight data and their relationships.Especially aimed at flight departure delay.It analyzed delay reasons and delay warning by using partition time data of an airline company departure from an airfield in China. |
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| Keywords: | Bayesian networks flight departure delay delay reasons delay warning |
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