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R&D项目价值评估的灰色B-S模型
引用本文:罗党,许丽君.R&D项目价值评估的灰色B-S模型[J].华北水利水电学院学报,2010,31(5):146-149.
作者姓名:罗党  许丽君
作者单位:华北水利水电学院,河南,郑州,450011
基金项目:河南省重点科技攻关项目,河南省软科学研究计划项目,河南省教育厅自然科学基础研究计划项目 
摘    要:针对传统净现值法不能有效评估RD项目价值的缺点,探讨了RD项目价值评估的适用方法,建立了基于区间灰数的RD项目价值评估灰色B-S模型,通过实例说明了该模型的有效性,并与传统净现值法的评估结果进行比较.结果表明,实物期权方法在评估RD项目价值时具有优势,为RD项目投资决策提供了一条新思路.

关 键 词:R&D项目  实物期权  区间灰数  相似度  灰色B-S模型

Grey B-S Model of R&D Project Evaluation
LUO Dang,XU Li-jun.Grey B-S Model of R&D Project Evaluation[J].Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,2010,31(5):146-149.
Authors:LUO Dang  XU Li-jun
Affiliation:(North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,Zhengzhou 450011,China)
Abstract:As the traditional NPV method can't effectively evaluate RD project,the applicable methods for RD project evaluation were mainly discussed,and the grey B-S model of RD project evaluation based on interval grey number was established.The validity of the model were illustrated by an dxample,which provided a new way for RD investment decision-making and showed the advantages of real option approach compared with NPV.
Keywords:R&D project real option interval grey number similarity degree grey B-S model
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