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A neural network that predicts psychiatric length of stay
Authors:GE Davis  WE Lowell  GL Davis
Affiliation:Department of Surgery, Salt Lake Clinic, Utah.
Abstract:One hundred and twelve bilateral thyroidectomies for solitary thyroid nodules with suspected malignancy were performed. The incidence of malignancy in the 112 primary nodules was 42%. Twenty-nine of the 112 contralateral lobes (26%) contained malignancy, which was unsuspected in 80%. Of these 29, 20 were foci of papillary cancer < or = 5 mm and 9 were larger papillary tumors or follicular carcinoma. We analyzed these 112 patients to determine whether there was a simple method to identify those patients at risk for contralateral, unsuspected malignancy. With use of the AMES clinical staging retrospectively, 70 of the 112 patients were classified as having low-stage disease. Fifty percent (35) had cancers on the primary side and 27% (19) on the contralateral side. Of these 19 contralateral cancers, 14 were papillary cancers < or = 5 mm, 4 were papillary cancer > 5 mm and one was a 1.5 cm follicular carcinoma, a similar distribution as in the whole group of 112. When the AMES analysis then excluded those thought to be at risk for multicentricity or papillary carcinoma and examined female patients only with nonpapillary frozen sections, nonpapillary aspiration cytological results, and no history of radiation exposure, no further reduction in the proportion of contralateral cancers (7 of 26, 27%) was found. Fifty-five of the 112 patients underwent preoperative ultrasound scans. In those cases in whom the contralateral lobe had no intraoperative palpable or preoperative sonographic mass, 5 of 20 still had contralateral cancers, but all were papillary < or = 5 mm.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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