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无资料流域水文预报(PUB计划)研究进展
引用本文:刘苏峡,夏军,莫兴国.无资料流域水文预报(PUB计划)研究进展[J].水利水电技术,2005,36(2):9-12.
作者姓名:刘苏峡  夏军  莫兴国
作者单位:1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室,北京,10101
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,生态观测与模拟重点实验室,北京,100101
摘    要:无资料流域水文预报,简称为PUB(Predictions in Ungaugecl Basins),从2003年7月开始成为国际水文科学学会新的国际水文十年计划主题.文中首先简述了PUB计划的主要研究内容,然后回顾了国际和国内已有的PUB研究进展,最后展望了对水文学发展有重要意义的几个PUB前沿研究,包括不确定性研究、对水循环各个环节因素的预报和对无资料流域水文过程的预报。

关 键 词:无资料流域水文预报(PUB)  国际水文十年计划  不确定性分析
文章编号:1000-0860(2005)02-0009-04

Advances in Predictions in Ungauged Basins
LIU Su-xia,XIA Jun,MO Xing-guo.Advances in Predictions in Ungauged Basins[J].Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,2005,36(2):9-12.
Authors:LIU Su-xia  XIA Jun  MO Xing-guo
Affiliation:LIU Su-xia~1,XIA Jun~1,MO Xing-guo~2
Abstract:The Predictions in Ungauged Basins(PUB) become the theme of a new International Hydrological Decade initiated by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences from July 2003; of which the key research points are given briefly hereinafter. The research results of domestic and international aspects are reviewed, while several leading studies of PUB with great significance for the development of the hydrology in the days to come are introduced as well, including the study on uncertainty, the forcasting for all the factors of the hydrologic cycle and the prediction for the hydrologic process of the ungauged basins.
Keywords:Predictions in Ungauge Basins(PUB)  International Hydrological Decade  uncertainty analysis
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