Accounting for migration in regional occupational employment projections |
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Authors: | Stuart H Sweeney Harvey A Goldstein |
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Affiliation: | (1) Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-4060, USA;(2) Department of City and Regional Planning, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA |
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Abstract: | Occupational employment projections are one of the primary products produced by state labor market information agencies to
assist with state and regional job training and worker assistance programs. In theory, the information from occupational employment
forecasts should improve both interregional and intertemporal labor market efficiency through better matching between training
efforts and job openings. Until recently, the projections methodology was predominantly a demand-requirements approach that
failed to incorporate important labor supply effects and interstate/interregional dependencies. Recent research has focused
on improving the labor supply specification. This paper reports on one such effort to evaluate the importance of interstate
occupational migration and to develop methods to incorporate migration into the existing projections methodology. Initial
results indicate that the total number of estimated job openings by occupation have to be revised significantly upwards when
migration is taken into account. |
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Keywords: | J11 J21 R23 C82 |
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