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基于蒙特卡罗法的城市给水管网可靠性分析
引用本文:章征宝,余云进,徐得潜,祝健.基于蒙特卡罗法的城市给水管网可靠性分析[J].给水排水,2007,33(7):106-109.
作者姓名:章征宝  余云进  徐得潜  祝健
作者单位:1. 第二炮兵工程设计研究院,北京,100011
2. 合肥工业大学土木建筑工程学院,合肥,230009
摘    要:基于蒙特卡罗法对给水管网的可靠性进行了分析.提出了新的可靠度指标计算方法,对管网和各节点分别建立评价指标,并得出了定量的计算结果.通过对可靠性计算结果的分析,能有效识别出给水管网中的关键管段,模拟多管段同时处于故障状态的情况,可以作为给水管网可靠度优化设计的参考.

关 键 词:给水管网  可靠性  蒙特卡罗法  关键管段  仿真  蒙特卡罗法  城市  给水管网  可靠性分析  method  based  distribution  network  water  urban  优化设计  情况  故障状态  模拟  管段  识别  可靠性计算  结果  定量  评价指标  节点
修稿时间:2006年9月18日

The reliability analysis of urban water distribution network based on Monte-Carlo method
Zhang Zhengbao,Yu Yunjin,Xu Deqian,Zhu Jian.The reliability analysis of urban water distribution network based on Monte-Carlo method[J].Water & Wastewater Engineering,2007,33(7):106-109.
Authors:Zhang Zhengbao  Yu Yunjin  Xu Deqian  Zhu Jian
Abstract:The reliability of water distribution network is analyzed by Monte-Carlo method in this paper.Appropriate method and acceptable guideline for evaluating reliability are two primary issues of the research of the reliability of water distribution network.A new guideline for network and node is established and quantitative analyzed in this paper.The key pipe is easily identified by analyzing the result.The state that more than one pipe in failure can be simulated.It's hoped that the work in the text can help to optimized designing of reliability of water distribution network and develop the work of urban water supply system reliability analysis.
Keywords:Water distribution network  Reliability  Monte-Carlo method  Key pipe  Simulation
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