| 基于风速功率关系带的时间序列法预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 易春燕,李俊芳,张步涵.基于风速功率关系带的时间序列法预测研究[J].湖北工业大学学报,2012,27(1):9-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 易春燕 李俊芳 张步涵 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中科技大学电气与电子工程学院,湖北武汉,430074 |
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| 基金项目： | 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金，国家高技术研究发展计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 在运用时间序列法预测风速及风电功率的基础上，采用分层统计法对16台风电机组的风速功率数据进行统计分析，得出基于实测数据的风速功率关系带，用于提取有效历史功率点，达到提高风电功率预测精度的目的．运用MATLAB软件编程实现预测，并选取合适的误差衡量指标进行误差分析．
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列法 风电功率预测 风速功率关系带 |
Wind Power Prediction Based on Time Series |
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| YI Chun-yan,LI Jun-fang,ZHANG Bu-han.Wind Power Prediction Based on Time Series[J].Journal of Hubei University of Technology,2012,27(1):9-13. |
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| Authors: | YI Chun-yan LI Jun-fang ZHANG Bu-han |
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| Affiliation: | (Huazhong Univ.of Science and Technology,Wuhan,430074,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on Layered statistics,the paper predicted wind power by studying the statistic feature of 16 wind turbines,and extracting the useful history power point further.As wind speed has the features of timing and sequence autocorrelation,the time series method was used to forecast wind speed and wind power.Then,MATLAB software was used for programming.The appropriate index for measure was selected for error analysis. |
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| Keywords: | Time series wind power prediction wind power curve |
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