| 灰色理论在装备经济寿命预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王春健.灰色理论在装备经济寿命预测中的应用[J].兵工自动化,2007,26(4):21-23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王春健 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军潜艇学院研究生队,山东青岛266071 |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析装备的寿命周期费用的基础上,根据系统特点,运用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)模型.累加数列克服原始数列的波动性和随机性,转化为规律性较强的数列,由此建立装备的经济寿命预测模型.以实例进行计算,进行相应的精度验证检验,结果证明所建模型具有实用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 装备 灰色理论 经济寿命 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-1576（2007）04-0021-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-10-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-02-08 |
Application of Equipment's Economic Life Forecast Based on Gray Theory |
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| WANG Chun-jian.Application of Equipment's Economic Life Forecast Based on Gray Theory[J].Ordnance Industry Automation,2007,26(4):21-23. |
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| Authors: | WANG Chun-jian |
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| Affiliation: | Brigade of Graduate, Navy Submarine Academy, Qingdao 266071, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on analyzing the economical life cycle expense of equipment,according to the system characteristics,the GM(1,1) model of grey system theory is used.The accumulated sequence overcomes the waviness and random of original sequence,and transforms into more disciplinarian sequence.Then,the economical life forecast model of equipment is established.The example is calculated and the corresponding precision verification is carried out.The result shows that the model is proved to be practical. |
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| Keywords: | Equipment Gray theory Economical life |
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