模糊评价法在房地产投资风险评价中的应用

从2008年金融危机以来,抚顺市楼市逐步回暖,然而从现实情况来看,中小型房地产企业还存在着许多问题。首先表现为经营者的风险意识不强,多数开发商往往为了片面追求高额利润,缺乏科学的经济预测和客观的可行性分析,使企业的生存发展面临巨大的开发经营风险。此外还表现为供给与需求的脱节:一方面无效供给过多,商品房大量空置;另一方面,人们的强烈需求又得不到满足。在对抚顺市房地产市场背景进行分析的基础上,对该市房地产市场风险运用模糊评价方法进行研究,并提出了相应的防范和控制建议。

Application of Fuzzy Evaluation Method in Risk Assessment for Real Estate Investment

After the financial crisis in 2008,real estate market in Fushun city began to appear the promising phenomenon. However,in the reality of our city,the small and medium-sized real estate industry still had many problems.The operators did not have a strong sense of investment,the basic decision--making lying in the experience,and most developers lacked scientific and objective analysis of the feasibility of investment.In addition,the supply and demand was disjointed.On one hand,excessive inefficient supply resulted in a great deal of vacancy;on the other hand,the keen need of people wasn't met. The factor and mechanism of the risk in real estate market were analyzed.On this basis,the fuzzy evaluation method was applied to appraise real estate risk of Fushun and the relevant preventable and controllable measures were put forward.